If the two sides walk away then we dont need to see the govt recalling UK parliament & the european parliament also doesn't need to vote
With 10 days to go, there are three main outcomes of the #Brexit talks:
1) no deal
2) the two sides are still talking but run out of time - qu if can find other ways to buy more time
3) a deal is reached which the UK ratifies & EU provisionally applies
If the two sides walk away then we dont need to see the govt recalling UK parliament & the european parliament also doesn't need to vote
While I dont think UK will be straight back to the negotiating table - esp if PM unwilling to compromise in current circumstances - there will still be unresolved issues
They may want to buy more time for talks but as @GeorginaEWright has pointed out, it is really much more complicated than that: https://t.co/a9r2vzVjQ6
Extending the transition period is a lovely idea - in theory. But in practice, it's a total minefield and not clear it can be done in time. Why? Thread.
— Georgina Wright (@GeorginaEWright) December 21, 2020
Although @aliceolilly has pointed out recall has been complicated by covid rules: https://t.co/kPaA7vXT32
There is still - just about - enough time for the UK parliament to pass implementing legislation
Quick thread on recall, coronavirus, Brexit, and why it\u2019s all a bit more complicated than usual.
— Dr Alice Lilly (@aliceolilly) December 20, 2020
So: recall happens at the request of the government. Parliament cannot recall itself. Explainer here: https://t.co/4myCgbpUqM
More on UK process here: https://t.co/bHExrSh8xb
But, although politically difficult, the Council can still chose to provisionally apply the treaty: https://t.co/MNnTkxnry4
As we discussed two weeks ago: https://t.co/COcWhsEA7E
Brexit talks are in the 'tunnel' or final stretch, with rumours of a deal as soon as next week.
— Joe Marshall (@Joe_Marshall0) November 17, 2020
But what difference would a deal make?
\U0001f9f5
Tl,dr: Not much in terms of what needs to be done to prepare, but a big difference for business and future UK-EU relations
1/
More from Brexit
First Equity @EquityUK put out a letter to @BorisJohnson warning that #brexit was a "towering hurdle" (you'd want Brian Blessed reading that part) to UK actors plying their trade in EU - a double whammy with #COVID19 /2
https://t.co/mXjTAISqZk
@BorisJohnson One third of Equity members say they've seen job ads asking for EU passport holders: "Before, we were able to travel to Europe visa-free. Now we have to pay hundreds of pounds, fill in form after form, and spend weeks waiting for approval" /3
@BorisJohnson Worth recalling that all this goes back to the UK desire NOT to have a 'mobility' provision within the TCA - all part of 'ending Free Movement' and the professional services folk - including musicians, actors, fashion models etc -are all victim of
@BorisJohnson What's the government going to do about all this? Good question, which brings us to todays @CommonsDCMS hearing in which the Culture Minister Caroline Dinenage @cj_dinenage frankly pin-balled around the issues /5
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— John Noonan (@noonanjo) October 20, 2018
Russia hasnt been a willing partner in years. There will be gnashing of teeth from people who do arms control advocacy full time, but this is right movehttps://t.co/WmQE43ERCB
Rand is just like his dad, Ron. 100% isolationist.
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Russia hasn't been a willing partner in this treaty for almost 3 decades. We should have ended the pretense long ago.
Naturally, Rand Paul is telling anyone who will listen to him that Trump is making a HUGE MISTAKE here.
Arms control agreements are good when you have willing partners. Lightens the load on our military.
— John Noonan (@noonanjo) October 20, 2018
Russia hasnt been a willing partner in years. There will be gnashing of teeth from people who do arms control advocacy full time, but this is right movehttps://t.co/WmQE43ERCB
Rand is just like his dad, Ron. 100% isolationist.
They've never grasped that 100% isolationist is not 'America First' when you examine it. It really means 'America Alone'.
The consistent grousing of pursuing military alliances with allies - like Trump is doing now with Saudi Arabia.
So of course Rand has also spent the last 2 days loudly calling for Trump to kill the arms deal with Saudi Arabia and end our alliance with them.
What Obama was engineering with his foreign policy was de facto isolationism: pull all the troops out of the ME, abandon the region to Iranian control as a client state of Russia.
Obama wasn't building an alliance with Iran; he was facilitating abandoning the ME to Iran.
Obama wouldn't even leave behind a token security force, so of course what happened was the rise of ISIS. He also pumped billions of dollars into the Iranian coffers, which the Mullah's used to fund destabilizing activity [wars/terrorism] & criminal enterprises all over the globe