BC FINANCE

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Ram Bhupatiraju
@RamBhupatiraju 2 years, 11 months ago 387 views

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One of my fav docs to come back to during all market cycles. Covering Investment principles, checklists, economic cycles/bubbles, value traps & more. Phenomenal compilation by @pcordway👏

cc: @dmuthuk @Gautam__Baid @saxena_puru

Some of my fav content.⬇️

https://t.co/TIkvktVoJC

Pretty good process and checklist.

Tenets from "The Warren Buffett Way"

Some lessons from Ben Graham

Phil Fisher's 15 Questions and 10 Don'ts.

Mistakes and biases from the book "Why Smart People Make Big Money Mistakes".

Howard Marks' wisdom.

The 2nd pic with "Investment and Credit Cycles" is an essential understanding.

✔️Principles of Good Corporate Governance
✔️Principles of Focused Investing
✔️Bill Ruane's Four Rules of Smart Investing

Some Financial shenanigans

Lessons from Jim Chanos on shorting (and stuff to avoid on the long side)

Seven traits shared by great investors

Common mental mistakes and behavioral biases (from Whitney Tilson)

Business checklist from Tom Gardner

Lessons from Akre Capital

Good explanation of bubbles

Guy Spier's "25 Common Mental Mistakes"

Ending with some Life lessons from Buffett & Munger

Of course, for someone investing in individual stocks, the LT results primarily depend on the economics of the business (including quality, durability, financials), Valuation, holding period and reactions to (non business) volatility...

..but this document gives a pretty good overview of many good investing principles that could be incorporated as they fit into your process and being aware of all the detractions in the markets (poor quality Cos, bubbles, cycles, behavioral biases...)

/END

More from Ram Bhupatiraju

Ram Bhupatiraju
@RamBhupatiraju

Time for a Scorecard📊and thesis📑updates for purchases done in Feb/Mar 2020. Last review done in late April. How far things have come since then.😯

Not taking any drastic actions, other than few sells in fully valued, slower growth Co.'s.

Events since then
✔️Co's reporting two Qtrly reports
✔️Accelerating growth for few sectors
✔️Understandable problems for few others
✔️Crazy run-ups & valuations in the last 9 mo's, supported by biz growth in some cases, but mostly due to Monetary factors & Investor enthusiasm...

I usually buy for two scenarios

1⃣Leading Co's within strong secular trends, that also have strong Management Teams and solid Financials (Rev growth, Profitability or improving Margins/FCF prospects, no balance sheet risk...).

These are bought with the intention of holding for the long-term as long as the thesis is intact or getting better. Strongly intend to add along the way. Ex : $ROKU $PINS $TWLO $DOCU $W $NOW $WDAY $NVCR $MTCH in the above table.

2⃣More mature and stable Co.'s but with some growth left (no Financial risk), mainly bought for their current under-valuation, with the intent to sell when the Market or those stocks recover. Ex : $BIP $BUD $VTR $BR $BA in above table.

Ram Bhupatiraju
@RamBhupatiraju

Excellent collection of articles related to Financial Statement Analysis and related topics, on Harvard Business School Online blog. h/t @online_HBS 👏

✔️The Beginner's Guide to Reading & Understanding Financial

How to Read & Understand

✔️Income Statement
https://t.co/sx2QP2kDvx

✔️Balance Sheet
https://t.co/xK5r04EmPT

✔️Cash Flow

✔️GAAP vs. IFRS : What are the Key Differences?
https://t.co/9vqtZVmOys

✔️20 Financial Terms to

✔️How to quickly & effectively read an Annual Report
https://t.co/6vNPoHY3yi

✔️Cash Flow vs Profit : What's the

✔️How to Value a Company : 6 Methods &

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Ram Bhupatiraju
@RamBhupatiraju

"The Millennial Consumer Index" - My picks for a DJIA style 30 stock Index with Co.'s that best serve that demographic.

