So, today, for the first time in 25 (!) years of Apple, I downgraded. From the 2016 MacBook Pro to my 2013, which I had kept in a drawer...
More from Simon DeDeo
One thing that’s always struck me is how *late* probability theory came in intellectual history. We had integral calculus before we had probability. And probability is insanely simple, mathematically!
I’m tempted to say that probability theory is not, in fact, Lindy. Frequentist probability is (for all the usual reasons) best understood as a heuristic. Bayesian interpretations, by contrast, take the remarkable step of tying it to mental states.
You have to work very hard to convince yourself that beliefs really are “degrees of belief in sets of events” (or whatever). It’s not natural—and I won’t rehearse the whole story about rational choice and decision theory...
So with those critiques in the back of my mind, when I read David Wallace’s decision-theoretic account of the Born Rule I was rather primed to say, hey, so what? Meaning...
Put another way, the editors who built the dominant nodes in this network...
...have little overlap with the ones who made this much more recent managerial flowchart.
Internet time runs at hundred-fold speed—the difference between the people who painted what's in the Uffizi, and the people in charge of keeping those paintings from deteriorating. Very different tasks, and (one presumes) very personalities as well. @PaulSkallas?
Some thoughts worked out in a letter to a friend, which is the kind of thing you do when off Twitter for a glorious week. (🧵)
“Chance is ignorance”—the Bayesian story; all probabilities represent states of mind, not states of the world. One *could* put (some) chances “in the world”, but let’s take Occam’s Razor seriously...
That the probability of a fair coin coming up heads is 50% simply means that marginalizing (tracing, as the physicists say) over the hidden facts leaves you, nearly, maximally ignorant of the outcome.
Quantum uncertainty (access below!) poses an apparent challenge to this story. There seems to be nothing to be ignorant about when it comes to (say) electron spin—there is nothing “inside” the
The electron is a simple object, in other words. So where does the uncertainty come from? One could follow David Wallace’s wonderful interpretation in terms of chaotic dynamics and decoherence, but let’s see if we can take another route...
In this case, it's a theory about compensation: the worse one's luck is, the more likely it is to see a reversal. On the surface, it's irrational. The more bad luck you have, the more you accumulate evidence that the system is rigged.
But there's also an anthropic component. If the luck is bad enough, it starts to become inconsistent with your survival. You've accumulated evidence for correlations in the environment, but these correlations (may be) inconsistent with (people like you) being in this environment.
An example. You're in a city where everyone takes public transport. You encounter a string of bad delays. It's reasonable to conclude they'll end—otherwise people wouldn't take public transport. It's unlikely that you happened to show up right when the network collapses.
Of course, that's a bad heuristic in a casino, which relies on a constant influx of losers. But in other environments, particularly with persistent populations and no evidence for sudden changes in the underlying laws, it makes sense.
Imagine for a moment the most obscurantist, jargon-filled, po-mo article the politically correct academy might produce. Pure SJW nonsense. Got it? Chances are you're imagining something like the infamous "Feminist Glaciology" article from a few years back.https://t.co/NRaWNREBvR pic.twitter.com/qtSFBYY80S— Jeffrey Sachs (@JeffreyASachs) October 13, 2018
The article is, at heart, deeply weird, even essentialist. Here, for example, is the claim that proposing climate engineering is a "man" thing. Also a "man" thing: attempting to get distance from a topic, approaching it in a disinterested fashion.
Also a "man" thing—physical courage. (I guess, not quite: physical courage "co-constitutes" masculinist glaciology along with nationalism and colonialism.)
There's criticism of a New York Times article that talks about glaciology adventures, which makes a similar point.
At the heart of this chunk is the claim that glaciology excludes women because of a narrative of scientific objectivity and physical adventure. This is a strong claim! It's not enough to say, hey, sure, sounds good. Is it true?
More from Tech
What happens when you have:
Verizon All Access (after they buy CBS/Viacom)
Answer? Internet Slows To A Craw and Dies.
Netflix's gets 35% of all internet traffic.
Now we all know Apple Coming to Netflix Corner.
