Mr. X marked 1500 as a strong support in HDFC Bank. Next day, stock opened at 1510, came down and hit 1500.
ABC went long in the stock. A few minutes later, stop got triggered. What went wrong here?
(2/n)
Common price action trading mistakes that cost me lakhs of rupees:
A thread 🧵
1. Front running the market based on my analysis:
Any analysis we do should be proved by market as correct before we jump into a trade.
How?
(1/n)
Mr. X marked 1500 as a strong support in HDFC Bank. Next day, stock opened at 1510, came down and hit 1500.
ABC went long in the stock. A few minutes later, stop got triggered. What went wrong here?
(2/n)
At supports and resistances marked by a trader (you), wait for market to show the stock is actually taking support/resistance at those levels.
(3/n)
Essentially, on a lower TF, check for bullish price action at support, bearish price action at resistance before you enter the trade.
(4/n)
If you are a price action based trader, the most important guiding principle for you is:
1. Higher the timeframe, more accurate and reliable the technical analysis
2. But big moves start on small timeframes first.
(6/n)
The key is to balance these two principles and have a structure where you analyze markets on a TF and trade on a TF which complement each other.
(7/n)
If you are a day trader, do not pick stocks on 15 mins TF and trade on 15 mins. Switch your analysis to hourly TF/daily TF.
It will help avoid choppiness in the markets to a large extent.
(8/n)
A divergence is a signal for a potential reversal which MAY occur, but not a confirmation.
Just taking reversal bets on divergence will sooner or later burn big holes in your pocket.
(9/n)
Every divergence does not mean reversal and every reversal does not come with divergence.
(10/n)
Some people use RSI, MACD, Stoch RSI all on one chart.
On a minute basis, even though these oscillators have their own differences, fundamentally on a broader perspective, they have the same purpose.
(11/n)
So, pick one oscillator and do not clutter your chart and minds in live markets.
(12/n)
This could get a bit unpopular but I like to put the truth out:
Bullish candle patterns work well in bull markets and bearish patterns work well in bear markets.
(13/n)
(14/n)
More from Killer Trader 📉📈
Nifty basic volume profile analysis for today:
Yesterday, shared about various types of volume profile analysis and how to prepare for next day. Read here
We had discussed that a "p" shaped profile and close at highs indicates longs are in control of the market.
It also indicates high chances of uptrend continuation next day.
But
(2/n)
How to trade a failure of trend continuation? Yesterday, we saw a "P" shape profile in Nifty and close at highs.
But we failed to continue upmove today.
(3/n)
We opened positive but the opening breakout not sustaining is first cue to understand that bulls are lacking initiative to push prices up further.
(4/n)
For confirmation, one can use orderflow as well to see real time supply demand flowing into the market.
At open today, we saw fresh sellers coming in a bullish opening.
(5/n)
Yesterday, shared about various types of volume profile analysis and how to prepare for next day. Read here
How to analyze Nifty using various types of volume profile:
— Trader Abhishek (@KillerTrader_) September 5, 2022
A thread \U0001f9f5
(1/n)
We had discussed that a "p" shaped profile and close at highs indicates longs are in control of the market.
It also indicates high chances of uptrend continuation next day.
But
(2/n)
How to trade a failure of trend continuation? Yesterday, we saw a "P" shape profile in Nifty and close at highs.
But we failed to continue upmove today.
(3/n)
We opened positive but the opening breakout not sustaining is first cue to understand that bulls are lacking initiative to push prices up further.
(4/n)
For confirmation, one can use orderflow as well to see real time supply demand flowing into the market.
At open today, we saw fresh sellers coming in a bullish opening.
(5/n)
More from Genericlearnings
Here are my top 10 best tweets of the week: 24th September.
• Stocks to buy & hold forever
• Companies which will always be in business
• How to 10x money in 10 years?
• Feedback of company employees
• MWPL & F&O ban list explained
• Tradingview free version tricks
Stocks one can buy and hold
These companies will always keep running, no matter if recessions come or not.
