Much to say about yesterday’s pardons and commutations. Before getting to the updated chart, some general reflections.

Trump has upended the traditional criteria for clemency: https://t.co/HkOXJwY4G7. The traditional guiding principle: “a pardon is granted on the basis of the petitioner's demonstrated good conduct for a substantial period of time after conviction and service of sentence.”
Request for pardon presumptively must wait 5 years after conviction or release. Traditional criteria include superlative post-conviction conduct & character; acceptance of responsibility & remorse; and hesitation to pardon serious offenses (violent crime, white collar fraud, etc)
V few of Trump’s clemency decisions meet these criteria. His pardons usually based on insider contacts, & are for v serious crimes that often dont satisfy 5-year rule, usually for people who do not express remorse. They almost always serve Trump’s personal or political interests.
As I told WP: “Other presidents have occasionally issued abusive, self-serving pardons based on insider connections. Almost all of Trump’s pardons fit that pattern. What other presidents did exceptionally, Trump does as a matter of course.” https://t.co/dF2NaHGK9S
The pardon power perfectly marries Trump’s privatization of the presidency to serve his personal interests with his love of exercising hard unilateral presidential powers in ways that make his enemies heads explode.
It’s the pardon power unleased to serve private gratification, score-settling, and eye-poking. And more transactional pardons are on the way. "Trump has told aides, advisers, allies, lawmakers and others to bring him names for consideration.” https://t.co/0JEubGK931.
Trump is stingy w/ pardon power even as he abuses it. He's granted a significantly smaller percentage of pardon requests than other presidents. https://t.co/yaJl9YHpaS He has issued new pardons since this chart, but nbr of requests also higher now. Trump is historical outlier
Now for updated chart in light of yesterday’s events. Some of these pardons were unusually tricky judgment calls based on incomplete and mixed evidence. We lay out the “evidence” in table below. Our best assessment of Trump’s pardons/commutations right now is as follows.
Total pardons/commutations by Trump: 94.

Breakdown:

1) Advance political agenda? 68/94
2) Personal Connection? 40/94
3) TV/TV Commentator? 13/94
4) Celebrity? 20/94

Personal or Political Connections (i.e. 1,2,3 or 4): 86/94 (91%)

https://t.co/gGHEUOuEGR
As best that we can tell (the data is obscure, we draw lots of inferences here), only 7/94 of Trump's pardons/commutations were recommended by the DOJ Pardon Attorney.

Thanks as always to @matthew_gluck for his work on the chart.

Let us know if we got anything wrong, please.

More from Law

This thread will debunk "the judges didn't look at evidence" nonsense that has been going around.

Over and over again, judges have gone out of their way to listen to the evidence and dismantle it, enjoy the carnage!

1/

Bowyer v. Ducey (Sidney Powell's case in Arizona)

"Plaintiffs have not moved the
needle for their fraud theory from conceivable to plausible"

This is a great opinion to start with. The Judge completely dismantles the nonsense brought before her.

2/

https://t.co/F2vllUhM2G


King vs. Whitmer (Michigan, Sidney Powell case)

"Nothing but speculation and conjecture"

This is a good one to show people who think affidavits are good evidence. Notice how the affidavits don't actually say they saw fraud happen in Detroit.

3/

https://t.co/NZAtqivWkL


Trump v. Benson (Michigan)

"hearsay within hearsay"

Another good one to show people who think affidavits are absolute proof.

4/

https://t.co/17GeGhImHF


Stoddard v. City Election Commission (Michigan)

"mere speculation"

/5

https://t.co/ekqYEqiIL9
I’ve been reading lots recently about the interaction between First Amendment law and free speech principles with respect to online services in light of the events of the last few weeks.

And I have thoughts (MY OWN). So, I’m sorry ... a thread 1/25

One of the main reasons I think users are best served by a recognition that social media services have 1st Amendment rights to curate the content on their sites is because many users want filtered content, either by topic, or by behavior, or other. 2/

So online services should have the right to do this filtering, and to give their users the tools to do so too. For more detail see our Prager U amicus brief
https://t.co/73PswB9Q7Q 3/

So, I disagree with my friends (and others) who say that every online service should apply First Amendment rules, even though they cannot be required to do so. There are both practical and policy reasons why I don’t like this. 4/

Most obviously, the 1st Amendment reflects only one national legal system when this is inherently an international issue. So it’s politically messy, even if you think a 1st Amendment-based policy will be most speech-protective (though probably only non-sexual speakers). 5/

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