Fellow Millennials, What would be some of your picks?😀
@richard_chu97 @saxena_puru @FromValue @TMFJMo @dhaval_kotecha @adventuresinfi @reshoftc @BrianFeroldi

My criteria & list is
✔️US Consumer centric
✔️No B2B stuff (unless end-user uses it for non-Business reasons also)

This is just a Fun-Friday exercise. So don't take it too seriously and ask me why your fav co isn't there. Just add yours in the comments. 😂

Picks ⬇️⬇️
E-Commerce : $AMZN $ETSY $W $LULU $CHWY
Entertainment : $GOOG $NFLX $SPOT $ROKU
Social : $FB $SNAP $PINS
Finance : $SQ $PYPL $LMND
Food/Beverage : $CMG $SBUX $DPZ $CELH
Online Services : $MTCH $ZM $DOCU $TDOC $RDFN $FVRR
Life style : $AAPL $TSLA $PTON $ABNB $UBER

Let's keep aside the discussions about recent hype or over-valuations for any of these Co's.

This thread is about which Companies (in my Portfolio/Watchlist/Universe) are doing an awesome job of serving/engaging the Millennial Consumers (in US).

The intersection of Technology, Demographic, and Consumer (behavior) trends are incredibly powerful.⚡️

We often over-estimate what can happen in the short-term (hype) and under-estimate what can happen in 1-2 decades (strong trends).

Ram Bhupatiraju
@RamBhupatiraju

"The Intelligent Investor" is a fantastic book for learning about Investor & Market psychology.

Great compilation of quotes from the book. h/t @KenFaulkenberry

cc: @dmuthuk @Gautam__Baid @saxena_puru

Use this great book for those timeless principles, not for the hard & fast rules and quantitative stuff that used to work 70 yrs ago.

My fav quotes in the thread below, categorized into few sections.👇👇

✔️Discipline

Investing isn’t about beating others at their game. It’s about controlling yourself at your own game.

The sillier the market’s behavior, the greater the opportunity for the business like investor.

By developing your discipline and courage, you can refuse to let other people’s mood swings govern your financial destiny. In the end, how your investments behave is much less important than how you behave.

The investor’s chief problem – and even his worst enemy – is likely to be himself.

Even the intelligent investor is likely to need considerable will power to keep from following the crowd.

Ram Bhupatiraju
@RamBhupatiraju

Some Excellent articles on Financial Ratios and Analysis.
h/t @discover_ci 👏

1⃣ Profitability

2⃣Liquidity

3⃣Leverage

4⃣Asset Management

5⃣Financial Analysis: What It Is and Tips for Getting it Right.

✔️Determining a Company’s Key Performance Indicators
✔️Collecting Company Financial Statements & Calculating Financial Ratios
✔️Analyzing Operating Results & Financial

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Prashant Shah
@Prashantshah267

Thread: P&F Super Pattern

An effective price pattern defined using properties of P&F charts.

#Superpattern #Pointandfigure #Definedge

Point & Figure is an oldest charting method where price is plotted vertically, and the chart moves only when price moves. It is a different way of looking at the price, the objective box-value and reversal value offers advantage of identifying objective price patterns.

When price is moving up, it is plotted in a column of 'X'. When it is going down, it is plotted in a column of ‘O’. Normally, three-box reversal criteria is used to define the trend & reversal. Unlike a bar or candle, the P&F column can have multiple sessions in it.

Link to know more about the subject:
https://t.co/2xtLAVPBvm

See below chart. Price is in a strong uptrend, P&F chart would produce a long of column of 'X' with more number of boxes in it.

If such a trend is followed by some time bars without meaningful price correct, P&F chart would not move, and it will remain in column of 'X' in such a scenario.

Christian Reshoeft
@reshoftc

(Thread) Why do I own individual stocks?

Thesis:

1. The digitalization of our world is 10% complete.
2. This megatrend will continue for at least another decade.
3. If you enjoy spending your free time on individual stocks, then the potential for outsized returns is possible.

What is my approach?

There are two parts to my portfolio.

- 40% in Vanguard All-World ETF. This is on autopilot w/ regular contributions.
- 60% in what I consider to be high growth stocks

I keep a balance by adding cash. No shuffling around unless it gets too out of whack.

The latter is the interesting part.

