Stan Weinstein's Secrets For Profiting in Bull and Bear Markets

Full Price Action Course in this thread 🧵

This course is worth 50k

Collaborated with @AdityaTodmal

1/ How to read Candlestick:

Green/Blue candle indicates buyers candle & red candle indicates sellers candle

2/ 24 candlestick patterns explained

3/ Price Action (PA) trading:

PA helps to predict market movements by spotting patterns or ‘signals’ in the price movements of an underlying market.

Learn different price action strategies

4/ How to plot Support &

Catch me if you can @Mitesh_Engr

Time for a🧵
Mitesh Sir's EXPIRY Option Selling 101:
• What to look for?
• Strike Selection & Ratios
• SL mgmt
• Avoiding freezes
• Monthy Expiry
• Event days
• How he would have traded last expiry?

In collaboration with @AdityaTodmal

Edward de Bono says intelligence is like a🚗 Automobile

“A powerful car may be driven badly. A less powerful car may be driven well. The skill of the car driver determines how the power of the car is used.”

What @Mitesh_Engr Sir looks at for Expiry Trading:

• Technicals of BNF
• Individual Heavyweight stocks of BNF
• Support/Resistance of BNF on weekly TF
• Also has Superb SL management
• When it comes to adjustments, he is always on toes

How to Select Strikes to Sell?

• You can't sell based on premium
• Follow only trend
• Price action is best to sell on expiry day
• Never wait for the options to go to zero

Using Ratios to Sell:

• If BNF is in a range then strangles
• If breakout/ breakdown from a range then directional
• Selling 70/30 or 80/20 ratios
• 2 examples on how he used ratios

How to save taxes on the trading profits for an individual

4 Legit ways to retain most of the trading income: 🧵

Collaborated with @AdityaTodmal

1. Divide your capital amongst your family members:

• Ensure they are not salaried employees as they might not be allowed to trade as per their employer's policy.

• Your family is your strength, not just emotionally, but financially too.

• E.g. your net taxable income works out to Rs. 50 lacs, as per the new tax regime, you are in the 30% tax bracket.

However, if you divide the capital amongst your family members in such a way that the net taxable income works out to Rs. 12.5 lacs per member (assuming 4).

This way the tax bracket gets shifted from 30% to 20%, clear saving of 10%

2. Expenses a trader can claim:

All the expenses directly related to the trading business can be claimed.

i) Rent Expense: If one has an office on rented premises, rent paid is a valid expense. However, you should have the rent receipts & rent agreement as valid proof.

Since April 2019, I've been a full-time trader.

Have been selling index options on weekly basis for the past two years and consistently making returns.

Option Selling 101 course worth 50k for FREE 🧵

Collaborated with @AdityaTodmal

1. Know where the market won't go:

Our minds are usually wired to be curious about where a stock or an index will move. ,

However, when it comes to option selling, we need to know where the market certainly won't go.

2: Theta/ Time Decay:

Option is a wasting asset, hence theta/time decay is a friend of option sellers.

Option sellers have a natural edge because the value of the option decreases as time goes by.

3. Benefit of premium eating of OTM options:

OTMs usually have a higher probability of going to zero, option sellers try to gobble up these strikes, and adjust their positions or exit with an SL if need be.

4. When to play non - directional:

When an index is trading within a range.

Let's say, BNF is trading within a range of 44000-42500 then one can look to sell CE options of 44k and above and PE strikes of 42500 and below.

Thread: Free Options Trading Course for Beginners with small capital.

Reference: Option trading marathon series, part 1 from Mr. Subasish Pani ft. @PushkarRThakur

Collaborated with @AdityaTodmal

1/ Trading journey of Mr. Pani

• He has an experience of 7 years.

• He has made a profit of Rs. 20 cr. over these years with a capital of Rs. 2 cr.

• However, it's not easy to make such profits.

• More difficult, is to retain those profits and build more on it.

