CodyyyGardner Categories Society
7 days
30 days
All time
Recent
Popular
1/ Some people are looking at this map and saying: "it must have come from Europe". Here are a few reasons why that is unlikely.
2/ Though B.1.1.7 was especially prominent in Kent, the 2nd sequence ever sequenced was found in London, a day after the 1st. Due to superspreading it isn't possible to pinpoint for sure whether it originated in Kent or London. (If London, there's no argument for the continent).
3/ And suppose we did believe the new variant was introduced from abroad. Would we expect it to be introduced by sea or air? Far more arrivals to the UK in August/September occurred by air compared to sea.
4/ Genetic evidence. Suppose this highly transmissible variant had arisen in some other country, and made its way through France to the UK. It would also have left lots of descendants in Europe. We can look at a genetic tree of sequences and see that that is not the case.
5/ The grey/orange sequences here are UK sequences and the others are from an array of other countries. Specifically I've highlighted a lineage in Denmark which represents spread from a single introduction to Denmark, ultimately from the UK.
The spread of B.1.1.7 through England over November and December, with London inset at top-right. pic.twitter.com/fVfL0xijcx
— Theo Sanderson (@theosanderson) January 8, 2021
2/ Though B.1.1.7 was especially prominent in Kent, the 2nd sequence ever sequenced was found in London, a day after the 1st. Due to superspreading it isn't possible to pinpoint for sure whether it originated in Kent or London. (If London, there's no argument for the continent).
3/ And suppose we did believe the new variant was introduced from abroad. Would we expect it to be introduced by sea or air? Far more arrivals to the UK in August/September occurred by air compared to sea.
4/ Genetic evidence. Suppose this highly transmissible variant had arisen in some other country, and made its way through France to the UK. It would also have left lots of descendants in Europe. We can look at a genetic tree of sequences and see that that is not the case.

5/ The grey/orange sequences here are UK sequences and the others are from an array of other countries. Specifically I've highlighted a lineage in Denmark which represents spread from a single introduction to Denmark, ultimately from the UK.
Thread!
It's #PublicDomainDay, and as requested by @doctorcomics I am providing a list of the best of the pulp heroes who are now in the public domain. * means the character or text they appear in are prime pulp.
Carlo Aldini:
* Bakterev: https://t.co/QQoSLCNIa4
Black Eagle: https://t.co/QujggV83rX
Brigand: https://t.co/uOs7x9Lvwn
* Sir Ralf Clifford: https://t.co/6QXvegLKPk
Earani: https://t.co/uHGIeecPva
Ebony: https://t.co/C7Jc3j4O44
Fifth Wanderer:
Fresquinho: https://t.co/FGRRM4lEEv
Jerzy Hartman: https://t.co/54aVxZKugb
Valentin Katayev's Stanley Holmes, Sherlock Holmes' nephew (son of Mycroft), who goes to India to stop a revolutionary movement from using a Russian scientist's super-magnet to create world peace.
3/
Aleksandr Beliayev's Professor Kern, who murders people to create Brains In A Jar so that he can discover the secrets of SCIENCE!
Frederick Irving Anderson's Sophie Lang, a flawless master thief: "Sophie, the uncaught."
4/
Tomas Lann from the film Luch Smerti (The Death Ray): Russian factory worker invents death ray, leads workers' revolution.
*Arthur O. Friel's Roderick McKay--very entertaining stories about a post-WW1 mercenary
* Jennette Lee's Millicent Newbury--crime-solving "mind nurse" 5/
It's #PublicDomainDay, and as requested by @doctorcomics I am providing a list of the best of the pulp heroes who are now in the public domain. * means the character or text they appear in are prime pulp.
Carlo Aldini:
* Bakterev: https://t.co/QQoSLCNIa4
Black Eagle: https://t.co/QujggV83rX
Brigand: https://t.co/uOs7x9Lvwn
* Sir Ralf Clifford: https://t.co/6QXvegLKPk
Earani: https://t.co/uHGIeecPva
Ebony: https://t.co/C7Jc3j4O44
Fifth Wanderer:
Fresquinho: https://t.co/FGRRM4lEEv
Jerzy Hartman: https://t.co/54aVxZKugb
Valentin Katayev's Stanley Holmes, Sherlock Holmes' nephew (son of Mycroft), who goes to India to stop a revolutionary movement from using a Russian scientist's super-magnet to create world peace.
3/
Aleksandr Beliayev's Professor Kern, who murders people to create Brains In A Jar so that he can discover the secrets of SCIENCE!
Frederick Irving Anderson's Sophie Lang, a flawless master thief: "Sophie, the uncaught."