I invest in companies that can

1. successfully disrupt an industry with new business models $TTD $SQ $PTON $TDOC

2. further enable the digital transformation with their services and infrastructure $ZS $HUBS $TWLO $CRWD

I intend to hold my shares indefinitely and allow my investments to compound over time.

I don’t believe that it is possible to time the market. Markets go up and down. I hold on knowing that quality businesses tend to bounce back.

The list of reasons to sell is always long.

If you have full conviction in your holdings, then no single piece of “infotainment” should make you change your mind.

Ignore it + people who make predictions about the economy.

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Shuchi Nahar
@shuchi_nahar

To understand Financial Shenanigans & detect accounting manipulations from Annual Reports with checklist
In detail and lucid terms

Financial Shenanigans
(Part-1)
https://t.co/wa6HSElug0

(Part-2)
https://t.co/Vrva17GvgP

(Part-3)
https://t.co/XuziOCDHL2

@dmuthuk @ms89_meet

Vidya
@VidyaG88

1/16
Was reading upon #Biases & learnt a lot. Thought of sharing a few pointers .
Simply put Bias is a disproportionate weight in favour of or against any idea/thing in all aspects of life.
Few types of Biases ( out of the many) with not so random images. :)
+

2/16
The #DunningKruger effect now is fairly well known , wherein people with limited knowledge overestimate their competence, whilst the actually knowledgeable question themselves often .
"Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge".
+

3/16
*#SelfServingBias*
A very interesting bias wherein we credit our successes to purely ourselves, but when things go awry we cite luck & external forces .
Rings any bells?
Basically a defence mechanism to protect our self esteem & eventually from personal responsibility.

4/16
* #ConfirmationBias *
We all favour ideas & beliefs that affirm to our existing ones' , rarely being open to contradictory opinions .
(Especially in markets !! 😬) Why?

Laziness? Mental block? Ego ?
No wonder, Birds of a feather flock together ... 😉

5/16
* #SunkCostBias *
As we know, sunk costs are irrecoverable , regardless of outcomes. (Eg Money expended towards R&D for a molecule which doesn't work out)
But this actually extends in any investment we make - Time,Money, Effort, Relationships ...😏
Interesting right?

Maureen Fitzsimmons
@mojos55

@BylineTimes
1. The £22 billion Test and Trace system had a ‘relatively small’ effect on the R-number, a new evaluation from the Department of Health and Social Care has found.
2. EXCLUSIVE Firm Chaired by Government Procurement Advisor Awarded £38 Million Contract –

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Jaya_Upadhyaya
@Jayalko1

AHOBILAM NARASIMHA SWAMY KSHETRAM: KURNOOL (AP)
#andhratemples

Ahobilam is the place where Prabhu appears in his fierce form, called Ugra Narasimha, who is Svayambhu (self-manifest).
Ahobilam is one of the 108 Divya Desams. It has 9 shrines for different forms of Narsimha.

Ahobilam was the exact place where Sri Narasimha appeared and tore apart Hiranyakashipu to save Prahlad. At that moment, all the Devas appeared and praised him as Ahobala (Aho is mighty and bala is strength). So the place came to be called Ahobilam.

Out of the 9 shrines, most famous is the Ahobila Narasimha Swamy where Prabhu is seen as Ugra Narasimha.
In another shrine, Prabhu appears as Malola Narasimha Swamy. Malola means beloved of Lakshmi. Here Prabhu is in peaceful mudra with his consort Ma ChenchuLakshmi.

Jwala Narasimha Swamy shrine is the actual spot where the fierce anger of Prabhu reached its culmination when he tore Hiranyakasipu.

Ugra Stambham is the pillar from which Narasimha appeared with such force that the entire hill split into two.

sriram
@SriramKannan77

Swami Ramanujar:
Important personalities in Sri Ramanujas Life :
🌸ASURI KESHAVA SOMAYAJI-Father of Sri Ramanujar .Asuri keshava somayaji was a learned brahmana living in sriperumbudur.

