BC TRADING
Saved by @Shubham51ngh

"90% of the traders lose money, But do they lose it all the time?"

Most of them do make money, its just that they give it all back.

Lets analyze why and how a trader makes and loses money
[Thread]:

 Below is the equity curve which is most traders dream.
This is equity curve of an average trader:

Most traders do make money, but they give it back to the markets .

Because of trading errors.

What are trading errors?
Trading errors are those errors which happen because of wrong Position sizing, Leverage , etc.

I am not making this up, check your P&L, 90 % of your losses would have come from less then 10% trades.

Most of these happen because of No knowledge, No plan, bad position sizing .
Now, we know what's the problem, lets talk about the solution.

1. Learn the Basics first-

If you don’t get the basics clear then how can you make money?

Learn How to use Support and resistances
Learn How to use trend lines
Learn about trend, it will solve 90% of your problem
2. Plan-

The number 1 problem is that you don’t have a plan,
And by plan I mean set of written rules.

If you don’t have a plan then you really aren't serious enough to consider making any money.

So, Make a plan.

How does a plan looks like?
3. Position sizing-

Money management is that part of your system that answers "How much?" throughout the course of the trade.

How much essentially means how big a position you should have at any given time throughout the course of a trade.
Attaching a thread on how position sizing affect the account-
https://t.co/H9UBHy0CSt

you can see that risking the appropriate amount of money is necessary for your equity curve growth.

There are two type of position sizing strategies,

1. Martingale
2. Anti-martingale
1. Martingale strategies increase the risk per trade when equity decrease.
2. Anti martingale strategies increase risk per trade when equity increases.

There are further many anti martingale strategies
I will be explaining this further in upcoming days as this thread will get super long if I do it now.

Tip-

When you start to trade ,trade small for the first 20-30 trade , at-least 1/3rd of the risk what you think you will trade.
This will give you confidence and you can follow the plan effectively when you do not have fear of losing.

4. Be ready for Black swan events.

What are black swan events?

Big gap-downs, Flash crash, Big news, Market or stock hitting Upper or lower circuit.
Think about can your account be wiped in these conditions?

If yes, then correct the parameter due to which you can have big draw-down.

4. Next is psychology, Read the book trading in the zone, that will cover all your psychology related problems.
Attaching some threads which can help you.

Thread on law of large numbers-
https://t.co/Hg0BnWGYrV

Tweets on psychology-

https://t.co/1CJT0sZcUs

https://t.co/8rIYnkLKTa

These are some of the things that can help you become a better trade.

Thank you for reading till here.
Tagging some accounts from where you can learn almost everything -
@PharmaBull20_22 - Best short term trader
@sanstocktrader - Most humble person and finest price action trader
@kirubaakaran - one of the Best system trader
@sakuag333 - System trader and rising star
@AnandableAnand - Experienced System and discretionary trader
@sohamtweet - Bade bhai and Finest algo trader
@jitendrajain - All rounder, system trader.
@quatltd - Best algo trader in stocks.
@ST_PYI - Price action master and super humble person.

More from Trader knight

Trader knight
Trader knight
@Traderknight007
A THREAD ON SL, TSL AND RE-ENTRIES-


WHERE TO PUT THE SL-

1. NEAREST PIVOT/SWING POINTS-

Normally I use this method for placing sl, In this method we use swing point for placing the SL.

As normally the stock would not try to go below previous swing point if it is to go in our direction.


2. ATR method-

Sometimes the Stock do not have any nearest pivot at time of buy, So we use this method as it gives us a level on basis of current volatility of the stock.

I use 1.5 ATR away sl , say the ATR at point of entry is 30, so I place sl
1.5 X, or 45 rs away from entry

In below example the entry is 120, ATR=5, SL= 1.5X ATR= 7.5 OR 113.

Nearest pivot was too far away, that’s why this method is used in these cases.


4. Anchor candles-

Anchor bars are those which have extreme Volume, gaps or wide Ranges.

