1) #Bitcoin $ETH #Defi THE ART OF Contrary Thinking by
HUMPHREY B. NEILL
It Pays To Be Contrary
"What is the Theory of Contrary opinion?"
Primarily, it is a method of ruminating over a broad range of public questions; political, economic, and social.
wrong When writers write alike, readers are prone to
think alike Too many predictions spoil the forecasts;
or, to put it another way, the weight of predictions causes
their own downfall.
let's not overweigh it. It is more of an antidote to general
forecasting than a system or forecasting.
workable, include:
Habit
Emotion
Irritability
Custom
Greed
Pride-of-Opinion
Imitation
Hope
Wishful Thinking
Contagion
Impulsiveness
Fear
a. A "crowd" yields to instincts which an individual acting alone represses.
b. People are gregarious; instinctively they follow the im-
pulses of the "herd."
leader) make people susceptible to suggestion, to commands, to customs, to emotional motivation.
d. A crowd never reasons, but follows its emotions; it accepts without proof what is "suggested" or "asserted."
this propaganda analysis, but so long as "opinion-makers"
are out to sway and mold public opinion the only defense is
"to doubt all before you believe anything"-and to look
behind the words for meanings.
by The Market Cynic
1. Put your trust in board-room gossip.
2. Believe everything you hear, especially tips.
3. If you don't know, guess.
4. Follow the public.
5. Be impatient.
6. Greedily hang on for the top eighth.
7. Trade on thin margins.
8. Hold to your opinion, right or wrong.
9. Never stay out of the market.
10. Accept small profits and large losses.
greed, pride-of-opinion, wishful thinking)
are so strong in the human that they
prevent one from being objective. Objective analysis of economic trends is imperative, I believe, as subjective reasoning leads to opinionated conclusions.
his own opinion he is likely to "stand on
his opinion," right or wrong. No trait is
stronger, perhaps, than that of defending
one's opinion and of being unwilling to
admit error in judgment.
the next problem was to find a solution.
If individual opinions are unreliable, why
not go opposite to crowd opinion-that is,
contrary to general opinions which are so
often wrong?
of great value in analyzing economic and political
trends, not merely to catch an occasional swing in
the stock market.
of fundamental shifts in our economy and in the
world economy. In this regard they are significant,
of course, but the lesser ups and downs in stock prices
are of negative value and are generally unpredictable.
with sufficient accuracy to feel reasonably confident
of the contrary conclusion. It takes time to form the
habit of thinking contrarily.
economic situation it is difficult oftentimes to sub-
merge your feelings and coldly gauge public opinion.
So, occasionally you will misjudge public opinion
because of your preconceived opinions.
become a member of the "public" and in reality
think as the public does.
opposite" you will less frequently be subject to the
old traits. Finally, you may become completely objective and become the boss over those natural human
failings.
More from Crypto
🚨Altcoin Trading Indicator🚨
How to use it. A THREAD.
Please Share.
To use it to buy Altcoins and make a high probability entry, the following conditions needs to be fulfilled.
For a long.
1. A green candle Closes above the cross.
2. Heikin Ashi candle turns green.
3. Price should be above 0.236 Fib from the swing high.
How to add the Indicator.
1. Click on the link and Add it to favorites and apply.
https://t.co/Kn90qgDjMi
2. Or Search it in the tab and then apply it.
The indicator itself the most comprehensive Moving Average Indicator which provides 9 MAs and 13 Different times of MAs.
The base of the indicator was by @insiliconot.
To further enhance it, I have added a cross indicator on the cross which works the best historically on Alts.
Condition 1- The cross.
Entry is made when a Cross occurs on the EMA 13/21.
The indicator automatically indicators the Cross with P for a positive cross or N for a negative cross.
This is the first condition for an Entry.
How to use it. A THREAD.
Please Share.
To use it to buy Altcoins and make a high probability entry, the following conditions needs to be fulfilled.
For a long.
1. A green candle Closes above the cross.
2. Heikin Ashi candle turns green.
3. Price should be above 0.236 Fib from the swing high.
How to add the Indicator.
1. Click on the link and Add it to favorites and apply.
https://t.co/Kn90qgDjMi
2. Or Search it in the tab and then apply it.
The indicator itself the most comprehensive Moving Average Indicator which provides 9 MAs and 13 Different times of MAs.
The base of the indicator was by @insiliconot.
To further enhance it, I have added a cross indicator on the cross which works the best historically on Alts.
