Here comes the 3rd and final part of the long weekend 'Beginners' Pathway" series.
In this we'll see Open Interest basics and Option Chain Analysis.
The strike closest to the market price is At The Money.
I have tried to explain OTM & ITM in a very simplistic & easy manner.
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Here I will share what I believe are essentials for anybody who is interested in stock markets and the resources to learn them, its from my experience and by no means exhaustive..
First the very basic : The Dow theory, Everybody must have basic understanding of it and must learn to observe High Highs, Higher Lows, Lower Highs and Lowers lows on charts and their
Even those who are more inclined towards fundamental side can also benefit from Dow theory, as it can hint start & end of Bull/Bear runs thereby indication entry and exits.
Next basic is Wyckoff's Theory. It tells how accumulation and distribution happens with regularity and how the market actually
Dow theory is old but
Old is Gold....
— Professor (@DillikiBiili) January 23, 2020
this Bharti Airtel chart is a true copy of the Wyckoff Pattern propounded in 1931....... pic.twitter.com/tQ1PNebq7d
Lest some charlie jumps to point out, let me make it clear that I haven't invented anything in stock market, all my knowledge of stock market comes from old farts. Just my observation is my own. https://t.co/uHNw8tV4AO
Plz advice how to identify accumulation and distribution phase...... to me Both looks same
— VIVEK VAID (@bobvaid) February 12, 2022
As per Normal Distribution 68% of the time movement is with 1% SD Limits.
For 95% pf the times movement is within 2% SD limits.
And its only 0.3% of the times that movement exceeds 3 SD.
Since 95% covers a lot of ground that's why 2SD is considered to be a a safe range for most events.
The farther we move from the average, chances of occurrence go down. This is what Taleb sahab calls Tail risk, because it lies in the tail of the standard distribution curve.
Normal distribution occurs everywhere. See this
The Galton Machine shows order from randomness. Each ball bounces left or right at random, 12 times, but together where they fall can be predicted - the normal distribution. This one made by: https://t.co/oI9wOGq7nG pic.twitter.com/VQtVu66OSE
— Tom Stafford (@tomstafford) April 19, 2018
Bollinger Band, which is a very popular indicator has a setting of 2SD. Because its expected that 95% of the time moves will be confined to 2SD limits.
When we say that price is at upper/lower Bollinger band, we are saying that it has reached 2 SD limits and likely to reverse.
Now coming to current scenario, open Nifty daily chart and apply two bollinger Bands on it.
First with default setting and in second change settings to 3 standard deviation.
Crossing 3 SD boundary means that Nifty is now in very rare territory where it has been only 0.3%
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How many are believing only in simple trading system?
— Mitesh Patel (@Mitesh_Engr) April 3, 2021
This is my simple trading.
I don\u2019t have any magic.
— Mitesh Patel (@Mitesh_Engr) January 7, 2021
Next week I will prefer to sell put in between strike 30500-31000 as shown in pic. Will manage upto 31000.
If breaks 31000 as first down support then will exit put nearby 31000 strike and will sell
31500 call ( will act as resistance again )
Simple hai na pic.twitter.com/hPLIMq3tSe
#Straddle #Gammascalping #Learning Success In option writing can be achieved only by adjustments based on the market developments. The same goes with straddle strategy as well. A method called gamma scalping helps to minimize potential loss in straddles. pic.twitter.com/qgSmgd8RWM
— HMK alias MANOJ (@scorpiomanojFRM) June 19, 2020