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Saved by @jay_millerjay

THREAD #Serbian #Orthodox #Church bishops start Conclave (#Sabor-Holy Assembly in #SPC parlance) to elect new #Patriarch, 3 months after previous died of #Covid. Election much more about politics than religion, mainly #Serbia #Kosovo relations but also #Russia Orthodox Church /2

 2/ vs. #Ecumenical Patriarch of #Constantinople. Most of numerous traditional cleavages within SPC (Young Lions vs. Old Guards); Serbians vs. TransDrinians; ecumenicals vs. hardline Orthodox etc. will be irrelevant with only the split between Russian vs. Greek students, roughly/3
3/corresponding with main division: support for whatever "solution" President Vucic might propose to satisfy int'l demand to at least de facto recognize Kosovo vs. stubborn refusal to accept anything not in line with current Serbian constitution that says #KosovoJeSrbija. /4
4/Due to 3 decades of heavy politicking under 1 weak Patriarch (Pavle) & his insipid successor (Irinej), those who’d otherwise be God-obeying “good guys” are staunchly in Kosovo Status Quo camp, refusing any deal. Those bishops who were in bed with politicians & secret services/5
5/ now support “accommodation” with Kosovo. Voting system is peculiar: Conclave picks 3 eligible bishops (each needs to obtain simple majority of votes i.e. 23); names of top 3 are sealed & 1 is drawn. System was designed in Communist times to prevent manipulation. Both sides /6
6/have preferred candidates: "govt" Irinej of Novi Sad, unpleasant arrogant manipulator who has several minions that could take his place if he cannot make it into the 3 (Porfirije of Zagreb, slick cunning sweet-talking politician), Jefrem of Banja Luka etc. Anti-Vucic camp was/7
7/ fielding modernist, youthful, softspoken Grigorije whom hardliners tried to sideline moving him from Herzegovina to Germany in 2018. But he is not real candidate, only trailblazer for softer but also firm-in-refusal Teodosije of Kosovo. Last resort of this camp is Joanikije /8
8/of Nikšić, stubborn opponent of Montenegrin identity but also firmly against change of Kosovo status. Earmarked to succeed firebrand #Montenegro-Serb Amfilohije who succumbed to Covid, Joanikije would only step in as last ditch: if got to be elected patriarch, only 3 young & /9
9/ inexperienced Montenegrin-born bishops remain to assume Cetinje throne. Naming non-Montenegrin there would be asking for trouble & adding fuel to separatist tendencies, something Joanikije, all Constitutionalists & the reasonable faction of Irinej’s camp want to avoid. /10
10/Govt side can count on at least 18 certain votes; depending on concrete names it could muster up to 24-25 (23 needed). Opposition is certain of 20 & could reach 23-24. So voting will be tactical along some classic #Vatican #conclave patterns. Ideally both sides want to have/11
11/ 2 out of 3 in 2nd round to maximize chances (all 3 is practically impossible). If, as is to be expected, both sides give up their initial front runners, “gov't” might sacrifice Irinej to get Porfirije and/or Jefrem in; “opposition” would give up Grigorije hoping to boost /12
12/Teodosije and/or another candidate possibly Jovan of Slavonia. But if Irinej makes it in, rivals will be forced to push for Joanikije. In hardest-fought scenario both might have to compromise on 3rd candidate chosing 1 at least broadly acceptable to both camps and there lie/13
13/ the chances of Hrizostom of Sarajevo, Jovan of Šumadija or even some of the other backbenchers like Ignjatije, Justin, Irinej Dobrijević or Dositej. Once 3 names are in the 2nd round everything is possible (Church believes that Holy Spirit guides the hand picking winner). /14
14/ There is little chance for foul play as even losing ballots will be opened & revealed to the Conclave, unlike in 1990 when only the one with Pavle’s name was opened. Length of voting will be indicative: longer balloting is sign of a harder battle that may go on to Friday. END

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There never was going to be a new stimulus deal. Pelosi did not want to do anything that might help Trump, and she was hoping to trap McConnell, and make him look like he killed it so they could argue the Dems need to control the Senate.

3. My sense is that backfired. It is clear to most that she is the problem, and why, and that she does not give a damn about the people who are suffering. It is all about getting power. Unfortunately, Wall St kept being fooled thinking there would be a deal.

4. So the market was up and down depending on which false rumor they believed. Classic Wall St. Buy on rumor and hope. Sell when it does not happen, then buy again. Trader’s dream.

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Dear Friends,

On a rather deeper look at things, Police brutality is the topmost of the agitation but the anger and fury is deeper, bottled up for many years. An oppression our fathers have endured and the children now say No More, Enough is Enough!

In the context of the current scenario “SARS” has become a metaphor.

“SARS” in our society today represents all the inefficiencies, corruption, structural imbalances, faults and All the shenanigans of the Political class

If this present fury does not inspire an overhaul of the Nigerian system, then we may be headed for another restless round of 60 year of disastrous merry go round. This Nation needs a RESET NOW!!

It’s a good time to negotiate the fixing of this great Nation.

How long do we keep singing; Nigeria has great potentials? Let those potentials start working for good

If we must tell our selves the bitter truth as a people we urgently need to fix these;

* A drastic cut in cost of governance
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* Remove the lofty attraction in public office
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With historical Data and explanations, I will want to DISAGREE with what you said here ma'am Or at Least Reframe what you said because what you said can be used to refer to a lot of scenarios.

Who are the "Citizens of Nigeria" you claim are not ready because they are...
(/1)


Not demanding good governance?.

If by this you mean the Vast majority of Nigerians that are in the lower class should demand for good governance, then I hope you know this can never be effective.

Why?

It is virtually impossible for the lower class citizens to gather and...

Demand for good governance. What do they know that they want to demand? The few among them that are "enlightened" will have their voices drown out by the many that are not. I hope you know that there will always be the ignorant, evil men (hired assassin, political thugs) and also

Good men, the proportion of good men to the ignorants and evil men in this social class is low. Therefore l, gathering to something meaningful will be low.

How will they even gather? Through elections? I also hope you know that the wicked political leaders will not just fold...

Their arms and not defend their rulership from being overthrown. They will surely sow misinformation, spread lies aimed at misleading the masses. This particular social class, that are also numerous will be easy to swallow such lies and cajoled. Buhari was sold to us as a...
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Why? The @EU_Commission is currently reviewing (quietly) member states reform plans. These are basis upon which EU capitals hope to begin receiving their allocation, in transfers & loans, from the €750 billion Recovery Fund, starting later this year 2/

Remember the numbers are unprecedented. Italy is eligible for ~€188bn (roughly €65.5bn in grants; €123bn in loans). Spain a €144bn, roughly €59bn in grants & €85bn in loans etc etc. The amounts for all member states are unprecedented 3/

Yet despite this, & fact Fr & Ger pushed hard for this deal, officials in Bxl are scathing about proposals advanced by.. Paris & Berlin. I oversimplify: but basically, Macron is distracted by Covid; Merkel, elections in Sept. Sweeping reforms are the last thing on their minds 4/

This puts Commission in its usual bind. If Bxl doesn’t raise the reform bar with Chancellery & @Elysee, it will have no credibility to push southern Europe to do same. But it also can’t impose reforms on countries that aren’t willing to do them, especially not the big 2 5/
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