OK! Who's ready to talk at great length and in great detail about prices? #AdamSmith, that's who! (I.v) #BuckleUp because this is the first of three chapters Smith prepped us for yesterday. (I.v) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets

We're about get into some #LaborTheoryOfValue. (I.v.1–18) We, the SmithTweeters, are firmly on board with the #MarginalRevolution (and we are fans of @MarginalRevolt). But Smith's theory is more complex than is often recognized. #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets #ValueHowDoesItWork
The caricature version of the #LaborTheoryOfValue is that the longer you work on a thing, the more it must be worth. This is obviously wrong, and Smith (and Marx, btw) would agree that it's wrong. (I.v.1–18) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
(We know this version of the #LaborTheoryOfValue is wrong because we once carved a giant statue of #AdamSmith out of haggis. Took us hours. No one wanted to buy it. Go know!)
Again: We think the #LaborTheoryOfValue as it's actually presented is wrong, too, but we should at least understand how it's wrong and where it's right. (I.v.1–18) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
Whether you're rich or poor depends on purchasing power, which is really just the ability to command more labor. Exchange allows (and requires) us to benefit from the labor of others and not just ourselves. (I.v.1) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets #WeAreAllConnected
Smith defines the "real price" of a good as the toil and trouble that's put into producing it, "which it can save himself, and which it can impose on other people." (I.v.1) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
For this reason, wealth is power because it gives us the power to direct the labor of others, even as it makes us dependent on them. (I.v.3) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets #WeAreAllConnected
Sure, says Smith, labor is where the real value in all commodities lies. But! Labor hours are not how we typically measure value. (We told you so.) This is in part because things like hardship and ingenuity matter. (I.v.4) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets #LaborTheoryOfValue
We don't need to be completely accurate when measuring labor because we have "the higgling and bargaining of the market" which "though not exact, is sufficient for carrying on the business of common life." (I.v.4) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
In other words: real value is a thing, but it's hard to measure. For practical purposes, we rely on exchange value. (I.v.5) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
And exchange value? That's measured in terms of the goods and services being exchanged. They're the product of labor, but not measured in labor. Remember: it's hard to make change when bartering (especially cows), so we use money. (I.v.5–6) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
But money is complicated! In Smith's time it was backed by gold, sliver, and copper—all of which had market values that vary with the country's supply of those metals. (I.v.7) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
(And we can't blame metal-backed money for that. Modern-day currencies vary in price relative to each other and in terms of purchasing power over time.) (I.v.7) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
This isn't even a problem that just affects money. All the prices are changing all the time! That's why it would be great if there were an objective measure of value to compare things to. (I.v.7) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
This is why Smith wants to use labor to measure value, even if it's not how we really do things. "Equal quantities of labour, at all times and places, may be said to be of equal value to the labourer." (I.v.7) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
(Dear Readers, one of the SmithTweeters is Canadian and let her just say that putting those Us into "labour" for the purposes of a direct quote really hit the spot. #BritishEnglishFTW)
But wait! Didn't Smith say we 𝗰𝗮𝗻'𝘁 usefully compare quantities of labor? (Don't go back to check. He totally did.) (I.v.7) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets #LaborTheoryOfValue
Smith was 𝙫𝙚𝙧𝙮 particular with his wording. So. Many. Revisions. He's trying to perfectly express his ideas. So what, EXACTLY, did he say? (I.v.7) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets #LaborTheoryOfValue
Smith is talking about quantities of labor by a particular worker from the perspective of that worker. Not some general measurement of labor that applies to all workers. (I.v.7) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets #LaborTheoryOfValue
So *to the worker*, equal quantities of work are comparable. How much time and effort did they have to put into getting what they want? That's what really matters to them. (I.v.7) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets #LaborTheoryOfValue
There is an important truth here! It's just not the kind that economists can plug into equations and models. (I.v.7) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets #LaborTheoryOfValue
Smith reminds us of the difference between the real and nominal price of labor: The real price is how many things the laborer wants/needs and can get for labor. The nominal price is how much money he can get. (I.v.9) #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets
A laborer is wealthy or poor based on whether they can get what they want/need, regardless of how much money it costs. Money is sort of beside the point. That's why Smith focuses on labor. #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets #ValueHowDoesItWork
And... you know what? That's a lot for one day. We'll finish up Chapter 5 tomorrow. #SmithTweetersNeedSomeTea #WealthOfTweets #SmithTweets

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global health policy in 2020 has centered around NPI's (non-pharmaceutical interventions) like distancing, masks, school closures

these have been sold as a way to stop infection as though this were science.

this was never true and that fact was known and knowable.

let's look.


above is the plot of social restriction and NPI vs total death per million. there is 0 R2. this means that the variables play no role in explaining one another.

we can see this same relationship between NPI and all cause deaths.

this is devastating to the case for NPI.


clearly, correlation is not proof of causality, but a total lack of correlation IS proof that there was no material causality.

barring massive and implausible coincidence, it's essentially impossible to cause something and not correlate to it, especially 51 times.

this would seem to pose some very serious questions for those claiming that lockdowns work, those basing policy upon them, and those claiming this is the side of science.

there is no science here nor any data. this is the febrile imaginings of discredited modelers.

this has been clear and obvious from all over the world since the beginning and had been proven so clearly by may that it's hard to imagine anyone who is actually conversant with the data still believing in these responses.

everyone got the same R
1/ A thread of comments & observations about the death of the cackling vampire Rush Limbaugh.

My first observations in the main thread are here, but this offshoot is needed because there's been so many wise & witty things I've


2/ First, re: those who in their wayward moral obtuseness feel we "can't speak ill of the dead." I've said that this is what abuse enablers say, but I hear that some religious traditions preach this. Oy.
So there's this: https://t.co/7Ky4RA3nkZ &


3/ Drucker is another great wit, and this carries the proper mood


4/ There's definitely a Jewish Tradition angle for how to treat evil people who die: the only respect is to justice, right & wrong, and above all compassion's existence necessitates condemning cruelty


5/ We're coming up on #Purim, and that's all about how to remember evil. There may be a reason, then, that I share the attitude of many other people committed to righting

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