26% CAGR makes your money 10x in 10
Some life
• Stocks to buy & hold forever
• Companies which will always be in business
• How to 10x money in 10 years?
• Feedback of company employees
• MWPL & F&O ban list explained
• Tradingview free version tricks
Stocks one can buy and hold
8 - Stocks For Buy And Hold Forever:
— Pankaj Parekh (@DhanValue) September 22, 2021
1. Asian Paints
2. Pidilite
3. HUL
4. Colgate
5. Nestle
6. Abbott
7. Honeywell
8. PGHH
NB: ITC is not included here due to its tobacco business.
Discl: Have a check and satisfy yourself before investing.
These companies will always keep running, no matter if recessions come or not.
26% CAGR makes your money 10x in 10
\u26a1\ufe0fIf you are making 26% CAGR then Rs 10,000 invested at 23 has the same value as:
— Soumya Malani (@insharebazaar) September 19, 2021
Investing Rs 1 Lakh at 33
Investing Rs 10 Lakh at 43
At 26% CAGR, your money grows 10 times in 10 years.
Young earners should realize this power and start early.
No amount is too small to start.
Some life
Old Life Lessons:
— R.K. (@ipo_mantra) September 19, 2021
-Mind your Thoughts: If u are Alone
-Mind your Tongue: If u are with Friends
-Mind your Temper: If u are Angry
-Mind your Behavior: if u are in a Group
-Mind your Emotions: If u are in Trouble
-Mind your Ego: If God showers His Blessing
Do u want to add more ?
You May Also Like
1/ Some initial thoughts on personal moats:
Like company moats, your personal moat should be a competitive advantage that is not only durable—it should also compound over time.
Characteristics of a personal moat below:
2/ Like a company moat, you want to build career capital while you sleep.
As Andrew Chen noted:
3/ You don’t want to build a competitive advantage that is fleeting or that will get commoditized
Things that might get commoditized over time (some longer than
4/ Before the arrival of recorded music, what used to be scarce was the actual music itself — required an in-person artist.
After recorded music, the music itself became abundant and what became scarce was curation, distribution, and self space.
5/ Similarly, in careers, what used to be (more) scarce were things like ideas, money, and exclusive relationships.
In the internet economy, what has become scarce are things like specific knowledge, rare & valuable skills, and great reputations.
Like company moats, your personal moat should be a competitive advantage that is not only durable—it should also compound over time.
Characteristics of a personal moat below:
I'm increasingly interested in the idea of "personal moats" in the context of careers.
— Erik Torenberg (@eriktorenberg) November 22, 2018
Moats should be:
- Hard to learn and hard to do (but perhaps easier for you)
- Skills that are rare and valuable
- Legible
- Compounding over time
- Unique to your own talents & interests https://t.co/bB3k1YcH5b
2/ Like a company moat, you want to build career capital while you sleep.
As Andrew Chen noted:
People talk about \u201cpassive income\u201d a lot but not about \u201cpassive social capital\u201d or \u201cpassive networking\u201d or \u201cpassive knowledge gaining\u201d but that\u2019s what you can architect if you have a thing and it grows over time without intensive constant effort to sustain it
— Andrew Chen (@andrewchen) November 22, 2018
3/ You don’t want to build a competitive advantage that is fleeting or that will get commoditized
Things that might get commoditized over time (some longer than
Things that look like moats but likely aren\u2019t or may fade:
— Erik Torenberg (@eriktorenberg) November 22, 2018
- Proprietary networks
- Being something other than one of the best at any tournament style-game
- Many "awards"
- Twitter followers or general reach without "respect"
- Anything that depends on information asymmetry https://t.co/abjxesVIh9
4/ Before the arrival of recorded music, what used to be scarce was the actual music itself — required an in-person artist.
After recorded music, the music itself became abundant and what became scarce was curation, distribution, and self space.
5/ Similarly, in careers, what used to be (more) scarce were things like ideas, money, and exclusive relationships.
In the internet economy, what has become scarce are things like specific knowledge, rare & valuable skills, and great reputations.
