Judging a hyper-growth stock by what it can become someday is like astrology.

It's too random to be useful.

@SunDudez @Iamsamirarora Even if one had invested when Infosys valuations' were at its peak, one would have still made index-par returns in hindsight

Charles Kindleberger: “There is nothing as disturbing to one’s well-being and judgment as to see a friend get rich”

@Bapu__Mishra hardly. 30-40 stocks is fine

zomato’s mcap = 70k cr
if you are a value investor, as per buffett’s logic of good price -> zomato must earn 7,000 cr to 8,500 cr pre-tax profit by fy 27
(actually more as India’s cost of equity is higher)
zomato peak sales 2600 cr

lot of dumb ppl have commented shit despite a mention “if you are a value investor..”

What is a Qualified Institutional Placement and what do I like about them (more to do with the QIP doc)

Time for a thread🧵🧵🧵🧵🧵🧵

What is a QIP?

A QIP or a Qualified Institutional placement allows a company to raise capital by issuing securities (by diluting equity) only to institutions.

Only Qib's or Qualified Institutional Buyers can participate in QIP's. This includes Mutual Funds, Foreign institutions

and Pension funds etc. (From my knowledge PMS' or any individual investor cannot participate in Qip's).

Just to give you an example:- Look at the investors who participated in the QIP of Saregama (750 crores)

Another example is the Qip of Deepak Nitrite in 2016 for the Phenol Project (size of the project was 1400 crores+)

The QIP witnessed participation from some of the top domestic institutional investors namely Reliance MF, Birla MF, ICICI Pru MF

Question arises, Why did SEBI allow for creation of QIP as an instrument for raising money?

QIP was introduced in the Indian Markets in 2006 by Sebi. As the regulator was concerned that the domestic companies were getting too dependent on raising money through

@patrick_oshag A DCF doesn't require use of a spreadsheet. It also doesn't require complex assumptions.

Buffett does the DCF in his head. A unit economics analysis is a DCF done bottoms up . LTV/CBCV can also be calculated in someone's head or roughly "eyeballed" based on pattern recognition.

Reverse DCF calculator is now available on Tijori

You can edit the earnings field, discount rate and terminal multiple to any value you like. Below is an example of Astral Pipes

Hope its useful to gauge optimism being baked into the current price!

https://t.co/Y6iV8LVLzT

Aswath Damodaran: “We have all these people telling you to buy a quality company. That's really bad advice. If you buy a quality company that everybody else recognizes as a quality company, you're going to pay through the roof. Good companies can be bad investments….”

A private company's valuation is as much a story as anything else

"VC rounds are priced. Not valued" @Post_Market

If VCs are all about pattern-recognition but all the data has suddenly changed, how does anyone know what a company's valuation should