Here, we place our sl below those candles which has the above characteristics.
TRADING
Trader knight
Trader knight
@Traderknight007
“In search of the holy grail”

A thread-


Holy grail- A strategy Which can make money all the time.

After going through two phases of a traders journey, the initial success phase, and Only why do i get loss phase, Traders enter the third phase -

THE SEARCH FOR THE HOLY GRAIL PHASE.

This phase has no limits, It can end in 1 month and it may not end till lifetime.

What exactly is this phase?

When a trader covers all the basics, they know how to lower their losses, they know the power of risk management.

And few of them may even develop their edges and systems over time.

But after some time, they feel that they are doing something wrong and there is more to trading than what they know.


THEN COMES THE HOLY GRAIL PART-

Few of them start to Read more books about trading,finding articles about “How to win 100% of the time” and listening to Youtube videos of few big traders who make big in trading.
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Trader knight
Trader knight
@Traderknight007
Three things which will make a difference in Your trading Results.

A thread-


1. Clarity- When the mind is free from fear and ego

The first step to successful trading is to be clear about everything you do.

BUT, the reality is that most traders don't even know what they are doing.

And because of this-

They don't have any goals.
They don't have any Trading plan
They don't know what is suitable for them
And the list goes, on and on.

If you are among the people as described above, don't worry, There is nothing wrong with you, almost 90% of Traders are like that.

So, what do you have to do to get CLARITY in your Trading-

Find one style that is suitable to your personality and double down on it.

Why?


In this world where we have plethora of information just one click away, most people are distracted and see a Glowy thing every time they go over the social media.

They Find something new every now and then, jumping from one strategy to another, searching for Holy grail.
TRADING , ALL
Trader knight
Trader knight
@Traderknight007
"Don't change the trading rules after every trade."

If you do change them frequently then this thread is for you.

Let's talk about the law of large numbers and how it benefits traders to be profitable.

[Thread]👇👇👇


Most people start tweaking the rules, chart settings and the indicator settings because now they think they have found the holy grail.

But they again end up changing them after next losing trade.

If you believe in the law of large numbers then;

Changing the buying rule from buy 1 point above the breakout to buy above 5 points or any tweak like that will not make much difference in the long run.

Law of large numbers is best illustrated by the example of a coin flip :

It has a 50% chance of landing on heads.

If we flip the coin twice, we have almost exactly equal chances of any scenario happening: heads twice, tails two evenly split.

The probability of getting 5 heads and 5 tails on ten flips is just 8% but that probability keeps increasing as we increase the sample size.

If one flips the coin 100 times, the probability of getting 50 heads and 50 tails (P=0.5) increases to 70% and so on.

When the market conditions are not in favour of a strategy, it's normal that it will suffer from drawdown.

In this period most traders can't face the heat,
TRADING
Trader knight
Trader knight
@Traderknight007
"A trend once established, is more likely to continue than it is to reverse"

A thread on Trend (Market structure)-


A trend is a path of least resistance, basically the side where the smart money is betting upon.

And our work is to be on their side, to make some money.

Why do we use trend?

In an uptrend, the sum of the rallies will always be greater than the sum of the declines.

In a downtrend, the sum of the declines will always be greater than the sum of the rallies.

How to Find the trend?

There are 3 methods which one can use-

1. Swing points method.
2. Moving averages.
3. Trend lines, channels.

1. Trend identification by using swing points-

• UPTREND in simple words - Higher highs, higher lows

• DOWNTREND in simple words - lower lows, lower highs.


• Flat trend - The price stays in a range
TRADING

More from Trading

Trader knight
Trader knight
@Traderknight007
"A trend once established, is more likely to continue than it is to reverse"

A thread on Trend (Market structure)-


A trend is a path of least resistance, basically the side where the smart money is betting upon.

And our work is to be on their side, to make some money.

Why do we use trend?

In an uptrend, the sum of the rallies will always be greater than the sum of the declines.

In a downtrend, the sum of the declines will always be greater than the sum of the rallies.

How to Find the trend?

