2 wheeler components in an image from #varroc investor presentation

A thread of strength in the market.

An analysis which I did during Covid crash with @MashraniVivek on which sectors and stocks were strong, and we did pick pharma, chemical early cycle. Though we do not know where market is heading, doing such exercise always helps to find

strength when market bottoms. Of course, it requires much more reading and conviction building and hence should be taken only as a starting point. Here is how this list has been generated
1. Pick top 500 companies
2. Find list of companies which have fallen < 10% in last 3 months

Totally 61 out of 500 stocks.
This is how the sectors come up.
✍️Auto and Capital Goods stand out
✍️Do not ignore defence for sheer count as there are few companies in sector
✍️Next pocket looks like few beaten down sectors/stocks where may be value is emerging - FMCG, Pharma

List of stocks - Auto tops the list followed by capital goods, bank and financial, pharma and defense. Disc: I am biased towards auto n financials (keeping FII selling risk aside). Also, this is still a watchlist activity and I am not acting on it except being

invested in few auto n banking names. Please do your own due diligence. I am not a registered investment advisor and this is not a recommendation. Follow @ScientificInve6 and our Youtube channel for more such

Prices fall, then, margins/topline takes beating, then, rerating normalizes, then, market loses interest, derating happens.Nothing excites - topline/margin. Market does not find quock triggers. Value emerges. Oneday triggers come, prices rise, growth comes, rerating happens

#Maithanalloys part 2 on valuation n other details will be out this weekend. In case you have not watches part 1, it's here. This is for fundamental investors.

Some company's concalls are addictive. You go through one n learn so much about industry that u keep going. Name some of such companies. Let me start - Heritage concalls on Dairy Industry

Your list?
If it's better than 10 year multi bagger stock list, then, like n forward 😄

Concept of Standard Deviation, simplified.

Next time when I talk about Mean +/- 1 or 2 or 3 Standard Deviation, you'll know what exactly am I talking about, especially whenever I mention Regression Channel. Concept is used in Bollinger Bands as well.
While all indicators plot, it's always good to know the background.

Why & how does rising Crude Oil hurt India?

A short thread 🧵

India is the 3rd largest consumer of Oil at 5.35 million barrels per day (MBPD) behind US (21.2mbpd) and China (15.1mbpd)

India imports nearly 85% of its total Crude oil consumption every year.

India's own production has been below 700,000 barrels per day for a long time.

India imports oil in the following share as per FY 21 numbers:

Iran 17%,
Saudi Arabia 16%,
UAE 14%,
USA 9%,
Qatar 8%,
Others 38%

India import share for Oil from Russia is under 2%, an insignificant number.

India imports about 290 Million tones of Oil in a year.

Assuming that Oil prices are at $75 (last year),
India's oil import bill is ~ $165bn

India exports refined petroleum products as well. At $75 oil price those exports would amount to $58bn

=Oil trade deficit of $105bn

Oil at:
$100, India's oil trade deficit (imports - exports) would be ~ $140bn

For every $10 rise in Crude Oil from say $100, India's oil trade deficit will rise by ~$15bn

For instance at $120 Oil price it would be ~ $170bn

What is the Logarithmic Scale? A snippet from my beginners batch. Hope it helps you.

It is used on long-term charts. May be used in a short time frame but would hardly make a difference.

Mr. Vijay Kedia built a net worth of over Rs. 800 crores.

But you probably never read past that headline.

So I binged hours of interviews to learn his investing principles and strategies.

Here are 20 lessons on investing from @VijayKedia1 Sir:

Collaborated with @AdityaTodmal

Before I start, a quick disclaimer, please don't ape his portfolio.

As the entry price, horizon and risk appetite would be far different than yours.

Rather lets draw inspiration and try to learn his stock picking skills.

Now let's DIVE IN👇

1/ Started off as a trader:

- Soon, beginner’s luck started to fade out and loses started to mount, to an extent where his mother was about to sell her ornaments.

- Although he was able to dodge the situation.

- This incident taught him the biggest lesson to have a stop-loss.

2/ Punjab Tractors:

- In 1990, he made his first investment by putting in his 10-years savings of Rs 35,000 in this stock, based on a news trigger that tractor industry will witness a turnaround.

- It worked and fetched him 4-5 times which he calls it as a fluke.

3/ He believes that an investor must possess three qualities:

i. Knowledge,
ii. Courage, and
iii. Patience.

A thread on the summary points of webinar by @ishmohit1 at @ias_summit last week on Navin Fluorine moderated by @MashraniVivek & @cautkarshpandey

@ias_summit @MashraniVivek @cautkarshpandey Overview of Fluorine Industry:
Fluorine is made out of raw material which is known as Fluorspar. China contributes to 60% of mining of Fluorspar. Due to environmental concerns, China has cut back on fluorspar mining and processing. Fluorine is replacing toxic chemicals.

@ias_summit @MashraniVivek @cautkarshpandey Different types of products within the flourine industry:
• Fluorospeciality: Agro, Pharma, Industrial and other uses. High Margins
• Fluoropolymers: Commodity-grade and value-added. Commoditized + High Margins in VAP
•Inorganic Fluorides: steel and glass industry. Low Margins

@ias_summit @MashraniVivek @cautkarshpandey • Industrial chemicals like Chloromethane.
• Pharma Propellent: used in Metered Dose Inhalers as a propellant

@ias_summit @MashraniVivek @cautkarshpandey Navin Fluorine:
Navin is a business which is a backward integrated and for Fluorspar they have a tie up with Gujarat fluorochemicals and and GMDC and they source all their floors from Africa.