We know that WarnerMedia Planning One
We Know about Disney+
Now how will the net handle 8 Streaming Platforms all at once?
Answer - IT CANT.
But Novid, the speed, the 4K the all everything?
Even if you could do it and even if AWS ran six million clouds, The Net Will still slow to a crawl. 35%, goes to nearly 90% if any of the 8 or all of the 8 eat at netflix's numbers.
Oh, they wouldn't be running at once.
FOOL. You forget how bad things were when game of thrones season premieres came around. HBO SERVERS FALL DOWN GO BOOM!
Now see if a season like 2021 come around and they air shows on a same day. It gets crazy. AT&T and others gonna realize they cant build out forever. Something will give and it might be your entertainment consumption big time.
Taking Down an Insider Threat
"I had all of the advantages. I was already inside the network. No one suspected me. But they found my hack, kicked me off the network...
...and physically hunted me down."
Many pentests start from the outside, wanting to see how the perimeter might be breached.
This pentest started from the inside. My client wanted to assume they had already been breached, and, if breached, how far could an attacker go.
Could they stop me once I was inside?
So they snuck me in. Disguised me as a new employee. Gave me a work computer, an ID badge, an account in their system... hell, I even had a cubicle w/my assumed name on it.
The only person who knew who I really was was their CISO. Everyone else thought I was Jeremy in Marketing.
During most of the first morning, I completed onboarding, made introductions, and completed menial tasks.
But I had to act quick. I only had a week onsite. I had to hack their network while not raising suspicion.
So I set about it.
You have to understand... most "Internal Pentests" are straight forward. The hard part is breaching the network, but once you're inside, it's a target rich environment. End of Life computers, default passwords, everyone a Local Administrator...
Here are the things I'm excited about.
🚂 Trailing commas in function/method calls!
🧵 Less disgusting heredoc syntax!
Inlining heredoc strings in any way right now is grrrosssss. Now we get sensible capabilities. Everything that was wrong with it is now fixed!
(Ignore the bad syntax highlighting)
☠️ Finally, not-so-silent json_decode error detection!
This really sucked before, now it just sucks a bit less (who wants to pass a 4th param and pass 2 default params first? (helper function anybody?)
📜 Not horrible functions for getting the first and last item (or key) from an array!
Before you either strung a bunch of functions together or messed with internal array pointers. This is a much-needed improvement.
At the heart of this lies the most important technique in modern deep learning - transfer learning.
Let's analyze how it
THREAD: Can you start learning cutting-edge deep learning without specialized hardware? \U0001f916— Radek Osmulski (@radekosmulski) February 11, 2021
In this thread, we will train an advanced Computer Vision model on a challenging dataset. \U0001f415\U0001f408 Training completes in 25 minutes on my 3yrs old Ryzen 5 CPU.
Let me show you how...
2/ For starters, let's look at what a neural network (NN for short) does.
An NN is like a stack of pancakes, with computation flowing up when we make predictions.
How does it all work?
3/ We show an image to our model.
An image is a collection of pixels. Each pixel is just a bunch of numbers describing its color.
Here is what it might look like for a black and white image
4/ The picture goes into the layer at the bottom.
Each layer performs computation on the image, transforming it and passing it upwards.
5/ By the time the image reaches the uppermost layer, it has been transformed to the point that it now consists of two numbers only.
The outputs of a layer are called activations, and the outputs of the last layer have a special meaning... they are the predictions!
👩🏾💻 By 2020, I was headhunted into a VP role in a global tech company @Brandwatch
🤖 I achieved this progression in less than a decade, without ANY coding skills
🔮 How did I do it?
🤓 I established a track record of results.
💪🏾 No magic formula can replace hard work: do your job well & hit all the targets you are set.
😬 When you're struggling, ask for help so you can stay on track to get results, or collaboratively adjust targets.
🎨 I stayed creative.
🧙🏿♀️ When challenges arose I was bold enough to try new solutions. Not everything worked, but constantly trying produced valuable innovations.
🧠 I was proactive in finding new, better ways to get the job done.
🤩 I was a self-promoter. I recorded my achievements & ensured they were mentioned in any performance / compensation reviews.