4/
Tomas Lann from the film Luch Smerti (The Death Ray): Russian factory worker invents death ray, leads workers' revolution.
*Arthur O. Friel's Roderick McKay--very entertaining stories about a post-WW1 mercenary
* Jennette Lee's Millicent Newbury--crime-solving "mind nurse" 5/
This year, for the first time, I started sharing my thoughts on various topics in Investing/Economics/Law.
Hereâs a âMaster Threadâ of my main write-ups this year.đ
First, a special thanks to all the brilliant people Iâve met & learned from on Twitter. To name a few:
@profplum99 @hkuppy @Convertbond @contrarian8888 @jam_croissant @pineconemacro @verdadcap @WayneHimelsein @LT3000Lyall @HFI_Research @SahilBloom @coloradotravis @SantiagoAuFund
Why Inflation Will Kill the Ponzi Sector and Catalyze the Growth/Value Rotation,
9/19/2020
Why Fund Flows and the Shift to Fiscal Stimulus Will Drive the Rotation,
10/8/2020
Inflation, Rising Yields, and Risk Parity: The Biggest Danger in Finance,
10/10/2020
Hereâs a âMaster Threadâ of my main write-ups this year.đ
First, a special thanks to all the brilliant people Iâve met & learned from on Twitter. To name a few:
@profplum99 @hkuppy @Convertbond @contrarian8888 @jam_croissant @pineconemacro @verdadcap @WayneHimelsein @LT3000Lyall @HFI_Research @SahilBloom @coloradotravis @SantiagoAuFund
Why Inflation Will Kill the Ponzi Sector and Catalyze the Growth/Value Rotation,
9/19/2020
Why Inflation Will Kill the Ponzi Sector (and Catalyze the Long-Awaited Sector Rotation from Growth to Value)...
— BVDDY (@BvddyCorleone) September 19, 2020
A thread.
This topic was a black box to me a few weeks ago. I will try to crystallize what (I think) I now understand.
Why Fund Flows and the Shift to Fiscal Stimulus Will Drive the Rotation,
10/8/2020
1- For the record, I\u2019m most convinced that the 2 primary drivers of this sector rotation will be i) fund flows and ii) the shift to fiscal stimulus. https://t.co/TQ2mUwHJhg
— BVDDY (@BvddyCorleone) October 8, 2020
Inflation, Rising Yields, and Risk Parity: The Biggest Danger in Finance,
10/10/2020
Why the Biggest Risk in Finance is Inflation (and a rising 10Y Treasury Yield).
— BVDDY (@BvddyCorleone) October 10, 2020
A thread.
Hint: it has to do with the ubiquitous Risk Parity framework.
Honoured to have been given OBE for services to higher education. I want to use this opportunity to draw further attention to suppression of critical thought about gender identity ideology and trans activism in UK Universities - so hereâs a thread. 1/
Most UK Universities are Stonewall Diversity Champions. Translation: effectively theyâre now trans activist institutions. This significantly limits free thought and free speech of gender-critical academics. I describe how here https://t.co/IRtReFhtGC 2/
And yet academics and students in Universities urgently need to be able to discuss the social importance of biological sex, and to criticise gender identity ideology and trans activism. Both freedoms are of crucial importance given issues of pressing public interest such as.. 3/
/⌠rapid increases in trans-identifying kids; erosion of single-sex spaces; threats to womenâs sport; medical ignorance about female bodies; effects on gay population; trans women - some, sex offenders - in female prisons; & failures of data collection on sex and its impacts. 4/
These anonymous testimonies I gathered in 2019 give flavour of Uni environment: e.g. disciplinary investigations for tweets/ letter-signing; removal from editorships; failure to act against student harassment; rejection of publications for "transphobia" https://t.co/a3Q8Kpk6Zt 5/
Most UK Universities are Stonewall Diversity Champions. Translation: effectively theyâre now trans activist institutions. This significantly limits free thought and free speech of gender-critical academics. I describe how here https://t.co/IRtReFhtGC 2/
And yet academics and students in Universities urgently need to be able to discuss the social importance of biological sex, and to criticise gender identity ideology and trans activism. Both freedoms are of crucial importance given issues of pressing public interest such as.. 3/
/⌠rapid increases in trans-identifying kids; erosion of single-sex spaces; threats to womenâs sport; medical ignorance about female bodies; effects on gay population; trans women - some, sex offenders - in female prisons; & failures of data collection on sex and its impacts. 4/
These anonymous testimonies I gathered in 2019 give flavour of Uni environment: e.g. disciplinary investigations for tweets/ letter-signing; removal from editorships; failure to act against student harassment; rejection of publications for "transphobia" https://t.co/a3Q8Kpk6Zt 5/