2/ How he ventured to options selling

• He started with futures and option buying however after a certain point when his capital grew, he faced scalability issues and hence he resorted to options selling.

3/ Investing becomes imp once the capital grows:

• Since his trading profits have grown well, he has started investing (investing is always for LT).

• For folks who dnt have much info regarding investing can simply buy Nifty 50 stocks & keep rebalancing as Nifty 50 does.

4/ Covered calls strategy for the portfolio:

• Pledge the portfolio and receive margin ~80% which he would then use to sell OTM CEs of the stocks which are in his portfolio.

• This helps in generating fixed income from the portfolio.

How you can filter stocks for Intraday trades - 🧵

As a kid, we would do homework before school the next day - you have to do homework here too. A specific sector performs on a particular day and studying things a day before will help you spot that particular sector. (1/11)

To prepare for the next trading day, you got to check the Index charts of all sectors. You got to keep an eye on a specific Index if you see a few factors:

- If any Index closed exactly at the resistance, you can get a trade on either side on the next day. (2/11)

- If it gave a rejection candle at resistance.

- If any Index closed exactly at support, you can get a trade on either side the following day.

- If there was a bullish signal at the support.

- If any Index gave a breakout or breakdown and then gave a good closing. (3/11)

- If any Index has taken support at 50 or 200 EMA.

Once you spot the Index, look at all the stocks in that particular Index. Pick at least 3-4 stocks from that Index and add them to your watchlist for the next day. It's ideal to check both higher and lower timeframes. (4/11)

What you should do next day? (When I am unable to check Indices and stocks a day before, I sometimes directly start with this process.)

- Start with checking the top gainers/losers list. I observe market from 9:15 to 9:45am to check the sectors performing well on that day.(5/11)

#Strategy
A simple strategy; Cam breakout strategy; Major rules for longs r morning open above R3; Long when full candle ab R4 and ab 25ema; Exit when price drops bel 25ema or bel R3 or till 3.15. Rev for short. Backtest from 2019 - Profit factor 2.06 / Finer rules confidential.

#RSI is a common indicator which most of us use in the stock market.

This learning thread would be on
"𝙐𝙨𝙚𝙨 𝙤𝙛 𝙍𝙎𝙄"

Like👍 & Retweet🔄 for wider reach and for more such learning thread in the future.

Also, an investment strategy is shared using RSI in the end.

1/16

Setup 1:

RSI- commonly used to show whether price is overbought or oversold.

General rule:
𝐑𝐒𝐈 > 𝟕𝟎 -- 𝐎𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐛𝐨𝐮𝐠𝐡𝐭
𝐑𝐒𝐈 < 𝟑𝟎 -- 𝐎𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐬𝐨𝐥𝐝

One becomes cautious once price becomes overbought and optimistic when price becomes oversold.

2/16

Let's understand this with an example of Laurus Labs:

1. It was in overbought zone and after a few days when a small dip was seen from 693 to 588 (15% downside)

2. It was in oversold zone and after a few days when a small rally was seen from 59 to 107 (82% upside)

3/16

Well, this looks very easy, but it is not.

When a price is in overbought zone and is in momentum, then it can move up without taking a dip and exiting or shorting stock would prove wrong.

When IRCTC was in overbought zone, price went up from 2718 to 6396 (135% rally).

4/16

Similarly, for oversold stock.

When a price is in oversold zone and is crashing, then it can move down without taking an upmove and buying stock would prove wrong.

When DHFL was in oversold zone, price went down from 126 to 11 (91% crash).

5/16

Just one basic filter will save a lot of your money. If the price falls below 200 days MA and it is sloping down - avoid any buys till the MA flattens up & the stock forms a higher low or just wait for initial move to prove itself & buy when MA starts sloping up

Lupin

Hence Proved:
Bulls love Valley's (V shaped)
#Bulls hate Mountains.
😉😉😁