Gaps and Probabilities.
A 2019 Tweet.
#GapTheory - Do the Gaps get filled?
— Piyush Chaudhry (@piyushchaudhry) March 12, 2019
As per Thomas Bulkowski's 2005 study Odds for filling of the following Gaps -
Common Gaps: >70%
However,
Breakaway Gaps: <5%
Runaway Gaps: <20%
Exhaustion Gaps: >70%
Categorize the Gaps correctly and Look for Counter Signals.
More from Piyush Chaudhry
Weekly Candles, so we still need to wait.
Earlier two tweets on Copper:
1. Copper - EM:
https://t.co/WogWRMIMHH
and,
2. Copper - Gold
https://t.co/Cq2zcn4bi3
Amazingly super positive correlation between Emerging Markets and Copper.
— Piyush Chaudhry (@piyushchaudhry) June 2, 2021
*MSCI Emerging Markets ETF #EEM
*Copper Futures #Comex pic.twitter.com/rVAwfqvqD4
More from Stocklearnings
Have compiled his:
1. Expiry day trading.
2. Trade logics.
3. Multiple Charts analysis.
3. BTST criteria for stocks.
Share if you find it helpful so that everyone can benefit.
A pdf of his moneycontrol article where you can read about his journey and how he trades.
— Harsh (@HarshAsserts) September 11, 2020
Advice on how to not let your mood influence your decisions.
When trading,moods will want to influence ur decisions
— Banknifty Addict (Gaurav) (@BankniftyA) December 29, 2019
How to minimize:
-Have a backtested plan/system
-Know yourself(emotion and panic levels)
So trade size is important to keep ur emotions in check
-dont focus too much on pnl
-have a back up plan ready
& last stay positive!!
Expiry day Trading:
How to become better?
When I had spoken to him on phone he advised me to backtest all expiries and rigorously practice them again and again to develop conviction. Superb advice!
Backtest the complete expiry and practice again and again till u develop conviction
— Banknifty Addict (Gaurav) (@BankniftyA) November 5, 2020
Acts based on support and resistance levels from charts
Support and resistance levels based on technical charts on various time frames.
— Banknifty Addict (Gaurav) (@BankniftyA) December 19, 2019
Breaking any of the above, leads to a direction
and then only directional play.
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Risks of bat-borne zoonotic diseases in Western Asia
Duration: 24/10/2018-23 /10/2019
Funding: $71,500
@dgaytandzhieva
https://t.co/680CdD8uug
2. Bat Virus Database
Access to the database is limited only to those scientists participating in our ‘Bats and Coronaviruses’ project
Our intention is to eventually open up this database to the larger scientific community
https://t.co/mPn7b9HM48
3. EcoHealth Alliance & DTRA Asking for Trouble
One Health research project focused on characterizing bat diversity, bat coronavirus diversity and the risk of bat-borne zoonotic disease emergence in the region.
https://t.co/u6aUeWBGEN
4. Phelps, Olival, Epstein, Karesh - EcoHealth/DTRA
5, Methods and Expected Outcomes
(Unexpected Outcome = New Coronavirus Pandemic)
Like company moats, your personal moat should be a competitive advantage that is not only durable—it should also compound over time.
Characteristics of a personal moat below:
I'm increasingly interested in the idea of "personal moats" in the context of careers.
— Erik Torenberg (@eriktorenberg) November 22, 2018
Moats should be:
- Hard to learn and hard to do (but perhaps easier for you)
- Skills that are rare and valuable
- Legible
- Compounding over time
- Unique to your own talents & interests https://t.co/bB3k1YcH5b
2/ Like a company moat, you want to build career capital while you sleep.
As Andrew Chen noted:
People talk about \u201cpassive income\u201d a lot but not about \u201cpassive social capital\u201d or \u201cpassive networking\u201d or \u201cpassive knowledge gaining\u201d but that\u2019s what you can architect if you have a thing and it grows over time without intensive constant effort to sustain it
— Andrew Chen (@andrewchen) November 22, 2018
3/ You don’t want to build a competitive advantage that is fleeting or that will get commoditized
Things that might get commoditized over time (some longer than
Things that look like moats but likely aren\u2019t or may fade:
— Erik Torenberg (@eriktorenberg) November 22, 2018
- Proprietary networks
- Being something other than one of the best at any tournament style-game
- Many "awards"
- Twitter followers or general reach without "respect"
- Anything that depends on information asymmetry https://t.co/abjxesVIh9
4/ Before the arrival of recorded music, what used to be scarce was the actual music itself — required an in-person artist.
After recorded music, the music itself became abundant and what became scarce was curation, distribution, and self space.
5/ Similarly, in careers, what used to be (more) scarce were things like ideas, money, and exclusive relationships.
In the internet economy, what has become scarce are things like specific knowledge, rare & valuable skills, and great reputations.