Even the biggest handles with 100k+ followers get this simple thing wrong in charting!🤦‍♂️

This is the most important thing especially if you are analysing long term charts!🧐

So, let's get this right today!

USE LOG CHARTS 📈 FOR ANALYSING LONG TERM CHARTS!

Let’s go🧵...

It took me 10+ years & more than 1000+ hours of practice…

to master these 5 IMPORTANT RULES WHILE DRAWING TRENDLINES 🎯

These simple rules, if mastered, can help one spot HIGH PROBABILITY TRADES!

Ready to learn?🤓

Let’s go🧵…

1⃣ Trendlines are zones and not a single line!

- Due to volatility in price, many times prices tend to spike on both sides
- So, consider trendlines as zones from multiple swing highs(include wicks) to get the best fit trendline
- Your winning probability increases with zones

2⃣ Trendlines with more touchpoints

- Any trendline with 3 or more touchpoints is a very significant one
- The price points around significant trendlines are important & should be watched

Observe the commentary in the Nifty chart below

3⃣Trendlines on higher Time Frame are more significant

- A trendline on the 15 min chart will be easily broken than a trendline on the daily
- A shorter time trendline break might just mean a consolidation phase before the price moves up again resuming the larger trend

4⃣ The steeper the trendline the more likely it will break

- The less steep the trendline angle, the more significant it is & more likely to be respected.
- Any trendline with an angle greater than 30° is steep & likely to be broken before the previous trend continues.

#ADANIPOWER a perfect contraction in volatility happening here for the last 9 months.

The first drop was more than 50%, followed by a 30% and a 20% drop. This is getting really tight on the weekly charts.

Volumes have been monstrous in recent weeks!

#stockideas #trendlines

Struggling to find a scanner/strategy to trade stocks?🧐

In this thread, I am sharing setups I follow

✅CCI based Breakout & Reversal scanner
✅Breakout and reversal trading strategies
✅Exit strategies

If you are really serious to learn don't miss no.9⃣!

Let’s go! 🧵...

1⃣Breakout scanner

CCI based breakout scanner to identify swing trades/positional trades/investment ideas.

There are a million scanners out there. Don't get lost and start focussing on just one and perfect

2⃣Reversal scanner

CCI based Reversal scanner to spot low-risk opportunities that will help you with great R:R

3⃣ Reversal from confluence of supports trading strategy

If you've been following me for some time, by now you know this is my favourite trading strategy which can be used to catch low-risk setups.

Do watch - probably something you've been searching

4⃣Mult-time frame analysis

Increase your winning probability by doing multi-time frame analysis. You do not want to buy a stock that is in a downtrend on Monthly/Weekly

The Ultimate Guide to ‘RELATIVE STRENGTH (RS)’...🎯

WAIT… This is NOT RSI that you use day in & out…

Rather a very IMPORTANT indicator that can CHANGE the way YOU trade/invest…🤓

So, hang on as I explain this with #TATASTEEL chart...

Let’s go 🧵…

1⃣ But, how will it change the way I trade?

- Ever wondered why the stock you are holding is not moving when the market is ripping higher?

Ex: ITC didn't move btwn June’20 & Feb’22 while the market rallied

This indicator will help you get rid of such underperforming stocks.

2⃣ ok, what’s RS?

When stock A goes...

- up faster than Nifty, it is STRONG/OUTPERFORMING relative to Nifty
- down faster than Nifty, it is WEAK/UNDERPERFORMING relative to Nifty

So, RS is relative performance of a stock compared to any benchmark (refer chart for example)

3⃣ Let’s dig deeper:

A stock is outperforming/strong when

- Nifty is going up, but the stock is going up much faster than Nifty
- Nifty is going down, but the stock is going down much slower than Nifty or going up

4⃣ More definitions:

A stock is underperforming/weak when

- Nifty is going down, but the stock is going down much faster than Nifty
- Nifty is going up, but the stock is going up lesser than Nifty or going down

An educational #Thread on what type of trades 1 can take & what r the rules for it.

Majorly there r 3 types of trades a trader takes :-

* Breakout Trade
* Breakout Retest Trade
* High risk reward contra trades

Disc. - All the #Stocks discussed are for educational purpose!

1/n

#Breakout Trade!

A Breakout trade is usually a trade where the price breaks a strong resistance/supply level after consolidation. These r considered strong stocks.

To add conviction to our trade we check volumes, RSI, RS etc. for confirmation.

Let's understand with e.g :-

2/n

#ADANIPOWER

It has broken strong resistance level of 135 with strong volumes on daily chart with RSI crossing 70, Prev. swing high which adds more conviction in the trade & makes it a high probability trade.

Suggestion - Add 50% qty on breakout & rest 50% wait for retest.

3/n

Breakout Retest #Trade

A Breakout retest trade is usually a trade where the price breaks a strong resistance with volumes, strong RSI & then retest the same price level with low volumes & RSI not breaking 55 on D which signifies a true retest.

Let's understand with e.g:-

4/n

#timken INDIA

It broke the strong resistance level of 2130 with strong volumes, RSI after long consolidation. After breakout it has retested it with low volumes & RSI abv 55.

Suggestion - Good risk reward here but 1 should keep S.L at breakout candle low i.e 2084 on clbs.

5/n

A market wizard named Michael Marcus converted a $30,000 initial stake to $80 Million dollars over a period of 10 years.

Here are 28 lessons he considers very important for anyone venturing into trading, from his experience.

1/ The importance of not giving up:

In Fiddler on the Roof, there is a scene where the lead looks up and talks to God.

I'd look up and say, "Am I really that stupid?"

And I seemed to hear a clear answer saying, "No, you're not stupid. You just have to keep at it."

So I did.

2/ On key price levels:

There are key price levels like

- previous day/week/month highs or lows
- round number levels

where you can have 1:5 or more worth RR of trades if you place yourself right.

The key is to hit the crest of the wave, just at the right moment.

If it doesn't work out, you have to get out.

Doing this, you can make several hundred points, risking 1/3rd to 1/5th of what you make.

3/ The secret to getting efficient at trading:

Cut down the number of trades you make.

The best trades are those in which all 3 things check out:

- Fundamentals
- Technicals
- Market Tone

Do u want to study past bear markets?

Use Weekly chart
Plot Bollinger Bands with 50,2 setting
Locate when ever price hit lower band
Locate the highest swing high befoire the fall
The period in between is bear market

Here we have 4 such occations after 2010.

LOG vs LINEAR Charting!

This is the most important thing especially if you are analysing long term charts!🧐

So, let's get this right today!

Let’s go🧵...

1⃣ Wait, What's Log chart?

Before I define Log chart, let's look at the chart you are using daily - 'The Linear Chart'

- Linear chart is used by default in most platforms. This is probably why you never knew log charts

Wait, don't click on 'log' yet before you understand it...

2⃣ ok, so what does Linear chart mean?

Take a look at the image
- The y-axis is separated equally by 1000 points starting from 0 to 11000.
- So, any linear chart would have its y-axis equally separated by 'N' points always

And... that's where the problem lies...

3⃣ But, I don't see any problem?🤔

Ok ok.. let me explain...

- Can you look at this #TATAELXSI chart & tell me the price in '99 when it was listed? No!
- Can you draw a proper trendline in this chart? No!

Reason is because of the price congestion between '07 to '20...

4⃣ What else?🧐

- Whenever there is a price change in an instrument & it's drastic it'd be difficult to analyse on a linear chart

- Look at this example of #BTCUSD. What happened in 2021(refer to the red box)? 🤔

All this is because of the equally spaced Y-axis!

hmmm... ok🙄