20 lessons from trading legend Stan Weinstein:

The best traders in the world have made millions from one setup.

The setup? A breakout from a base.

But what do these bases have in common & what should you be looking for?

Here are the most important characteristics of a proper base, broken down one by one 🧵👇

By the end of this thread, you will:

✅Be able to identify the main characteristics of a proper base
✅Understand subtle clues of accumulation
✅Have access to 20+ real world examples

Let's get started! 👇

Proper bases all have the following characteristics:

▪️ Shallow Base Depths
▪️ Prior Uptrend of at least 20%
▪️ Early Stage Base
▪️ Daily & Weekly Accumulation Signatures
▪️ Relative Strength Periods

Follow along as we break down each aspect in greater detail below 👍

#1: Shallow Base Depths

Base depth is a key component of a proper base.

We measure a base's depth from the absolute peak to the absolute low.

Institutions are the major base builders in the market, & the shallower the base, the stronger the institutional hold in the name.

Here are some good criteria to keep in mind when analyzing bases:

< 20-30% off the highs = best
< 30-40% off the highs = good
< 40-50% off the highs = acceptable under certain circumstances
> 50%+ off the highs = avoid (with exception to some younger IPO names)

A Guide to Position Sizing

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To perform in the market, position sizing needs to be the main focus.

This is what ultimately separates the good from the great.

It will make no difference on your account if you have a 100% gain in a name with only 1% of your equity.

It will make a huge difference on your account if you have a 100% gain in a name with 20%+ of your equity.

There are 2 consistent ways to position size in the markets 👇

1️⃣ Position Size Based on Risk
2️⃣ Position Size Based on Number of Edges

1️⃣ Position Size Based on Risk

Before you take a position in a stock, you must know how much you are willing to lose on a trade.

We recommend never risking more than 1% of your overall account equity on any single trade, especially if you are in the consistency phase.

4 Simple Steps to Avoid Downtrends 📉 (a thread)

🧵

1. Know the difference between an uptrend & a downtrend 📈📉

At TraderLion, we identify an uptrend as stocks/markets that trade ABOVE a RISING 21DSMA and 50DSMA.

A downtrend occurs when stocks/markets trade BELOW a downsloping 21DSMA/50DSMA.

Let's look at an example 👇

$QQQ from 2020 shows what an uptrend, downtrend, and even chop period looks like.

2. Know when it is really time to make money on the long side.

Swing Traders: when markets/stocks are above the rising 21D
Position Traders: when market/stocks are above the rising 50D

We can take this one step further by understanding what a Power Trend is 💪

The trend is really your friend when we have a Power Trend in the general indexes. A concept coined by the @IBDinvestors team, we must have the following:

✅ Low > 21ema for past 10 sessions
✅ 21EMA > 50SMA for at least 5 sessions
✅ 50SMA slope is positive
✅ Market closes up

Building a Daily & Weekly Routine Workflow to Increase Profitability

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The stock market is one of the most complex systems in the world, with parts that change every single second.

As individual investors, we need to bring a level of consistency to our system that can prevent us from feeling overwhelmed.

Routines offer this consistency.

As a retail trader/investor, you must have a set routine for your daily review and weekend review.

This is non-negotiable if you want to outperform the market or increase your current levels of profitability.

In your Daily Routine, you should review the following 👇

🔹 General Markets
🔹 Current Positions
🔹 Emotional Review
🔹 Focus List
🔹 Summary

General Markets (10 min)

The goal is to identify if the wind is at our backs.

You should note whether there has been a recent cluster of accumulation/distribution, where price is with respect to the KMAs, & the index's relationship to the highs.

3 Simple Steps to Quickly Grow a Small Trading Account

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1️⃣ Define a Repeatable Edge

A basis of any successful trading system is having an edge over a series of trades.

Without a well studied edge, you cannot succeed in the market.

Example of edges:

Trend system
* Trading during the power trend
* Trading stocks that are in uptrends
* Trading GROUPS that are in uptrends

High Volume Edges
* Highest Volume Ever (HVE)
* Highest Volume in > 1 Year (HV1)
* Highest Volume Since IPO (HVIPO)

2️⃣ Define Entry Tactics from that Edge

Once you have an edge, you need an entry tactic.

Entry tactics are repeatable and definable. You should know your entry and exit points before ever placing a trade.

Examples of entry tactics:

Trend system
🟢 Enter on two closes above a KMA
🔴 Exit on two closes below a KMA

High Volume Edge
📊 High Volume Close
📊 High Volume Support

Edges & Entry tactics have to be repeated CONSISTENTLY to reduce randomness when trading a small account.

