earning growth -skill
re rating - luck

those who don’t believe this, haven’t been in the market long enough to understand this.

zomato’s mcap = 70k cr
if you are a value investor, as per buffett’s logic of good price -> zomato must earn 7,000 cr to 8,500 cr pre-tax profit by fy 27
(actually more as India’s cost of equity is higher)
zomato peak sales 2600 cr

lot of dumb ppl have commented shit despite a mention “if you are a value investor..”

zomato reports larger loss than previous quarter

analyst prepping for concall: sir, what is the reason for the loss with rebound in sales and expected operating leverage.

zomato: sorry we don’t hold concall

@Bapu__Mishra hardly. 30-40 stocks is fine

think different

src: intelligent investor

@contrarianEPS I don't know about crypto but I invested because it's was rising

- Retail Investor

@Tom_Voltz1 1/

That’s a possibility.

Buffett has this concept of “owner earnings”: how much cash can be safely taken out of a business each year without hurting it?

Take out more than this, and we risk hurting the business’s competitive position, earning power, unit volume, etc.

2/

At the same time, leaving capital in a terrible business is not a great idea either. It’s like throwing good money after bad.

In fact, directing capital away from textiles (a bad business) and into insurance (a better business) is one reason for Berkshire’s success.

/End

What should your goal be as an investor?

1/9 I have noticed a counterintuitive benefit from sharing my portfolio publicly. This isn't call for you to share your portfolio publicly; I'm aware it is not feasible/rational for many out there.

I'm just explaining how I think it helps *me*.

2/9 Before talking about the benefit, let me briefly mention the potential negative.

Well, the negative is probably obvious. Sharing my portfolio publicly may create a commitment bias. It's hard to change your mind once you propagate all the bullish pov on stocks you own.

3/9 There is truth to that, especially since I say I intend to be long-term investor.

It would create a cognitive dissonance if I get in and out of stocks every few months and yet claim myself long-term oriented simultaneously. So I kinda have to remain invested unless...

4/9 ...I think I've compelling reasons to sell.

While that sounds like a lot of negatives, I'm increasingly thinking the opposite.

If in 30 years I discover my return severely lagging the index, I already know who the culprit is. It isn't Fed, Xi, or any US President. It's me.

5/9 Essentially, I need to save my portfolio from my own worst tendencies.

Not having the option to flipping stocks every other month is likely to work in favor of my eventual goal of long-term ownership of great businesses.

Your view of the world and markets can change significantly when you close out your derivative positions and trading/leveraged trades v/s only hold a delivery-based portfolio.

The reason is psychological. The quick gains and losses that leveraged trades bring make you react with the same emotions you do in a regular portfolio at a faster rate. So what a 30% drawdown would make you think on a delivery portfolio ends up happening in days.

Suddenly you will find it easier to believe that negative conspiracy theory-based video or blog post than you would have otherwise.

It is therefore always a good idea to have an investment portfolio outside your trading positions to help you keep perspective of the big picture and ask the right questions.

The trading then is a subset of the big picture. Bull market cycles often go on for years and go through many bouts of hope and fear themselves. But stocks hold out better making higher highs and lows as long as the trend is intact.