First they came for the ๐ŸŸ

And John Redwood said the ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง fishing industry would adjust

Then they came for the ๐Ÿ– farmers and ๐Ÿท exports

And they said don't worry, it's just teething problems
Next they came for the ๐Ÿฆช exporters

And there the Minister wrote a letter saying ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ was wrong, when his officials knew ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ was right
Then the ๐Ÿงช industries worried about the ๐Ÿ’ท of making a new database to replace REACH

They're still waiting
The ๐Ÿš›๐Ÿšš operators fear that a load of vehicles are returning to ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ empty, and volumes are down

We do not recognise the numbers, the ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Government says
This all hit the exporters of seed ๐Ÿฅ” so badly

They cannot even send the potatoes to Northern Ireland
๐Ÿง€ producers and ๐Ÿ‘Ÿ stores had problems in their supply chains

So they set up operations in ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ countries, something ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Department for International Trade acknowledged was a good idea
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช businesses feared the ๐Ÿ“‘ to get anything on a โ›ด at a ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง port

So they put on half a dozen ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ช-๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท โ›ด routes to avoid ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง altogether
A mass of share trade has moved from ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง to ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ

And so the boss of the ๐Ÿด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ๐Ÿฆ "warns" ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ they are being unfair, but has no solution
1.3 million ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ citizens have ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡งโžก๏ธ in the past 12 months

No one knows who will do the jobs these people did once the economy recovers somewhat post-COVID
โฐ WAKE UP UK! โฐ

However you look at it, this makes *no sense*

It's not if you're pro-Brexit or not. It's about having a sensible view of the economic future of the country. Where is it?

/ends
Continued...

And they forgot the ๐ŸŽธ๐ŸŽค๐ŸŽถ and their ๐Ÿš›๐Ÿ”Š meaning they could not tour ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ any more

But despite it being a major industry for ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง, the Government has not sought to solve the problem
And it was not just ๐Ÿ– but ๐Ÿท๐Ÿฌ as well

Marks & Spencer might have to adjust its supply chain for Percy Pig sweets, and meanwhile its ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท stores are running low on ๐Ÿฅช too

More from Jon Worth

OK, it can be avoided no more.

This is perhaps the most complex ๐Ÿงต on #Brexit I've ever attempted. But this issue really matters.

Business, possibly even lives, depend on getting this stuff right.

It is about the complexity of Brexit delay, and what to do about it.

1/25

If negotiations had gone to plan, it would have worked thus:

1๏ธโƒฃ ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง&๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ agree a Deal, politically
2๏ธโƒฃ That is then turned into a legally ratifiable text
3๏ธโƒฃ Both sides then ratify - on ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ side Member States and the EP, ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง side the Houses of Parliament
4๏ธโƒฃ Deal in force 1.1.2021

2/25

The problem: we do not have 1๏ธโƒฃ yet.

And with just over 16 days to go - including ๐ŸŒฒ - we do not have time for 2๏ธโƒฃ and 3๏ธโƒฃ and hence no 4๏ธโƒฃ.

We *might* have time for 2๏ธโƒฃ - and that could prove to be significant (see tweet 7 below), but definitely not 3๏ธโƒฃ on ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ side.

3/25

*Essential* problem: by having spent so long talking (I think ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง tactic has been to run down the clock -
https://t.co/8EJZAJZHqz ) the path to a normal ratification is now โ›”๏ธ.

Now ratification becomes harder - legally, politically, practically - with every passing hour.

4/25

The most obvious stumbling block is...

๐Ÿฅ๐Ÿฅ๐Ÿฅ

... the European Parliament!

Parliamentary sovereignty, eh? A topic for another time.

Anyway, the EP has said it will not vote on a Brexit Deal this
To those saying that those who have got their public health advice wrong earlier in the pandemic should put up their hands and apologise... a little cautionary lesson from another sector

A short ๐Ÿงต

1/

Public health is not my thing

But Brexit is

And throughout 2019 and 2020 I have been trying to make predictions as to what will happen in that story. Lives do not depend on this, only my professional reputation (marginally) does

2/12

The three series of #BrexitDiagram I made in 2019 were extraordinarily accurate

Series 1/2
https://t.co/wOSzIXxJ2M

Series 3
https://t.co/E4fKeGoa5n

Series 4
https://t.co/yRsQ8mLGj1

Each series got that stage of Brexit right

3/12

The 2020 series was nowhere near as good - at one stage I had No Deal Brexit at 78% chance in early December - and that was not what

I own this error - I was wrong

I know *why* I was wrong - I thought the European Parliament would fight more on Provisional Application, and I thought agreeing everything in a week wouldn't work. I wasn't right

The Manston crisis / borders closing changed something too

5/12
Next week is shaping up to be one hell of a week in ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง politics

It all revolves around parliamentary sovereignty, Tory party shenanigans, and Johnson's need to survive and if that contradicts with doing the right thing

Bear with me - this is messy but important

1/12

Why will it be hellish?

We *know* that there will be a vote on Coronavirus Tier system on Tue 1 Dec, with the system to come into force from the end of 2 Dec

There *might* be a Brexit Deal at the start of next week as well, and Johnson having to OK it or not

2/12

Coronavirus first

I am not well placed to judge whether the Tier system is right (don't @ - reply me about that), but it's enough to say there are 3 grounds for critique
- do lockdowns work?
- does THIS lockdown system work?
- has my town/region been harshly treated?

3/12

Those are enough grounds for plenty of parliamentary opposition on the Tory benches, and on opposition benches too.

Labour could easily justify voting against in that some of the judgments on Tiers are not strictly based on the science

But what does voting *against* mean?

4/12

Were the vote lost, there would be little or no actual practical consequence regarding the Coronavirus restrictions - as discussed with Adam Wagner the government would almost certainly table Regulations using its emergency powers

More from Finance

Last week Hizbollah's finance institution Al Qard el Hasan was hacked by Spiderz. A group of people took that Data and tried to make sense out of it. Below are the findings

https://t.co/eGLqvb28o5


Loans are provided to borrowers for gold deposits or other guarantees, to the association's members and to unsecured applicants.

AQAH had a carried forward loan balance of $450 million as of December 31, 2019. This balance has been increasing at a yearly rate of 13.4%.


AQAH laundered around $475 million in 2019 in the form of disbursed loans paid to more than 20,000 borrower accounts; mostly to borrowers with gold deposits.

Deposits accounts have been offered to 307,000 members of the association, 83,000 contributors as well as to 600 companies. AQAH closed 2019 with an overall depositors accounts balance of around $500 million.
If you want to become financially independent and don't know where to start, here is a thread that will help you get started

/THREAD/

1. Review your expenses and make a budget

It will help you see where you overspend, make a plan to save, pay down debt and start


2. Set your investing and retirement goals

How much do you need to support yourself in retirement and when do you want to


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Here's why and how time and compounding can become your


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It's easy, safe, cheap, and the best choice for a beginner in investing, with not much time for

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