BC POLITICS
Saved by @CodyyyGardner

1) All of us are disgusted & fed up with the Republican Party (except a few perpetual grifters in DC).

2) There are calls for a new "Patriot" or "MAGA" Party. I get it. Good intentions. But there are structural reasons why a new party will fail & why we have to take over the GOP

 3) When I say "structural" some people gloss over that as if it's unimportant.

It's fundamental. You don't build a house on a bad foundation. If you set up a commerce site, you have a structure as to how you take payments.

You may wish you could go outside that structure . . .
3) contd . . . but if you want your money, you have to either work in the structure or completely obliterate the site. You can't have two competing sites for your money.

4) Likewise if you want to get in your house, you may have 20 keys, but the car key usually won't let you in
5) The structural basis of parties is unchangeable. It was set in the 1820s by Martin Van Buren as a way to protect slavery with the DemoKKKrat Party. But it's also embedded in the Constitution with the "winner take all/single member district" system of representation.
6) This has resulted in a 200-year-old system that is set in place. First, Van Buren, to get people to support a party that would protect slavery, had to reward them with something big.

Jobs.

He created the "spoils system" of rewarding loyalists with party & gubment jobs.
7) The more effective you were at getting out the vote, the higher your reward with a party or gubment job. Today, there are only about 3,000 directly appointed presidential jobs---but multiply that by all the people who have say over the people THEY give jobs to, or approve.
8) Now go down the line to the party bosses, the state bosses, the county bosses, etc. It's a massive jobs/spoils pyramid that despite the Civil Service Administration to this day still controls hundreds of thousands of jobs.

More important, they control millions of . . .
8) contd . . . wanna-be, hopeful future job seekers.

9) That's part one of the structure.

10) Part 2, winner take all/single member district, means that for any House seat, or any state house seat, you must win a majority of the vote.

11) Only one winner per district.
12) Jim Jordan either wins or goes home. He doesn't get a "45% seat" in Congress. No such thing. (Now, there IS such a thing in Israel & European countries that have "proportional representation." We don't have that.
13) So, when you combine the two---spoils/jobs with winner-take-all/single member district---it creates a dynamic of long-term loyalty to whoever stands to get close to 50%.

14) This is why no third party has ever succeeded in American history. (Remember, the Republicans . . .
14) contd . . . were NOT a "third party." They were the second party, because the Whigs had gone out of business (separate lesson on why).

15) The Libertarians get 1-3%; the Socialists get 1%; the Green Party gets 1%; and so on. They NEVER EVER grow. Why?
16) Because however valid (or invalid) their ideas, they have no reasonable shot over the course of more than 20 years of ever winning. That means they have no opportunity to reward followers/loyalists with . . . jobs.
17) If you are a loyalist who wants to actually see change from the Green standpoint, you have no hope in your lifetime. Moreover, no Greenies will EVER be appointed by a DemoKKKrat president to a position because . . .

those are reserved for loyal DEMOKKKRATS.
18) It's not just that some people want gubment cheese in the form of a job---some do. But many others want a (paid) chance to change policies.

19) And when they are successful at electing Foghorn Leghorn as GOP President, they expect to be rewarded & to reward THEIR underlings
20) Even if you have, as with the Reform Party, a party that got 17% of the presidential vote in 1992, how many House seats did they win?

None.

How many policies did they directly shape?

None. You might say, correctly, they influenced some.

How many jobs did Ross give away?
21) You get my point. The hopelessness of never having a shot at 50% soon erodes third parties, like the Populists or the Reformers. They move into one of the existing parties that actually are within 10 points in any given election of winning.
22) Thus, creating a whole new MAGA/Patriot Party, which starts way below 50% (because a significant # of Republicans would not leave), means that for the distant future neither the GOP nor the MAGA party would get close to 50%.

23) That creates hopelessness.
23) It is far easier--though not easy---to take over an existing party from within.

This is what the Socialists have done with the DemoKKKrat Party. They came really close in November to completing the job. Only Biteme's fraudulent victory saved the establishment . . .
24) contd . . . and Botoxic and SpewMore were able to crush the Occasional Cortex-led insurgents and reassert control.

25) Look at the person slated to replace Kampuchea in the CA senate seat. Full DemoKKKrat, not a non-party socialist (even though ideologically Alex Padilla . .
25) contd . . . is almost certainly a Socialist at heart. But you stay within the party. You reward loyalists.

26) Trump had to play that game. (Obviously, you also WANT your loyalists in power). Head of NASA?

Jeff DeWitt, Trump's AZ finance chairman.
27) Of course, this becomes a problem if the loyalists are more loyal to themselves and/or the party than to fixing the country (think Sean Spicer, Jeff Sessions, any number of revolving door appointees under Trump).

