To those who thought FMCG goes only one way, investing is super easy. buy quality FMCG at any valuations, do check history, though, its one of best sectors, it does test lot of patience

@_CreatingWealth sure, only request. Plz do not take it negative. Get over metric like PE, even if use it , at least take cash flow based PE. Many times, it would make worst investments attractive n decent one unattractive. It has lot of bias, limitation n constraint. 1 must know before using it

A thread of strength in the market.

An analysis which I did during Covid crash with @MashraniVivek on which sectors and stocks were strong, and we did pick pharma, chemical early cycle. Though we do not know where market is heading, doing such exercise always helps to find

strength when market bottoms. Of course, it requires much more reading and conviction building and hence should be taken only as a starting point. Here is how this list has been generated
1. Pick top 500 companies
2. Find list of companies which have fallen < 10% in last 3 months

Totally 61 out of 500 stocks.
This is how the sectors come up.
✍️Auto and Capital Goods stand out
✍️Do not ignore defence for sheer count as there are few companies in sector
✍️Next pocket looks like few beaten down sectors/stocks where may be value is emerging - FMCG, Pharma

List of stocks - Auto tops the list followed by capital goods, bank and financial, pharma and defense. Disc: I am biased towards auto n financials (keeping FII selling risk aside). Also, this is still a watchlist activity and I am not acting on it except being

invested in few auto n banking names. Please do your own due diligence. I am not a registered investment advisor and this is not a recommendation. Follow @ScientificInve6 and our Youtube channel for more such

Some company's concalls are addictive. You go through one n learn so much about industry that u keep going. Name some of such companies. Let me start - Heritage concalls on Dairy Industry

Your list?
If it's better than 10 year multi bagger stock list, then, like n forward 😄

Prediction is an addition in financial world many suffer from

Sorry, addiction

#Maithanalloys part 2 on valuation n other details will be out this weekend. In case you have not watches part 1, it's here. This is for fundamental investors.

So, above Rs 250 Cr market cap (thats where I like to play mostly), out of 1168 companies:

> 40% correction : 6% companies
> 30% correction : 18% companies
> 20% correction : 45% companies

Not bad. So, almost evey second company is down by 20% from life time high

How is India thinking about investing, trading and fin-influencers?

A 🧵 based on web and Youtube based Google trends

Intraday Trading: 2 peaks made in last 2 decades
Life comes back to normal slowly with P&L screenshots reaching their peak in mid of 2021.

in case you are not sure how to read and interpret these charts, please read how to interpret google trends charts and data here:

Options Strategies: Lost its charm from 2010 to 2020 and then tremendous interest. Though minor decline, still, remains popular. Any reasons?

Quite popular in Maharastra and Gujarat ( 2 big states for capital markets)

Options Selling: Trends very similar to options strategies but has been losing interest recently down 50% from peak

More popular across south India compared to MH & GUJ. Why?

🖍 What is investing cycle?

😄 2006-07, 2009-10, 2017, 2021
What fundamental, what valuation, what governance, what history when future bright 🤡

😕 2002-03, 2008, 2012-13, 2018-19
Only invest in good companies, fair valuation, with good history and honest promoter 🥵

#NIFTY Blueline is 20M EMA. One of key support in uptrend. From Sept'18 (peak) and Feb'16 (bottom), current NIFTY CAGR: 8.7% and 14.8%. Same in Oct'21, 16% and 21%. If stays at these levels for 1 year, 4.5 year CAGR will be 6.7%. Something to chew on reversion to mean

Prices fall, then, margins/topline takes beating, then, rerating normalizes, then, market loses interest, derating happens.Nothing excites - topline/margin. Market does not find quock triggers. Value emerges. Oneday triggers come, prices rise, growth comes, rerating happens

#HDFC What big seller pressure can do to value in shorter term (long term matlab 1 saal nahi 2-4 saal 😁) or holdco discount increasing?

One of biggest insight I can give to long term investors - Never never invest in stock where monthly RSI14 is <50, stock attempts to cross it but stays below it. Have seen enough charts to conclude. Probabilities wont be in favor and can see multi year time correction

1/1 The statement might look simple but has lot of nuances to understand. The best way is go open charts and explore. Any session I take my focus is on taking one simple statement n bring all nuances. May be sometime will do for this too but you need to explore it yourself.

2/2 Must have some basic knowledge of time frames, longevity of sata etc etc technical analysis to consume it fully. Explore it, it's a beautiful world.

#HDFC Only 2 times, HDFC has broken 200W EMA, 2008 and 2020. 4 times acted support

Any guesses which company? Will the resistance of PE will play again?