BC OPTIONSLEARNINGS
Saved by @SAnngeri

🧵*Weekly Bank Nifty Analysis for 7th Oct Expiry* 🧵

To form a view, let's have a look at both:
1. Technicals
2. Data

Also, 3 strategies to deploy for:
1. Aggressive Traders
2. Moderate Risk Traders
3. Low-Risk Traders

 1. Technicals

Let's start with technicals. We'll look at -
1. Daily charts.
2. Hourly / 60 min charts.
3. 15 min charts.

Formed an indecisive candle on the daily timeframe right at support. Unless we sustain below 36900 for 15 mins, the probability of a bounce is high.
2. 15 min charts.

Above Friday's High on 15 min charts, if we sustain that level for 15 mins can sell strangles.

If we gap down on Monday, only selling calls would be a good idea as the probability of the market going below 36900 would increase.
3. Hourly / 60 min charts.

On hourly charts, wait for a 1 hour close above 37900 levels to again look for Future buy opportunities.

The structure of Lower high and lower low will change to a higher high here.
Option chain data.

Shows a stiff resistance at 38000 levels. There was an addition in put writing at 37000 levels, expecting them to run for cover if 36900 breaks.

Positions haven't been built a lot so best is to wait for a day or two.
Strategies to deploy?

1. Aggressive Traders

Can sell 37500 calls if market sustains below 36900 for 15 mins.

Should get around 100-150 rs for your sold call that time.

ROI is around 2.5%.
2. Moderate Risk Traders

Expecting all puts below 36200 to expire at 0 & Calls above 38500 to expire at zero too.

If the market sustains 15 mins above Friday High can sell strangles of 36200 and 38400.

ROI is approximately 1.8%.
3. Low-Risk Traders

Sell puts below 35800 and calls above 38700.

I have chosen a strangle of 35600 and 38900 for you. Fetches you approximately 1% ROI.

You guys should be targeting 2% per month and playing far away from spot levels of BNF.

4 expires per month to make 0.50%.
Let us see how this analysis plays out, if you have other ideas on how to trade this week let me know in the comments.

Good luck! 😁✌️

More from Aditya Todmal

Aditya Todmal
Aditya Todmal
@AdityaTodmal
If you use it right, Iron Fly is the most solid risk-defined strategy in trading.

But most people don't know how to adjust the strategy when it goes wrong.

Here are 7 adjustments you can do to lower risk and increase profitability: 🧵

Collaborated with @niki_poojary

0/ Who is this for?

This will greatly benefit people who freeze when it comes to managing their trades and keep booking losses.

Some trade with too much fear as well when things go wrong.

Knowing these adjustments will give you the confidence to try to manage your trades.

Most of them are to lower risk on the side the market is going in.

Some adjustments even increase the profit potential and probabilities of the trade being in profit on expiry.

Let's begin by having a look at the adjustments.

Here is the adjustment number 1 below.

1/ Don't do anything till your breakeven arrives

One reason these strategies go wrong far too quickly is due to adjusting them too frequently.

You can escape most adjustments if you simply wait for the market to arrive at your breakeven.

This will work well in monthly options.

2/ Remove Risk from Untested Side

If you've taken an iron fly and the market has gone up you can shift your put buy upwards and lock the downside risk to potentially zero.

This way you've secured one side and just need to manage the bleeding side.
OPTIONSLEARNINGS , ALL , IRONFLY RISK MANAGEMENT
Aditya Todmal
Aditya Todmal
@AdityaTodmal
A Thread on the Boss himself @Mitesh_Engr

Mitesh Sir's Positional Option Selling 101:

• How to find direction
• Which options to sell
• How to deploy capital
• Exit criteria
• What ROI he targets weekly
• What % risk he takes

Done with the help of @niki_poojary


How @Mitesh_Engr Sir finds the direction?