🌸KANTHIMATHI-Mother of Sri Ramanuja. Kanthimathi was the sister of sri periya thirumalai nambi .
🌸SRI YAMUNACHARYA-Acharya of Sri Ramanuja.Also known as Alavandar.
🌸THIRUKOKOSHTIYUR NAMBI-Also known as Ghosti Purna.He instructed the Rahasya Traya to Sri Ramanujar.

He lived in thirukoshtiyur.
🌸THIRUKKACHI NAMBI-Kanchi purna was born in puvirunthavalli near kanchipuram and met the young ramanuja at an important time.He did the service of Lord Varadha.

🌸THIRUVARANGA PERUMAL ARAIYAR-Important acharya lived in srirangam and rendered the service of playing music for lord Sriranganatha.

🌸PERIYA THIRUMALAI NAMBI-He was the maternal uncle of Sri Ramanuja.He taught sri ramanuja about the epic of sri ramayana and other ithihaas and puranas.Served sri venkateswara at tirumala.

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$Anu Satheesh \U0001f1ee\U0001f1f3$

Anu Satheesh 🇮🇳...
@AnuSatheesh5

Thirumalai Murugan Kovil
#Panpoli
#TamilNaduTemples 🚩

Thirumalai Murugan Temple is located in Tenkasi district of Tamil Nadu. Muruga is worshipped as Thirumalai kumarasamy. Temple is situated near Kerala border and known to be where Shri Murugan gave darshan to Rishi Agasthiar

Devi is worshipped in the temple as Thirumalai Kaali amman

Sthala Puranam says that, there was a priest named Poovanbhattar of Thirumalai Kaali amman. Murugar appeared in a dream of the bhattar and said to find a Vigraham, lying in particular place which is of Thirumalaikumaran

Bhattar conveyed the news to the Pandalam Raja and they went to find out the vigraham. Surprisingly ants showed the way to find the Vigraham. Thus Murugan vigraham was found and Prathista was done here. There is a lake with pure water on the top of the hill

which is said to be created by Agasthiyar. It is believed that kannaki of
Chilapathikaram visited here before going to Kerala. Sapthamathrukkal also worshipped Murugan here. Kanthashashti Thiruvizha is very famous here.

Om Muruga
Muruganukku Harohara
🙏🕉🙏

Brian Cates
@drawandstrike

Great article from @AsheSchow. I lived thru the 'Satanic Panic' of the 1980's/early 1990's asking myself "Has eveyrbody lost their GODDAMN MINDS?!"

For three years I have wanted to write an article on moral panics. I have collected anecdotes and similarities between today\u2019s moral panic and those of the past - particularly the Satanic Panic of the 80s.

This is my finished product: https://t.co/otcM1uuUDk
— Ashe Schow (@AsheSchow) September 29, 2018

The 3 big things that made the 1980's/early 1990's surreal for me.

1) Satanic Panic - satanism in the day cares ahhhh!

2) "Repressed memory" syndrome

3) Facilitated Communication [FC]

All 3 led to massive abuse.

"Therapists" -and I use the term to describe these quacks loosely - would hypnotize people & convince they they were 'reliving' past memories of Mom & Dad killing babies in Satanic rituals in the basement while they were growing up.

Other 'therapists' would badger kids until they invented stories about watching alligators eat babies dropped into a lake from a hot air balloon. Kids would deny anything happened for hours until the therapist 'broke through' and 'found' the 'truth'.

FC was a movement that started with the claim severely handicapped individuals were able to 'type' legible sentences & communicate if a 'helper' guided their hands over a keyboard.

Jig's Patel
@jigspatel1988

How to trade on Expiry day with Nifty straddle?
(System trading on Expiry)

Triple straddle is one of the best and accurate methods for expiry day

If nifty trading at 15720 then will sell three straddles above 50 points from ATM, below 50 points and ATM.

Ex.
Sell straddle 15700(ATM), 15650(ATM-50), 15750 (ATM+50)

Stoploss of 80% on every leg and run your trade till 3 PM

Once SL hit in any Leg just keep holding other leg till expiry with SL (Never or less chance to hit both SL on expiry day)

Trading timing at 9:20 the Morning