28) But I think I'm safe in saying that virtually . . .
28) contd . . . none of Trump's early picks for anything were "outside the party" guys except Bannon, who came with him from the campaign.
29) Hence, the takeover must be from the inside, and we can do it.

More from Larry Schweikart

Larry Schweikart
Larry Schweikart
@LarrySchweikart
@Garrett_Archer Let me suggest something, in love.

Earlier, you said and I agreed with you, that the Trump side should be looking to poke holes in their case. It would only make it stronger. I wanted you to be a part of the hearings here.

Now, I think you need to do the same.

I'd like to see you approach the state's case--that there's no fraud--with the ferver of a full Tumper.

Earlier you admitted that, yes, if 35,000 votes were programmed as a baseline in Pima, it would be possible if 35,000 paper ballots were inserted there.

That wouldn't . . .

be hard to do. In fact, while I agree with you that it would be almost impossible to do it statewide, it would NOT be impossible to do it in several select locations. When a few thousand votes decide an election, this would do it.

So I challenge you to start again.

Start with the eyes of someone who sees fraud (cuz is sure as HELL looks that way). For example, pollsters are wrong. But Richard Baris is rarely wrong. When he misses, it's by a half a point.

His AZ poll was "off" by over 4. Maybe he just erred. Maybe not.

Give it a try.

Show everyone that indeed you ARE the AZ Data Guru and mount the most substantive case you can for fraud before you set to knocking it down.

I think both sides should be represented before the full AZ legislature, under oath, questioned by both sides (NOT ACCUSED but questioned)
POLITICS
Larry Schweikart
Larry Schweikart
@LarrySchweikart
1) Raise your hand if you remember how the RINOs and neverTrumpers ridiculed us in 2015 when we supported Trump saying, "he fights!"

Remember how much abuse we took for that?

Guess what.

We now have Justice Kavanaugh largely because both Trump and K fought.

2) Trump had every opportunity to bail on Judge K. I'm sure he asked the Judge, "Do you want to keep going through this? Cuz I'll stand by you if you do."

3) Either of the Bushes, McTurd, Minion,ANY other leading R would have bailed on Judge K the first time Balless Edsel talked

3) Do you RINOs, you neverTrumpers get it yet?

It is ONLY because Trump "fights" that ANYTHING gets done--trade treaties, tax cuts, immigration control, denuking Korea.

You can't have Falstaff and have him thin. You can't have victories & play nice with Commies or DemoKKKrats
ALL
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Larry Schweikart
Larry Schweikart
@LarrySchweikart
1) Where we are: This is much, much bigger than a fraudulent election (it was) or rampant gubment tyrannical China Virus abuse (it is).

2) What we are facing has been building for a good 30 years.

3) I date it back to the GOP failure to defeat Clinton in the gubment shutdown.

4) If you went to public school, that would be the 1995 budget battle.

5) The brand new GOP Congress, with plenty of public support, failed to rein in a Clinton bloated budget.

6) It wasn't the numbers. Compared to today's deficits & debts, this was pocket change. Rather, this was the first time since the Cold War, which was a legit excuse for constant deficit spending, that Congress failed to do its MAIN constitutional duty--oversee spending.

7) No, this isn't a thread about deficits or debt. At present, I don't think those pose the biggest challenge to us, or even probably one of the top five.

8) Rather, this is about a deadly disease that hit DC & the patient refused to take any medicine for it.

9) The disease was the failure to address the major problems of the day, whether it was deficits, Islamic terrorism, the banking crisis, or trade.

10) Vote fraud & this frankenstein of an election is only the latest SYMPTOM of this much larger disease.
POLITICS , GOVERNMENT
Larry Schweikart
Larry Schweikart
@LarrySchweikart
1) Last night I said we have 12 data points (AZ statewide, FL statewide +4 specific counties, IA + 2 counties, OH 2 counties, and NC).

Every single one was showing GOP turnout higher than midterm levels of 2014 and all but one (a county) showing turnout above 2016.

2) If I recall all the data correctly, D turnout/performance was below that of 2016 and, in the case of IA, below that of 2014.

3) Now we have two more data points to add: news out of WY that a net of 10k switched from D/other to R in last six months & turnout #s in Knox Co. TN

3) Out of 12 MEASURABLE data points--not polls which are opinions of what people "might" do in the future---every single one is favors the Rs.

4) I'll admit, I got a tad depressed for a minute yesterday when the latest Siena/NYT polls came out . . . before I was reminded . . .

4) . . they were making 60,000 calls to reach a mere 300 respondents.

SIXTY THOUSAND!

5) Who do you think is NOT responding?

Conservatives, Republicans, people with families & jobs.