• Daily charts S/R
• 75 min charts S/R
• Intraday trend
• Always play directional
• Never trades in strategies


Which options to sell in weekly expiry according to @Mitesh_Engr?

• Weekly candle High/Low
• Sell 1% away options from those
• Exit when levels breached


Position Sizing by @Mitesh_Engr Sir.

How to deploy your capital?

• First sell 20%
• Pyramid the next day
• When to exit
• What to do when view goes wrong
• What to do with idle capital


Some important tweets of @Mitesh_Engr Sir

• What Data to look at
• ROI for safe players per month
• Max risk per day
• Gather knowledge and play directional
• Never play strategies
OPTIONS LEARNING , ALL , MPLEARNINGS
Advertisement
Aditya Todmal
Aditya Todmal
@AdityaTodmal
A THREAD:

BEST OPTIONS STRATEGY FOR CONSISTENT INCOME -

OPTIONS WHEEL STRATEGY

Everything to know about this strategy I'm posting in this thread.

(1/12)


Step 1: Stock Selection

1. For this strategy you're going to have to choose some stocks that you think will be doing well in the future/long term.

2. Stock must be in an uptrend.

3. Stock options should be liquid enough to trade in.

4. List of stocks attached

(2/12)


Step 2: Which option to sell?

1. Sell put at a support according to charts.

2. Sell put at a strike far away from the spot where you think the probability of the stock falling will be very very low.

3. Sell put at a price where you're willing to buy the stock at.

(3/12)


Step 3: What to do when in profit/loss?

1. If in profit you can just roll up the puts thereby increasing the ROI or shift to other stocks to make more profit.

2. If in loss take delivery of the shares equivalent to the lot size in cash market.

(4/12)

Step 4: What to do after taking the delivery?

1. Sell calls to lower your cost price of the stock. For eg, you took delivery of Reliance at 1900, sell 2100 CE which is about 10% away.

2. Keep doing this till your CE expires ITM and then give delivery of your stock away

(5/12)
TRADING , OPTIONS
Aditya Todmal
Aditya Todmal
@AdityaTodmal
After trading hours, homework involves using stock screeners.

Traders use screeners to sort 1500+ stocks into active ones, which saves a lot of time.

Here are the top 18 screeners:

Collaborated with @niki_poojary

Listing all scanners from @Pathik_Trader Sir first.

1. Open

2. 80-20 Reversal

3. Fake

4. Trapping Inside Bar (Positional
SCREENER
Aditya Todmal
Aditya Todmal
@AdityaTodmal
I gathered the best Youtube videos to learn Expiry trading for free.

If you want to master expiry trading, open this thread: 🧵

Collaborated with @niki_poojary

Here's what you'll find in this thread:

1. ATM strikes to zero
2. Big Gaps on Expiry Day
3. How to trade expiry when Nifty is behaving differently
4. Using Data points to trade expiry
5. Play for a flat move
6. How to profit post 3 pm exploiting the close price?

Let's go ↓

1. How to develop a framework to trade in ATM strikes on expiry day? Subhasish Pani on @vivbajaj Sir's channel.

One of call or put at ATM is going to go to zero.

Whichever is moving rapidly has a higher probability of going ATM/ITM. Sell the slower

2. How to trade a big gap up on expiry day?

If market bias is bullish and a gap-up happens, it comes for selling.

Can buy puts at the breakout of an inside candle as the market has a good probability of at least heading toward the previous day's

3. How to trade in Bank Nifty if it has already moved 160 points from its high to low by 11:30? @ThetaGainers

Sell near otms with double stop loss.

Avoid if stuck in a very small range.

