When we put a high multiple to sales, the most important thing to worry about is - what could disrupt those cash flows. A lower multiple to sales (like a 1x or 2x) justifies Yo-Yo cyclicality and 10x sales implies relatively stable gross margins, cash flow and business economics.

FCF = Free Cash Flow (Operating Cash after adjusting for working capital - total Capex)

MCap is based on last Friday's closing.

Q :: What stocks?
A :: “Bhaiya Ji Smile ... Kamaal karte ho Pandey jee ...” 😅

Disc: invested in the 3 businesses at single digit MCap/10Y FCF 😉

"The global natural cosmetics market is expected to be worth $48.04 billion by 2025..... #Biotechnology could be the game-changer for natural beauty lovers – and, more crucially, Planet Earth."

https://t.co/PEvcSXrrW1

#Fermentation | Industry 5.0 Vision 2 🧬

On this auspicious day of #GuruPurnima, happy to share an easy to read and an exceptionally worthwhile investment. I plan to make a thread that will hopefully help us invest and live better. Thank you @awealthofcs 🙏🏻

Experience has taught me that less is always more when making investment decisions. Simplicity trumps complexity. Conventional gives you much better odds than exotic. A long-term process is more important than short-term outcomes.

And perspective goes much further than tactics. Tactics are useless to investors in a matter of days—sometimes in a matter of hours. But perspective is something that stays with the investor for a lifetime. It allows you to adapt to the changing market and economic landscape.

While keeping it simple won’t make it any easier to predict the future—no one has a crystal ball—it can give you the necessary capacity to make rational decisions, no matter what happens next.

Perspective is so important because, without it, even the most intelligent of investors can be ruined from a lack of self-awareness in their own abilities. Investors that fail to put the news or market moves into the proper context....[1/2]

@pushkat @LaurusLabs I don’t deserve any credit. It was your hard earned capital. You took the risk.

Business has performed due to best in class management, capabilities, capacities, patents and scientific talent that Laurus has accumulated over the years. Best is ahead 🤞🤞

It’s perfectly possible for a company to generate rising EPS at the same time it is employing increasing amounts of capital at falling & inadequate rates of return

In laymen’s terms, a company can be busy destroying shareholder value even as it increases earnings

Terry Smith

@BrianFeroldi Agree- but isn’t equally silly to assume near 100% probability of achieving full TAM potential at peak operating margins and peak multiples in say 2035?

One of the best debates I have seen in recent history between @SunilBSinghania and Saurabh Mukherjea.

TOPIC: Has P/E lost its relevance?

I resonate more with Sunil’s side. Here’s a thread 🧵 on the main points made by him:

@varinder_bansal @safiranand @myvaluepicks

1/ Importance of PE

PE is not the only factor but an important factor.

Ultimately the growth has to justify how much PE are you paying for the company.

There cannot be an unlimited PE multiple based on some xyz parameters.

2/ Hindsight Bias:

In hindsight we can say that from 2001 to 2021, a company grew at 25 % and we should have given a very high PE to it.

But on the day when you buy, you don’t know that the company is going to grow at 25% for the next 20 years.

3/ Millennial preference:

Things have become more competitive.

New generation don’t really care much about legacy.

Convenience and affordability matters more.

The longevity and sustainability of growth has changed dramatically.

4/ Company that require a big investment - There is opportunity to invest big.

Company 1: Mkt Cap of 50 cr
Company 2: Mkt cap of 1 lakh cr

50c r company can become 3x, 1 lakh cr company cannot become 2x.

On absolute basis you end up making 5 cr vs 5k cr in 1lakh cr company.

@sahil_vi @suru27 Just because a company is fundamentally very very strong , doesn’t mean an investor would end up getting rewarded always . The term called “Valuation”needs to be respected which ultimately gives you margins of safety and comfort in panic situations .