Categories Life
Belief is an affective reflection on what one knows that applies some kind of inductive guess/bet as to what related knowledge will be discovered in future.
— Scott Hamilton (@DoqxaScott) December 7, 2020
Why should we be wary and cautious about our sense of confidence about what we know?
For the same reason Bertrand Russell's (metaphoric anthropomorphic) chicken should have been wary about the benevolent farmer (see quote at end of thread).
Had it conceived alternative theories about the farmer feeding it, it may have acted differently and had a better life outcome.
Although unlike in Russell's chicken metaphor, belief is not necessarily a consequence of the error of induction. Strictly speaking, it never is (again, refer to quote at end thread).
However, when one believes without an accompanying explicit argument (theory), it prevents any possibility for critically questioning the reasons for the belief.
Never thought I’d be grateful for @VP Mike Pence - but I am. He gave one of the finest speeches of any politician last night.
1/ I follow (and am followed by) people from across the political spectrum. We share a commitment to reversing the extremist agenda of the LGBT trans lobby; preserving women's sex-based rights & protecting children & vulnerable young people from puberty blockers & sterilisation. https://t.co/eMXliTbqDm
— Allison Bailey (@BluskyeAllison) November 8, 2020
2/ But most of all, despite everything that happened overnight in the US, I never thought I’d feel fear about a Democratic president, with control of both Houses of Congress - but I do.
3/ I’m a Democrat. I’m also a Black British feminist & a lesbian. I believe that sex is real & immutable. I believe passionately that gender-diverse & transgender persons must be protected from discrimination, but not at the cost of erasing ’woman’ as a sex based legal category.
4/ @biden has said that he will pass The Equality Act / HR5. If he does, women’s sex-based rights in the US will disappear & this will reverberate around the world: males able to elect to be locked up with women in prison; the end of women’s sports & scholarships...
5/ ... any mediocre male will show no shame in declaring themselves women & playing women’s sports; the end of safe spaces for women in hospitals, psychiatric units... it will mean that it will become impossible & illegal for women to organise & meet in the absence of males.
As a Believer, one of the greatest tests of my life is granting real forgiveness to all those who because of Politics twisted my deep agony and agitation for rescue of ChibokGirls into all forms of wicked accusations I have had to bear since 2014. And yet I must.
In this 2018 tweet, I was recounting how the @BBCAfrica handle broke the news of the abduction of ChibokGirls on the 15th and my immediate reaction was to ask them if the news was “verified”.
I mean, it was hard to imagine hundreds of schoolchildren being abducted. It was hard.
This was what on that April15 2014 I tweeted @ the .@BBCAfrica handle the first time I ever heard of the #ChibokGirlsAbduction:
— Oby Ezekwesili (@obyezeks) February 1, 2018
Verified? @BBCAfrica: Over 200 girls have been abducted in an attack on a school in north-east #Nigeria, parents say https://t.co/NKMOruZCI2\u2026\u201d
My follow-on tweet after asking @BBCAfrica if their breaking news on the abduction was verified is captured below. It sank in my mind that it was BBC News and that by the quality control standards, it was near impossible to break unverified news. Ah. My eyes rolled down tears.
I followed on that 1st tweet with:
— Oby Ezekwesili (@obyezeks) February 1, 2018
I hope this is NOT TRUE. The @BBCAfrica reports that some 200 school girls were abducted LAST NIGHT in Borno State? Any Tweeps in Borno?
As I waited for some minutes to learn more, tears rolled involuntarily because my mind said \u201cit\u2019s BBC o\u201d
As I waited handle out in Borno replied my tweet affirming the @BBCAfrica report .
My family remembers up until today how I wailed reading that.
It pierced straight to my heart that hundreds of poor innocent children of my fellow human beings were in the grips of terrorists.
As I waited with sinking feeling on that April 15, 2014 a fellow responded to my tweet and here was my reaction:
— Oby Ezekwesili (@obyezeks) February 1, 2018
\u201cOh dear! Praying our Security Team ACTS swiftly&brings GOOD NEWS @othmanyakubu: @obyezeks abductions confirmed and the number is above 100.\u201d
I started wailing.
Those who by 2014 followed me here would remember that EVERYDAY from that April 15 afternoon, all I started tweeting about was a shout to the then FG and Military to ACT SWIFTLY and RESCUE the abducted ChibokGirls.
Sadly, the Presidency and FG pretended nothing had happened.
Those who already followed me here on Twitter in 2014 would likely remember that EVERYDAY from that April 15 afternoon, ALL I BEGAN TO TWEET ON was a shout out to the then FG and Military to ACT SWIFTLY and RESCUE the abducted ChibokGirls.
— Oby Ezekwesili (@obyezeks) February 1, 2018
Sadly, THE FG PRETENDED NOT TO HEAR ME.
This is gonna sound cringe but only abandoning patriarchal culture will save them
Society doesn't owe you a girlfriend, but I do believe that society has an obligation to at least try to help the bulk of its people form healthh romantic relationships. I hope this belief doesn't make me The Joker...
— Noah Smith \U0001f407 (@Noahpinion) December 24, 2020
Japan is America's future where a large % of the population is going to be sexless and marriage less. We're already seeing the signs.
The globe is over-saturated with males because of stigma about daughters. Dating apps mean young women have a unprecedented amount of selectiveness to a (tiny) amount of high quality men. Other men will falter, making relationship rates decline and promote general unhappiness.
Sex work is good for a sex-crazed culture like ours but make no mistake it will not solve the depression and loneliness epidemic. Young men aren't sad about not getting sex, tho they say they are, they're actually sad about feeling
Is the solution that prostitution should be decriminalized like in Germany, Switzerland, the Netherlands, and Australia?
— Tim Smyth (@Tpsmyth01) December 25, 2020
We're going to have a to teach a new generation of women that masculinity isn't real and they selective few men they chase is not representative. To abandon their desires for a high earning man for marriage and the belief that somehow they expire at 30 years old.