Get out of both by 1
TRADING , ALL

More from Optionslearnings

Sarang Sood
Sarang Sood
@SarangSood
Low VIX doesn't necessarily mean ideal time for option buyers. If premiums aren't falling consistently during the day in low VIX, it usually gives those small delta & IV spikes, just enough to irritate both option buyers & sellers. Same happens when VIX is ultra high.
OPTIONSLEARNINGS
Aditya Todmal
Aditya Todmal
@AdityaTodmal
12 TRADING SETUPS used by professional traders:🧵

Collaborated with @niki_poojary

Here's what you'll learn in this thread:

1. Capture Overnight Theta Decay
2. Trading Opening Range Breakouts
3. Reversal Trading Setups
4. Selling strangles and straddles in Bank Nifty
6. NR4 + IB
7. NR 21-Vwap Strategy

Let's dive in ↓

1/ STBT option Selling (Positional Setup):

The setup uses price action to sell options for overnight theta decay.

Check Bank Nifty at 3:15 everyday.

Sell directional credit spreads with capped


@jigspatel1988 2/ Selling Strangles in Bank Nifty based on Open Interest Data

Don't trade till 9:45 Am.

Identify the highest OI on puts and calls.

Check combined premium and put a stop on individual


@jigspatel1988 3/ Open Drive (Intraday)

This is an opening range breakout setup with a few conditions.

To be used when the market opens above yesterday's day high

or Below yesterday's day's
OPTIONSLEARNINGS , TRADING , ALL
Advertisement
ANKY
ANKY
@ANKYIIMR
All important Options Selling Strategies..
A thread🧵:

Simple Directional Call Sell

View: Neutral to bearish
Limited Profit, unlimited risk.
High Probability of profit.
High Margin required.


Simple Directional Put Sell

View: Neutral to Bullish
Limited Profit, unlimited risk.
High Probability of profit.
High Margin required.


Call Credit Spread

View: Neutral to bearish
Limited Profit, Limited risk.
High Probability of profit.
Low Margin required.


Put Credit Spread

View: Neutral to Bullish
Limited Profit, Limited risk.
High Probability of profit.
Low Margin required.
OPTIONSLEARNINGS , ALL , LEARNING OPTIONS
Aditya Todmal
Aditya Todmal
@AdityaTodmal
First attempt to make a video by @niki_poojary

Covered weekly analysis of Bank Nifty.

Kindly give it a watch.
OPTIONSLEARNINGS
Van Ilango (JustNifty)
Van Ilango (JustNifty)
@JustNifty
Let me apply @Bijay_reborn 's strategies in options for some days and then share them.
2 Strategies I liked:
1. Plot ATM week CE/PE charts with VWAP & OI Change. Buy when prices move past VWAP while OI starts to move down.
2. Plot ATM Mth CE/ PE with AVWAP. If above, buy wk CE/PE
OPTIONSLEARNINGS , ALL

You May Also Like

Conservative Trader
Conservative Trader
@AnandableAnand
How to get rich trading (without getting lucky)

Complete beginner’s guide to wealth of Rs 10 Cr in 10 years

Step 1: start trading live

1/n

Nothing can substitute experience of live trading

No amount of back-test, studies or indicators can substitute training your mind with screen time

As a beginner, In live trading, you will make losses almost everyday

2/n

So here are the conditions which you can’t violate in first year
If you can’t follow these rules, this document is not for you

Start with trading capital of Rs 1 lakhs

Max loss per trade 0.25%, i.e. 250 Rs

Max loss for the day, 1%, i.e. Rs 1000

Max 6 trades in a day

3/n

I know, these conditions will cripple you in terms of what all you can trade and how

But just like any start up, trading is also about making it through initial gruelling constraints of life

You will also learn, how to turn these adverse rules to your advantage

4/n

Btw, you can sell directional banknifty options, obviously you can buy options, can do cash stock trading and much more under these conditions

Think about it, you will be do all kinds of instruments, just that PNL will not be roller coaster ride or exciting like a casino

5/n
TRADING , ALL
Brian Cates
Brian Cates
@drawandstrike
Great article from @AsheSchow. I lived thru the 'Satanic Panic' of the 1980's/early 1990's asking myself "Has eveyrbody lost their GODDAMN MINDS?!"