6) That means these NYT polls are utterly worthless with a margin of error of 20% or more

7) So once again, we have real world data about what has ALREADY HAPPENED, stuff we can count . . .

and unreliable polls of the opinions of people who won't even vote about what they might do if it doesn't rain or if they don't have a hangnail that day.
ALL
Larry Schweikart
Larry Schweikart
@LarrySchweikart
1) A little story about "exit polls."

2) The year was 2004. Kerry was supposedly leading W.

3) I was active in a key precinct in Dayton, OH, a true bellwether for ALL of OH.

4) Rs knew if their voters turned out (due to R registration edge) W would win.

5) I was assigned to do "poll flushing." This is when you go to the precinct at 10:00 am and 4:00 pm and check off all the Republicans who had voted.

Then callers will get on the phone to those who haven't yet voted & try to get them out.

6) The first poll flushing was normal and expected #s.

7) I went home and hear Rush going on and on about the exit polling showing a Kerry win.

8) Some of the conservative websites were melting down. "It's over!"

9) Drudge was going crazy with "exit polls" showing a BIG Kerry win, especially in OH which he had to have to win.

10) A little puzzled, I did my 4:00 flushing. Fully 90% of all Republicans had ALREADY VOTED . . . with three hours to go!

11) Remember, if our voters turned out, nothing Lurch could do. We had the #s.

12) I got back home, went on the boards and told people to cool down, that W would win OH and thereby the election. (He was up in FL, unlike 2000).

13) Sure enough, the exit polls were ALL wrong.
ALL

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All the challenges to Leader Pelosi are coming from her right, in an apparent effort to make the party even more conservative and bent toward corporate interests.

Hard pass. So long as Leader Pelosi remains the most progressive candidate for Speaker, she can count on my support.


I agree that our party should, and must, evolve our leadership.

But changed leadership should reflect an actual, evolved mission; namely, an increased commitment to the middle + working class electorate that put us here.

Otherwise it’s a just new figure with the same problems.

I hope that we can move swiftly to conclude this discussion about party positions, so that we can spend more time discussing party priorities: voting rights, healthcare, wages, climate change, housing, cannabis legalization, good jobs, etc.
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@RJSHutton
I think a plausible explanation is that whatever Corbyn says or does, his critics will denounce - no matter how much hypocrisy it necessitates.


Corbyn opposes the exploitation of foreign sweatshop-workers - Labour MPs complain he's like Nigel

He speaks up in defence of migrants - Labour MPs whinge that he's not listening to the public's very real concerns about immigration:

He's wrong to prioritise Labour Party members over the public:

He's wrong to prioritise the public over Labour Party
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Jean-Michel Connard
Jean-Michel Connard
@torriangray
so my eldest brother, who is a moron, has been playing soldier with his moron friends in the deserts of texas for the last year preparing for the collapse of civilization if biden won (lol). they were burying food and ammo stashes out in the desert, running drills, crazy stuff

this included getting a cb license so he could be their lifeline to other groups of white idiots when the cell towers all went offline. wouldn't want to violate federal law while communicating with your resistance groups after the fall of the federal government i guess.

anyways, you would assume given that they've been prepping for the end of the world for at least a year they're well situated to ride out the rolling blackouts right?

wellll

their plan for cooking and heating during an extended power outage was natural gas, but like a lot of homes their gas service is out. the food in their freezer and fridge is already toast due to the power outrages, so they're down to canned stuff, but there's a catch.

they can get into the pull top cans just fine, but the ones that require an opener? their only can opener is electric. so a good 3/4 of his canned food store is inaccessible to him unless he goes after it with a knife, which i sincerely hope he does.
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Annika Brockschmidt
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@ardenthistorian
Here we go. Tag 4 des Impeachments. Trumps Verteidigung.


Es wird argumentiert, dass Trump nur habe sicherstellen wollen, dass die Wahl fair abgelaufen sei. Die Verteidigung zeigt Clips einzelner Demokraten, die der Zertifizierung von Trumps Stimmen 2016 widersprechen. (Dass es 2016 keinen von Obama gesandten Mob aufs Kapitol gab?Egal!)

Die intellektuelle Unehrlichkeit ist so unfassbar, ich weiß kaum, wo ich hier überhaupt anfangen soll; so viele fucking Strohmänner auf einmal.

Die Verteidigung spielt random Clips, in denen Demokraten “fight” sagen, fast zehn Minuten lang. Weil Trump 20mal am 6. Januar “fight” gesagt hat. Dies ist kein Witz. Komisch, dass sonst die Folge nie war, dass ein Mob das Kapitol gestürmt hat und Pence hängen wollte


“Dieser Fall geht um politischen Hass” Ich mein, ja. “Die House Managers hassen Donald Trump.”

So close.
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