#HDFC What big seller pressure can do to value in shorter term (long term matlab 1 saal nahi 2-4 saal 😁) or holdco discount increasing?

More from kumar saurabh

kumar saurabh
@suru27

Any guesses which company? Will the resistance of PE will play again?

kumar saurabh
@suru27

A thread of strength in the market.

An analysis which I did during Covid crash with @MashraniVivek on which sectors and stocks were strong, and we did pick pharma, chemical early cycle. Though we do not know where market is heading, doing such exercise always helps to find

strength when market bottoms. Of course, it requires much more reading and conviction building and hence should be taken only as a starting point. Here is how this list has been generated
1. Pick top 500 companies
2. Find list of companies which have fallen < 10% in last 3 months

Totally 61 out of 500 stocks.
This is how the sectors come up.
✍️Auto and Capital Goods stand out
✍️Do not ignore defence for sheer count as there are few companies in sector
✍️Next pocket looks like few beaten down sectors/stocks where may be value is emerging - FMCG, Pharma

List of stocks - Auto tops the list followed by capital goods, bank and financial, pharma and defense. Disc: I am biased towards auto n financials (keeping FII selling risk aside). Also, this is still a watchlist activity and I am not acting on it except being

invested in few auto n banking names. Please do your own due diligence. I am not a registered investment advisor and this is not a recommendation. Follow @ScientificInve6 and our Youtube channel for more such

kumar saurabh
@suru27

#NASDAQ Will NASDAQ crash? How much more correction is to come? How to track?

An extended analysis of the morning tweet is in this Youtube video. Like and retweet for wider reach

morning tweet on NASDAQ

#NASDAQ How much NASDAQ can fall?
Since 2000, this is the 3rd worst fall in NASDAQ
2000: 77% fall from peak
2008: 55% fall from peak
2022: 34% fall from peak pic.twitter.com/MO8KNtzQez
— kumar saurabh (@suru27) June 14, 2022

kumar saurabh
@suru27

So, above Rs 250 Cr market cap (thats where I like to play mostly), out of 1168 companies, change in last 1 week

> 40% correction : 6 to 7%
> 30% correction : 18 to 21%
> 20% correction : 45 to 57%

Bulk of correction between 20-30% from highs

So, above Rs 250 Cr market cap (thats where I like to play mostly), out of 1168 companies:

> 40% correction : 6% companies
> 30% correction : 18% companies
> 20% correction : 45% companies

Not bad. So, almost evey second company is down by 20% from life time high
— kumar saurabh (@suru27) November 22, 2021

kumar saurabh
@suru27

One of biggest insight I can give to long term investors - Never never invest in stock where monthly RSI14 is <50, stock attempts to cross it but stays below it. Have seen enough charts to conclude. Probabilities wont be in favor and can see multi year time correction

1/1 The statement might look simple but has lot of nuances to understand. The best way is go open charts and explore. Any session I take my focus is on taking one simple statement n bring all nuances. May be sometime will do for this too but you need to explore it yourself.

2/2 Must have some basic knowledge of time frames, longevity of sata etc etc technical analysis to consume it fully. Explore it, it's a beautiful world.

1/\u201cWhat would need to be true for you to\u2026.X\u201d

Why is this the most powerful question you can ask when attempting to reach an agreement with another human being or organization?

A thread, co-written by @deanmbrody: https://t.co/Yo6jHbSit9
— Erik Torenberg (@eriktorenberg) December 4, 2018

3/ On evaluating where someone’s head is at regarding a topic they are being wishy-washy about or delaying.

“Gun to the head—what would you decide now?”

“Fast forward 6 months after your sabbatical--how would you decide: what criteria is most important to you?”

4/ Other Q’s re: decisions:

“Putting aside a list of pros/cons, what’s the *one* reason you’re doing this?” “Why is that the most important reason?”

“What’s end-game here?”

“What does success look like in a world where you pick that path?”

5/ When listening, after empathizing, and wanting to help them make their own decisions without imposing your world view:

“What would the best version of yourself do”?

Simon DeDeo
@SimonDeDeo

This is a pretty valiant attempt to defend the "Feminist Glaciology" article, which says conventional wisdom is wrong, and this is a solid piece of scholarship. I'll beg to differ, because I think Jeffery, here, is confusing scholarship with "saying things that seem right".

Imagine for a moment the most obscurantist, jargon-filled, po-mo article the politically correct academy might produce. Pure SJW nonsense. Got it? Chances are you're imagining something like the infamous "Feminist Glaciology" article from a few years back.https://t.co/NRaWNREBvR pic.twitter.com/qtSFBYY80S
— Jeffrey Sachs (@JeffreyASachs) October 13, 2018

The article is, at heart, deeply weird, even essentialist. Here, for example, is the claim that proposing climate engineering is a "man" thing. Also a "man" thing: attempting to get distance from a topic, approaching it in a disinterested fashion.

Also a "man" thing—physical courage. (I guess, not quite: physical courage "co-constitutes" masculinist glaciology along with nationalism and colonialism.)

There's criticism of a New York Times article that talks about glaciology adventures, which makes a similar point.

At the heart of this chunk is the claim that glaciology excludes women because of a narrative of scientific objectivity and physical adventure. This is a strong claim! It's not enough to say, hey, sure, sounds good. Is it true?