There are 3 methods which one can use-

1. Swing points method.
2. Moving averages.
3. Trend lines, channels.

1. Trend identification by using swing points-

• UPTREND in simple words - Higher highs, higher lows

• DOWNTREND in simple words - lower lows, lower highs.


• Flat trend - The price stays in a range
TRADING
Trader knight
Trader knight
@Traderknight007
How position sizing can affect your trading performance-

Assuming that you are trading a Trend-following system with Big RR and low win-rate.

For example, assume that you risk one percent per trade on a 100,000 account
and you have 20 straight losses.

That one percent is of your remaining equity and at the end of 20 losses, you would be down to 81,790.60.

Now if you got a 30R winner and you are risking one percent of your balance of 81,790.60, your new equity would be 106,327.9,


You’ve had 20 losses and one winner though you are still up 10Rplus your equity is up by 6.3R percent.

Now, let’s say you risk five percent per trade on your balance. At the end of 20 straight losses, you would be down to 35,772.89 or down 64 percent.


If you risk five percent on this amount and get a 30R winner, you would be up to 89,621.48. You are up 10R, but because of your position sizing, your equity is still down over 10 percent.

#positionsizing
#Trading
#nifty50

This is why position sizing is the most important factor in trading if you get it right and you have an edge, you will do good.

Thanks for reading till here.
@AnandableAnand @jitendrajain @quatltd @sohamtweet
TRADING
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Hermann Peterscheck
Hermann Peterscheck
@petershk
For fun I made a Robinhood account. It took me 5 minutes to sign up, get approved and transfer funds for trading...

Here's some details... Read on.

...it took me another 5 minutes to get qualified for options.

If I share a sign up I get "free shares" and I can share as much as I want up to 500$ worth.

The main UI has a prepopulated "list" of stocks/crypto to watch and links to news.


Clicking a stock opens a "trade" button that looks like this.

Notice options is first, buy second.

Options took me to an approval process (which took about a minute) and now away I go trading Baba options.


Buying stock looks like this. It emphasizes fractional shares.
TRADING
Nikita Poojary
Nikita Poojary
@niki_poojary
Full Price Action Course in this thread 🧵

This course is worth 50k

Collaborated with @AdityaTodmal

1/ How to read Candlestick:

Green/Blue candle indicates buyers candle & red candle indicates sellers candle


2/ 24 candlestick patterns explained

3/ Price Action (PA) trading:

PA helps to predict market movements by spotting patterns or ‘signals’ in the price movements of an underlying market.

Learn different price action strategies

4/ How to plot Support &
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Aditya Todmal
Aditya Todmal
@AdityaTodmal
Technical Analysis and 3 Strategies to deploy for Aggressive, Moderate, and Conservative Traders.

🧵 Weekly Bank Nifty Analysis for 8th December Expiry:


To form a view, let's have a look at:

1. Multi-timeframe Technical Analysis
2. Option Chain Data

Also, 3 strategies to deploy for:

1. Aggressive Traders (2.6%)
2. Moderate Risk Traders (1.3%)
3. Low-Risk Traders (0.8%)


1. Technicals

Let's start by doing some basic technical analysis.

We'll look at:

• Weekly charts.
• Daily charts.
• Hourly / 60 min charts.
• 15 min charts.

1. Weekly-

• The market has given 4 continuous green closes, so not expecting a big momentum on upside.

• This week my view is that it can take a pause.

• Longer term trend is super bullish.

• Any dip will towards 41800 will be a retest, and should be used to go long.


2. Daily:

• Candlestick pattern—Hanging Man

• Chart Pattern—Breakout Failure

• A pin bar candle is very powerful but only after a downmove.

• Here it forms near the top of upmove.

• Means some sellers are present. Below 43000 can sell calls above 43600 for the week.
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RISHI PINGALA:THE ANCIENT INDIAN SAGE DISCREDITED FOR HIS MAJOR CONTRIBUTIONS TO MATHEMATICS & PHI

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#24hrstartup

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