BC LIFE
Saved by @Alex1Powell

Belief is a marriage between two functions of mind - emotion and explanation. It associates a feeling of confidence with an idea about how things are or should

 Why should we be wary and cautious about our sense of confidence about what we know?

For the same reason Bertrand Russell's (metaphoric anthropomorphic) chicken should have been wary about the benevolent farmer (see quote at end of thread).
Had it conceived alternative theories about the farmer feeding it, it may have acted differently and had a better life outcome.
Although unlike in Russell's chicken metaphor, belief is not necessarily a consequence of the error of induction. Strictly speaking, it never is (again, refer to quote at end thread).
However, when one believes without an accompanying explicit argument (theory), it prevents any possibility for critically questioning the reasons for the belief.
Therefore if we are mistaken, we deny the possibility of seeing how. This is particularly important when advocating for a course of action, and where predicted consequences from the belief are not easily and safely testable, as is the case for many social theories.
Of course, having an explicit argument is no guarantee the belief is correct. And it is no guarantee we will critically question our own argument. But it does at least present opportunity for someone else to show us, through argument, where they see we are mistaken.
Now, if I insist on having good reasons (a good argument) for holding a belief, what then is the difference between saying I believe compared with stating the claim or saying I know ?
In this way, it is possible to do away with the ambiguity in the concept of belief, and more importantly be able to separate a truth claim from a feeling of confidence about its truth value.
Furthermore, it liberates one's thinking such that one may entertain and follow an argument that one feels ought not be true. Thus opening opportunity to discover counter intuitive or paradoxical knowledge.
It shifts one from a mode of motivated reasoning to a mode of explorative objective reasoning. Temporarily unencumbered from our feelings about the problem situation.
What about when you want to express you are willing to bet (in principle) that a claim is true without having a great argument that it is?
No problem, there are alternative phrasings that communicate that idea: "I guess is true because ", "If is true, then might be true", and so on.
On the inductivist misconception from The Fabric of Reality, Ch3 by David Deutsch:

/end

More from Life

Brother Eddy\u26a1
Brother Eddy⚡
@waronweakness
THE TRUTH BEHIND WHY ONLY 2% OF PEOPLE SUCCEED AND 98% OF PEOPLE FAIL

(Plus a 30 minute exercise to get you into the top 2%)

//Thread//

Quick PSA: If you get value from this thread, please share some Knowledge Karma and retweet the first tweet 👆

Thank you.

Now let's upgrade your life..

I'll start by addressing the elephant in the room.

This is not another thread about "positive thinking" and us ing affirmations to get what you want.

You will need to take action for this to work.

If you are willing to do that

Read on 👇

Psychological Fact #1 : Reality = What you experience in your mind.

Reality is not objective.

This is why a man with a million dollars can say he's "depressed"

While a man with nothing in his pocket can say he's "happy"

and they can both be right at the same time.

A plastic surgeon noticed a pattern in his patients.

Even though a patient underwent transformative surgery and OBJECTIVELY looked more beautiful

Many came out of surgery and still saw an ugly person in the mirror.

How is this possible?

It all boils down to self belief.
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\u2607RiotWomenn\u2607
☇RiotWomenn☇
@riotwomennn
"I grew up in Finland.

a) it rains all year round.

b) we have a lengthy and cold winter.

c) Finland is a sparsely populated country with just over 5mil ppl, with land size ~3/4 of CA and most of it forests and lakes.

d) no friggin body is raking the forests." @mallahadley


. . .


Trump's "assertion that California’s forest management policies are to blame for catastrophic wildfire is dangerously wrong."

Trump's message attacking California is "ill-informed, ill-timed and demeaning to those who are suffering as well as the men and women on the front lines."

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20 lies that the world feeds us everyday

A thread...

Lie 1:
If you don't settle in your 20s, you are gone!
This is the decade.
You don't get another chance.
Study fast, get a job, get married, kids, that car, that house.
Quickly!
Time's running.
Look at everyone else doing it!

Lie 2:
People who are poor are lazy.
People who are rich are hardworking.
It is your fault if you haven't made it in life.
Look at everyone else who made it.
There is nothing granted or gifted in life.

Lie 3:
Those in corporate jobs, are unambitious.
They have sold their soul.
They are addicted to the salaries.
They could have done so much more with their life.
But they decided to spend it working for someone else.

Lie 4:
Starting your own business is the surest way of making money.
You can never get rich earning a salary.
You can never get rich working for someone else.
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Nicholas Clairmont
Nicholas Clairmont
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Stick with me for a story about how the logic of lockdowns can turn into something really sinister.

It begins with a Golden Retriever named Neesha

Neesha and her little pup sibling Harley were lost on an hike, taking in the outdoor air in the Wicklow Mountains.


If you've never been to Ireland, you should understand that these are 1) right near the city where most of the country lives and 2) the most beautiful thing you've ever seen


The dogs had bolted, and the owners had only ben able to find Harley. They thought Neesha was dead. But miraculously, two doctors on a hike in Wicklow found Neesha almost two full weeks later


She lost a third of her body weight, but now she is at home, snuggled up and warm with her family.
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silkcoeur
silkcoeur
@silkcoeur
[🔞 hopekook, rimming] happy vday if you celebrate it, last night i fell asleep thinking about a horny hopekook date where they set aside time to cuddle and watch something soothing and mindless. jk chooses a nature documentary, more for background ambiance than anything else.

they start out with hobi laying crosswise on the couch, and jk crawls between his legs, rests his head on hobi's sternum. he likes to cuddle like that because he can hear hobi's heartbeat. also hobi will usually skritch his scalp when they're in this position.

he's doing that now, running his fingers from jk's forehead to the nape of his neck, but then he scoops along jk's ear instead. fingertips smoothing along the shell curve and then gently tugging on his earlobe. he keeps doing it, repetitive. the apartment is warm.

and quiet, too, except for the doc in the bg and the soft sounds of their breathing. hobi's fingertips keep tugging easily, gently on his ear lobe and all of a sudden jk realizes he's getting hard. he doesn't pay it much mind, one or both of them often do when they cuddle, even

if it's just a cuddle session & not anything further. but then hobi moves his leg, feels it, laughs softly, & moves his leg again - this time, deliberately. jk smiles, rubbing his mouth against hobi's sweatshirt. he rolls his hips, real slow like, and feels hobi's dick, too.
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