If u are looking to enter a scrip just before the breakout
what would u look for?
How would u identify scrips just before breakout?

Here are a few pointers
Carefully understand the them and use at ur own discretion
(All comments r compiled from a question i posed)

1/23

Price is testing the same resistance repeatedly since long.
But now in recent times it's forming multiple candles near the same resistance with low volume.
Observe it and see for opposite move.
As soon as u get a positive candle, get in to it.

2/23

1. Volume buildup (vol > when resistance point created) along with, increase in OI, increase in delivery % on HTF
2. On LTF, price stalling around breakout area for at least 1-2hr.
3. No major events.

3/23

Stock reaching breakout LVL with HL-HH
Contraction of price and volume near it especially near 20 days ma.
If there is any breach of the latest HL it should be followed by a bullish candle with good volume.
Left side of the chart has a rally with a very steep slope of ma.

4/23

Number of wide range green bars with high volumes.
If stock is at its ATH then it adds more conviction bcz there wont b supply after that point

Consolidation below the resistance, volume of the candles & strong bullish candle closing at near highs just below the resistance

5/23

FINDING EDGE IN OPTIONS

24/08/15: Nifty gap down 250 points & another 250 after that. Previous few months return gone, but since I'm quick to take my losses, was saved from ruin. Before that my only edge in option selling was adjustments & my forever edge of following PA. (1/n)

I soon realised that theta decay with sound adjustments is not an edge, which i earlier thought was & which gave me good returns over the years. After that i went deeper in understanding volatility behaviour, how/where it manifests & all the discrepancies in option chain. (2/n)

With finding edge in logistics i mean how to keep the greeks in check, SL in place & optimum ways of adjustments with minimum slippages. So the main aim here is to write theta without following vol behaviour & having any actual knowledge of what's going on in the markets. (3/n)

A dedicated trader can learn all this in few years & it is something which is 'obvious' to become successful. But majority can't reach this level, as this also requires consistent hustle in live markets. All the seminar/webinar business teaches you till this level only.(4/n)

If you get passed this level though, the real work starts, when you have to find your real edge. This can't be taught in a webinar. It needs serious introspection of your trading skills, psychology & strategies in use, which ultimately allow you to book excellent profits. (5/n)

THE TRADER'S EDGE: THINKING IN PROBABILITIES

Casinos make consistent profits day after day and year after year, doing something random

At the same time, most traders believe that the outcome of the market's behavior is not random,yet can't produce consistent profits

Thread 🧵

What casino owners ,professional traders know is that probable outcomes can also produce consistent results if you " Have an edge" and trade on a large enough sample size.

The best traders treat trading like a numbers game.

1. To illustrate, let's look at the game of blackjack-

In blackjack, the casinos have approximately a 4.5-percent edge over the player.

This means that casinos will make profit over a large enough sample size, even after several winning streaks and big profits of many players.

At the end of the day, week, month, or year, the casino always ends up with approximately 4.5 percent of the total amount wagered.

That 4.5 percent might not sound like a lot, but let's put it in perspective.

Suppose a total of $100 million dollars is wagered collectively at all of a casino's blackjack tables over the course of a year. The casino will net $4.5 million.

What casino owners and pro traders understand about the nature of probabilities is that each individual hand played

Everyone should own a digital asset that earns $2,000 per month.

Here are 10 dead-simple ways you can make your First $1 online (from people who actually did it):

🐦 Analyze viral Tweets

1. Get Twemex (free chrome extension)
2. Find influencers with viral tweets
3. Identify why they went viral
4. Put your analysis on a document.
5. Upload it to Gumroad
6. Sell it

H/t @BrianFOConnor

🔢 Extract data from yellow pages into excel

1. Find a B2B/B2C niche that needs offline data
2. Choose a digital platform (Excel, Airtable ..)
3. Move the data to the digital platform
4. Hire someone on Fiverr to do it
4. Sell it on gumroad

H/t @SachinRamje

🎨 Design flyers and graphics

If you are good at designs:

1. Find a niche (ex: Vegan resturants)
2. Create a profile on Upwork
3. Upload a portfolio
4. Start with a low charge per hour/design
5. Steadly increase your charge

H/t @abdussalampopsy

🏋️ Become a coach

1. Decide on a target persona
2. List down your achievements
3. Update your social profiles
4. Create a calendar account
5. Create content with CTA to book a call

H/t @OllieEmberson