BC FINANCE
Saved by @Mollyycolllinss

1.Evolution is our top pick heading into February. We assess the company’s moat and long-term growth rate as highly misunderstood and often viewed upon with, in our view, undeserved skepticism.

 2.We view the acquisition of NetEnt as a rare combination of revenue and margin expansion with tangible opportunities to leverage upon. It is our understanding that Evolution will further strengthen the offering and move more towards becoming a one-stop-shop for operators.
3.With the help of NetEnt’s offering, Evolution will be able to penetrate new markets faster. Furthermore, we assess that Evolution, who are known for their innovation, will infuse new life into NetEnt’s own product line.
4.We also see synergies from the acquisition on the cost side. Evolution’s management is renowned for running a tight ship with a focus on profitability, something we got a glimpse of as they announced a large restructuring on the day of the acquisition.
5. In addition, from our research, Playtech’s largest competitive advantage compared to Evolution is its ability to offer more services than just live casino.
6. Playtech has mostly used its live casino as an add on for their RNG/Slots games. With the acquisition of NetEnt, Evolution can also offer more than live casino.
7. We think, and all research points towards it, that starting a successful live casino requires huge know-how and large upfront investments. On top of that, it would take several years before reaching break-even.
8. To quantify our statement, we have good sources indicating that starting a live casino business requires about €30m in initial investment, and an additional €20m before reaching break-even.
9. It is to our understanding that Evolution keeps increasing the gap to competitors, due to both scalability and innovation power.
10. Thus, with online casino still having a relatively small penetration on the overall casino market, we see a huge growth opportunity for Evolution going forward.
11. We have seen the market underestimating Evolution’s long-term growth prospects since their IPO back in 2015 and can see that they are continuing to estimate a slowdown in growth.
12. Within the gambling space there are always regulatory risks. Historically, these regulatory ramifications have been affecting more operators rather than suppliers. As always, it is important to keep close tabs on the competition and the competitor’s product launches.
13. All the data suggest that revenue growth has accelerated during Q4’20 and January. In our opinion, Evolution's current valuation reflects a stagnation in revenue growth, and the market is not putting enough attention to the high-likelihood of a long-tail growth.
14. We see exceptional good R/R in the coming 6-12 months and estimate that Evolution will generate annual operating profits of >€1b within three or four years.

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1/ Thread: $GOOG 4Q'20 Update

For the first time, GOOG segmented its cloud revenues/income separately, and overall revenue was >20% in 4Q which led to +7% after-hours reaction yesterday.

Here are my notes from earnings/press release.

2/ In the last quarter, here is the segment-wise growth:

Search +17.4%
YouTube ads +46.0%
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Cloud +46.6%

Cloud more than doubled in the last two years.
Other bets losses $4.5 Bn in 2020 (vs $4.8 Bn in 2019)


3/ Operating margin in Q4 ~28%
FCF margin in Q4 ~30%

One of the big takeaways was the core business was even MORE profitable than most investors thought since cloud had -42.9% operating margin.

$GOOG's search business is a good comp for Fed in terms of "printing" money. JK.

4/ "you can track takeout and delivery orders when you book or order from Google Maps"

"More than 0.5 million channels livestreamed on YouTube for the first time in 2020"

"videos in our new Shorts player are receiving 3.5 billion daily views."

5/ Google Pay app is now used by >150 mn people in 30 countries.

Cloud backlog $30 Bn now (from $19 Bn in Q3)

# of Deals >$250 Mn became >3x

Waymo is providing hundreds of fully AV rides per week

Retail searches >3x YoY

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Thread Best books recommendation by one of best investor I knew @insharebazaar (Virtually)

He grab many multibagger stocks and His style also unique(1st Seen interview in @TraderHarneet's YT Channel)

He follow Simple process

Young Intelligent Investor who also appeared in ET

1. One Up On Wall Street

2. Rich Dad Poor Dad

Access here : https://t.co/UWOCF732z6


3. The Unusual Billionaires

4. Trading in the Zone

https://t.co/G7mqVPtEM0


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Shuchi Nahar
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@shuchi_nahar
To understand Financial Shenanigans & detect accounting manipulations from Annual Reports with checklist
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0xRafi
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1/ A thread on $APY @apyfinance. I believe this could become a major DeFi bluechip, and I’ve been waiting since the 10th Feb for the price to settle before posting this! But it just won’t. So I’ll post it now, but please go slowly if you buy it. It just did a 5x in 2 days!

2/ So the APY platform is a yield farming aggregator that uses a single pool of liquidity and automatic rebalances the portfolio among different strategies to optimise risk adjusted yield revenues. It is basically like having an automated fund manager managing your portfolio.

3/ Today, if for example, you have funds in a yearn vault and you realise another vault launched with better returns, it can cost 100’s of dollars in ETH fees to switch between them. For anyone not investing huge amounts, this makes switching strategies completely unpractical.

4/On APY, with a single deposit, users funds will be spread across multiple yield farming strategies and automatically rebalance over time to optimise risk-adjusted returns. So users won’t need to keep track & switch between strategies (+pay for fees!) to optimise yield over time

5/ The genius step here is that the $APY algorithm will track not only the strategies % yields, but also risk scores taking into account financial, liquidity or smart contract risks, so funds will be re-allocated over time in order to maximise yield but also manage risk.
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Way to #Financial freedom

1) Rule of 72 (Double Your Money)
2) Rule of 114 (Triple)
3) Rule of 144 (Quadruple)
4) Rule of 70 (Inflation)
5) 4% Withdrawal Rule
6) 100 - Minus Age Rule
7) 10, 5, 3 Rule
8) 50-30-20 Rule
9) 3X Emergency Rule
10) 40% EMI Rule
11) Life Insurance Rule

1) Rule of 72
No. of yrs required to double your money at a given rate, U just divide 72 by interest rate
Eg, if U want to know how long it will take to double your money at 8% interest, divide 72 by 8 and get 9 yrs

At 6% rate, it will take 12 yrs
At 9% rate, it will take 8 yrs

3) Rule of 144

No. of years required to, quadruple your money at a given rate, U just divide 144 by interest rate.

For eg, if U want to know how long it will take to quadruple your money at 12% interest, divide 144 by 12 and get 12 yrs

At a 6% interest rate, it will take 24yrs

4) Rule of 70

Divide 70 by the current inflation rate to know how fast the value of your investment will get reduced to half its present value.

The inflation rate of 7% will reduce the value of your money to half in 10 years.

5) 4% Rule for Financial Freedom

Corpus Reqd- 25*Annual Expenses

Eg- the annual expense is 500,000 then the corpus required to retire is 1.25 cr.

Put 50% into fixed income & 50% into equity.

Withdraw 4% every yr, i.e.5 lac.

This rule works for 96% of the time in 30 yr period
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