The 3 big things that made the 1980's/early 1990's surreal for me.

1) Satanic Panic - satanism in the day cares ahhhh!

2) "Repressed memory" syndrome

3) Facilitated Communication [FC]

All 3 led to massive abuse.

"Therapists" -and I use the term to describe these quacks loosely - would hypnotize people & convince they they were 'reliving' past memories of Mom & Dad killing babies in Satanic rituals in the basement while they were growing up.

Other 'therapists' would badger kids until they invented stories about watching alligators eat babies dropped into a lake from a hot air balloon. Kids would deny anything happened for hours until the therapist 'broke through' and 'found' the 'truth'.

FC was a movement that started with the claim severely handicapped individuals were able to 'type' legible sentences & communicate if a 'helper' guided their hands over a keyboard.
CULTURE
Advertisement
Patrick McKenzie
Patrick McKenzie
@patio11
A thing which I unironically and enthusiastically believe which is unpopular among smart people of my acquaintance: financial engineering has in the recent past and present contributed substantially to human welfare. We should hope to see more of it.

Maybe more geeks need to meet someone who says “My job is teleporting value across time and space.”

Financial engineering is sort of a squishy term. I don’t primarily mean payments infrastructure or financial rails, although both of those involve substantial engineering.

I mean more “We took a thing and performed some alchemy, and now have a new thing.”

Except instead of alchemy it is generally quite a bit of math, a huge amount of contract law and due diligence, often an impressive amount of ops work, and a dusting of technology that web devs would recognize as such.
ALL
Anu Satheesh
Anu Satheesh
@AnuSatheesh5
Importance of Famous Payyannur Pavithra Mothiram or Ring

Payyanur Sri Subramanya Swami Temple 🚩
Kerala

Temple, constructed by Parasurama is known as the 'Pazhani' of Kerala.The place got its name from 'Payyante Ooru' where Payyan is another name by which Subramanya was called.


There are references about this temple in Brahmanda purana. Muni Garga mentions this temple and the place to  the Pandavas when they were in Vanavasa. Temple was destroyed two times, once due to fire and then during the attack of Tipu Sultan.


Important tradition here is wearing of Pavithram by the temple priest. Pavithram is a sort of  ring worn during performing Vedic rituals or during the "pithrubali". Usually worn while performing Tarpana or Shradham. The traditional Pavitram is usually made of Dharbha grass
ALL
Anu Satheesh \U0001f1ee\U0001f1f3
Anu Satheesh 🇮🇳...
@AnuSatheesh5
Stories of Guruvayurappan
Shri Krishna Leela

This is a beautiful story of Guruvayurappan. Once there lived in Guruvayur a poor family. Kitta, his wife & kids were struggling for their daily needs. With only a coconut tree in house, he earned a living by selling coconuts.


Kitta was from a low caste family. He was a great devotee of Guruvayurappan. Everyday before going to work he always prayed infront of a picture of Guruvayurappan in his house. His only wish was to worship at Guruvayur & have annadanam in temple. But he was not allowed there


It was Utsavam time in Guruvayur. From far behind kitta and family worshipped Guruvayurappan. Annadanam was given daily and no one was left empty stomach. Only Kitta didn't receive. That night, it was only Kitta's family who was sleeping without food. After temple nada closed


Shri Krishna, dressed himself as a Brahmin went to temple Kitchen. He packed food and went directly to kitta's house. Reaching Kitta's house, Shri Krishna told he was sent by a cook of Guruvayur temple and gave them the food he packed. Kitta and family was very happy seeing food.


When Kitta finished his food, Brahmin asked it will be better if he get a tender coconut( karikku)to drink. Kitta climbed the tree and gave all coconuts to him. After having 1 tender coconut, the Brahmin asked to bring remaining coconuts to Guruvayur temple the next day.
ALL