Scathing comments on Crypto from Mr Rabi Shankar - Deputy Governor, RBI.

1) On crypto being treated as a currency:
"Currency always has an issuer, usually a trusted entity like the sovereign. Even when gold is used as a currency, the gold coins had to be issued by a sovereign.

Secondly, historically, a currency has always been either a commodity with intrinsic value or a debt instrument. Cryptocurrencies do not conform
to this understanding as they do not have an issuer, they are not an instrument of debt/commodities nor do have any intrinsic value.
Currency needs trust, not everything that can be trusted is a currency. So even if technology (as
in a blockchain) provides the trust for cryptocurrencies, they can at best perform the role of a currency within the private and closed environment of that cryptocurrency.
They do not, and should not, automatically become a currency for the larger society "
2) On crypto being treated as a financial asset : "This is also problematic because all financial assets have underlying cash flows and need to be some person’s liability.
Cryptocurrencies are neither any person’s liability nor do they have any underlying cash flows. They are not financial assets, by definition."
3) On crypto being treated as a commodity : "Commodities are tangible and have utility; cryptocurrencies have neither. There is this somewhat
awkward attempt to equate some of them with gold, hence limiting their supply like natural resources, or creating them through mining.
Limiting supply by design is not same as limited supply in nature (like gold) because (a) design can be modified & hence such limitation is artificial, and (b) even if 1 cryptocurrency has limited supply, that limitation does not work for all cryptocurrencies taken together.
Further the fact that gold is mined does not in itself make it money, it has to be stamped and issued by a sovereign to make it money."
4) On crypto being treated as digital asset: "Even that is doubtful as cryptocurrencies do not have any underlying use, like for instance car hiring softwares or a core banking systems, or, for that matter,
smartphones.
That basically leads to conclusion that it's an electronic code (with no practical use) which has created enough hype such that people are willing to pay money to buy ownership rights to that electronic code, seemingly on the hope that someone else would buy it at a higher price
What started off as a medium of exchange has appeal similar to that of a speculative asset.
As a store of value, cryptocurrencies like bitcoin have given impressive returns so far, but so did tulips in 17th century Netherlands. Cryptocurrencies are very much like a speculative or gambling contract working like a Ponzi scheme.
In fact, it has been argued that the original scheme devised by Charles Ponzi in 1920 is better than
cryptocurrencies from a social perspective. Even Ponzi schemes invest in income earning assets.
A bitcoin is akin to a zero-coupon perpetual; it’s like you paid money to buy a bond which pays no interest and which will never pay back the principal. A
bond with similar cash flows would be valued at 0, which, in fact, can be argued as the fundamental value of a crypto"
Full speech can be read at :
https://t.co/mX9n2ukCN8…

Interestingly its second time in a week that tulip reference has been used by RBI 🙂

More from Crypto

1/ A thread on Nexgen’s Arrow & the #uranium cycle ($NXE)


2/ Given the scale and cost structure of Arrow, it makes sense that investors are intensely focused on its delivery timeline. This thread will discuss possible timelines, current market expectations (i.e., what’s “priced in”) & how different Arrow scenarios will impact the mkt.

3/ As you can see from the litany of responses to Michael’s tweet, there is great skepticism in the market regarding Arrow’s timeline. This is largely due to a bearish narrative conveyed by competing CEO’s whose assets only hold value if Arrow is substantially delayed.

4/ Those who played “King of the Hill” as a child would remember that it is the person at the top who is constantly attacked, not the kid sitting at the bottom of the hill in the mud. No one cares enough about that kid to attack them. This is a good parable for $NXE & Uranium.

5/ First a quick note on “this cycle” – Segra generally defines this cycle as the deficits forecasted from the mid-2020s to late-2030s. When people imply an asset producing in the mid-to-late 2020s will “miss the cycle”, they clearly have not done any real S/D modelling.

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