😎 I put myself forward for any opportunities to gain recognition e.g. speaking opportunities or awards.
👀I actively worked on gaining visibility.
🙂 I was myself. Some say you need to be ruthless to succeed. I don't buy it. I'm a nice person so I'm nice at work, too.
❤️ I didn't fake it. I always acted on my values, and spoke up when something didn't feel right. I showed integrity.
🤗 I was a team player. To everyone.
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Ecommerce, local biz, B2B, LinkedIn searches, info product sellers, enterprise, ANYTHING.
Likes / Retweets appreciated.
1/ Ecommerce Stores
Further filter based on apps installed.
Selling email marketing?
Shopify + Klaviyo
Instantly unlock direct email addresses of decision makers WITH LinkedIn profiles.
Emails are already verified, no need to do it yourself.
2/ Local Biz
"Find B2C local businesses"
Specify country, state, city, sort by ratings.
Instantly unlocks generic email addresses.
You need direct owner emails.
Take the list of domains, and plug them into Klean Leads "Find B2B contacts"
It will process and spit out *direct* email addresses of the titles you specify.
3/ LinkedIn Searches
Let's scrape marketing agencies.
Go to LinkedIn and type in "marketing agency" (just an example)
Click "all filters"
Connections: 2nd, 3rd
Industry: Marketing & Advertising
Titles: owner OR founder OR CEO OR CMO
Let's scrape it
One of the most moving and relevant stories of the Battle of the Bulge, or any American Soldier in any war, is that of Master Sergeant Roddie Edmonds, a Knoxville, Tennessee native, who served with the 106th Infantry.
2 of 16:
Roddie was captured early on in the Battle of the Bulge, on December 19th, when Panzer forces plowed through his unit.
He, along with almost his entire regiment, was forced to surrender.
3 of 16:
The men were transported to the Stalag IX-A POW camp in Ziegenhain, Germany.
Roddie was the senior enlisted American Soldier at the site. As such, he was the conduit between all American Soldiers and their German captors.
4 of 16:
In late January, the camp’s commandant, Major Siegmann [pictured here], ordered Roddie, a Christian, to identify all Jewish Soldiers and order them to stand in formation by themselves the next day.
[Jewish Soldiers were a minority within American units]
5 of 16:
Throughout WWII, captured Jewish Soldiers were often tortured and then killed by their German captors.
In fact, Jewish Soldiers had been told to bury their dog tags before capture. The dog tag identified Jews with the letter “H” for Hebrew.
Facebook cannot change course. The best they can do is keep dishing out empty apologies, commit to inconsequential adjustments to its algorithms, and spend more money on positive PR and negative projection. The rot is at the core of its very being.
This is why we, consumers and citizens, must make the change for Facebook. Antitrust forcing a breakup of the business, and consumer revolt driving #DeleteFacebook. Zuckerberg will never conclude that what he built has become such a net negative for the world on his own.
That’s why its so tragic that WhatsApp sold out to Facebook in particular. Finally a challenger that had a different model and different ethics. But few would say no to $19B, which is why we need antitrust enforcers to do it for them.
There was an Asura, Kaumasura, who was doing penance to please Shiva and get a boon. To prevent him from asking for a boon, Devi Saraswati made him dumb (hence called Mookasur)
Later, Adi Parashakti slayed him and came to be called Mookambika.
It is said that Adi Shankaracharya had a vision in which Devi agreed to follow him provided he did not look back. He kept walking and was assured of her presence due to the sound of anklets. When he reached here in Kollur, he turned back as the sound of anklets had stopped.
So Devi stayed here and merged with the lingam. The place came to be called Mookambika Kshetram.
The linga has integrated on it’s left side MahaKali, Maha Lakshmi and Maha Saraswathi and on the right side- Brahma, Vishnu and Shiva.
A swarna rekha (gold line) divides this linga into left and right portion. Adi Shakthi in this Udhbhavlinga form appears only here.
Devi sits in padmasana and has 4 hands.
Adi Shankaracharya installed the Sri Chakra in front of Devi and also composed the Soundarya Lahiri here.