Condition 1- The cross.
Entry is made when a Cross occurs on the EMA 13/21.
The indicator automatically indicators the Cross with P for a positive cross or N for a negative cross.
This is the first condition for an Entry.
Back with another #FreeLoveFriday. Last time, we covered how Mastercoin/@Omni_Layer pioneered digital asset issuance on blockchains. Today, let’s discuss @Chainlink and the vital role it plays in connecting blockchains to the real world.
I have said repeatedly that digital asset issuance is the killer application for blockchains. The next frontier is bringing real world assets to networks like @AvalancheAVAX, but we often face a significant problem:
Namely, how do you get data from the real world onto blockchains and into applications running on them? More critically, how do you achieve that securely and transparently in real-time? Smart contracts are tamper-proof, but they're only as reliable as their input data.
Enter ChainLink in September 2017, with a whitepaper outlining a vision for a decentralized network of “oracles,” entities that inject facts from the external world into blockchains in a suitable format for smart contracts.
Until ChainLink, oracles were trusted and centralized. This is a huge problem for high-value assets and smart contracts. High value projects, such as @CelsiusNetwork, @synthetix_io, @Aaveaave and others depend critically on oracle data.
Back with another #FreeLoveFriday. My first thread focused on what I love about Bitcoin, and features we borrowed for @AvalancheAVAX. Today, let's focus on @Omni_Layer, or as OGs knew it, Mastercoin https://t.co/fXFgmaeUEz
— Emin G\xfcn Sirer (@el33th4xor) January 15, 2021
I have said repeatedly that digital asset issuance is the killer application for blockchains. The next frontier is bringing real world assets to networks like @AvalancheAVAX, but we often face a significant problem:
Namely, how do you get data from the real world onto blockchains and into applications running on them? More critically, how do you achieve that securely and transparently in real-time? Smart contracts are tamper-proof, but they're only as reliable as their input data.
Enter ChainLink in September 2017, with a whitepaper outlining a vision for a decentralized network of “oracles,” entities that inject facts from the external world into blockchains in a suitable format for smart contracts.
Until ChainLink, oracles were trusted and centralized. This is a huge problem for high-value assets and smart contracts. High value projects, such as @CelsiusNetwork, @synthetix_io, @Aaveaave and others depend critically on oracle data.
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👨💻 Last resume I sent to a startup one year ago, sharing with you to get ideas:
- Forget what you don't have, make your strength bold
- Pick one work experience and explain what you did in detail w/ bullet points
- Write it towards the role you apply
- Give social proof
/thread
"But I got no work experience..."
Make a open source lib, make a small side project for yourself, do freelance work, ask friends to work with them, no friends? Find friends on Github, and Twitter.
Bonus points:
- Show you care about the company: I used the company's brand font and gradient for in the resume for my name and "Thank You" note.
- Don't list 15 things and libraries you worked with, pick the most related ones to the role you're applying.
-🙅♂️"copy cover letter"
"I got no firends, no work"
One practical way is to reach out to conferences and offer to make their website for free. But make sure to do it good. You'll get:
- a project for portfolio
- new friends
- work experience
- learnt new stuff
- new thing for Twitter bio
If you don't even have the skills yet, why not try your chance for @LambdaSchool? No? @freeCodeCamp. Still not? Pick something from here and learn https://t.co/7NPS1zbLTi
You'll feel very overwhelmed, no escape, just acknowledge it and keep pushing.
- Forget what you don't have, make your strength bold
- Pick one work experience and explain what you did in detail w/ bullet points
- Write it towards the role you apply
- Give social proof
/thread
"But I got no work experience..."
Make a open source lib, make a small side project for yourself, do freelance work, ask friends to work with them, no friends? Find friends on Github, and Twitter.
Bonus points:
- Show you care about the company: I used the company's brand font and gradient for in the resume for my name and "Thank You" note.
- Don't list 15 things and libraries you worked with, pick the most related ones to the role you're applying.
-🙅♂️"copy cover letter"
"I got no firends, no work"
One practical way is to reach out to conferences and offer to make their website for free. But make sure to do it good. You'll get:
- a project for portfolio
- new friends
- work experience
- learnt new stuff
- new thing for Twitter bio
If you don't even have the skills yet, why not try your chance for @LambdaSchool? No? @freeCodeCamp. Still not? Pick something from here and learn https://t.co/7NPS1zbLTi
You'll feel very overwhelmed, no escape, just acknowledge it and keep pushing.