1/🧵 Good #DataScience advice that breaks pretty much every rule you learned in class... a thread. (+full blog post linked)

English version: https://t.co/dG4l6vPFBT
Spanish version: https://t.co/gFAjPQ5clS

#AI #MachineLearning #Statistics #RStats

2/🧵 Allow your approach to be sloppy at first and burn some of your initial time, energy, and data on informing a good direction later. That's right, you're supposed to start sloppily ON PURPOSE.
3/🧵 Have a phase where the only result you’re after is *an idea of how to design your ultimate approach better.*
4/🧵 In other words, start with a pilot phase where the objective isn't finding answers, it's finding a good approach to finding answers.
5/🧵 That means you're encouraged (ENCOURAGED!) to start with everything your stats classes told you not to do:
6/🧵 Low-quality data: use small sample sizes, synthetic data, and non-randomly sampled data to gain insights about the data collection process itself.
7/🧵 Rough-and-dirty models: seek an understanding of what the payoff from minimum effort looks like. Start with bad algorithms which you know are only going to give you a benchmark, not your best solution.
8/🧵 Multiple comparisons: instead of picking a single hypothesis test, feel free to throw the kitchen sink at your data to discover signals worth basing your final approach on. Add deadlines and MVP milestones to avoid the trap of infinite polishing, poking, and prodding.
9/🧵 If the statistician in you isn’t screaming yet, I admire your sangfroid. This advice breaks pretty much every rule you learned in class. So why am I endorsing these “bad behaviors”?
10/🧵 So why am I endorsing these “bad behaviors”? Because this is the pilot phase. I’m all about following the standard advice later, but this early phase has different rules.
11/🧵 The important thing is to avoid rookie mistakes by remembering these 2 crucial principles:
12/🧵 Principle 1: Don’t take any findings from the early phase too seriously.
13/🧵 Principle 2: Always collect a clean new dataset when you’re ready for the final version.

For more info: https://t.co/Ue332SMjy1
14/🧵 You’re using your initial iterative exploratory efforts to inform your eventual approach (which you’ll take just as seriously as the most studious statistician would). The trick is to use the best of exploratory nimbleness to inform what’s worth considering along the way.
15/🧵 If you’re used to the rigidity of traditional statistical inference, it’s time to rediscover the benefits of pilot studies in science and find ways to embed the equivalent into your data science projects.
16/🧵 The key thing to understand about this advice is that

- finding good questions
- finding good answers
- finding good approaches going from one to the other

are all different objectives that require different approaches. Sometimes there's homework to do before answers...

More from Machine learning

Happy 2⃣0⃣2⃣1⃣ to all.🎇

For any Learning machines out there, here are a list of my fav online investing resources. Feel free to add yours.

Let's dive in.
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Thanks for this incredibly helpful analysis @dgurdasani1

Two questions. 1/ Does this summarise the AZ published data :
The plan is to extend the time interval for all age groups despite it being largely untested on the over 55yrs, although the full data is not yet published


Do we have the actual numbers of over 55yr olds given a 2nd dose at c12 weeks and the accompanying efficacy data?

Not to mention the efficacy data of the full first dose over that same period?

I’d quite like to know whether I am to be a guinea pig & the ongoing risks to manage

You attached photos of excerpts from a paper. Could you attach the link?

Re Pfizer. As I understand it the most efficacious interval for dosing was investigated at the start of the trial.


Here’s the link to the

I’ve got to say that this way of making and announcing decisions is not inspiring confidence in me and I am very pro vaccination as a matter of principle, not least because my brother caught polio before vaccinations available.
This is a Twitter series on #FoundationsOfML.

❓ Today, I want to start discussing the different types of Machine Learning flavors we can find.

This is a very high-level overview. In later threads, we'll dive deeper into each paradigm... 👇🧵

Last time we talked about how Machine Learning works.

Basically, it's about having some source of experience E for solving a given task T, that allows us to find a program P which is (hopefully) optimal w.r.t. some metric


According to the nature of that experience, we can define different formulations, or flavors, of the learning process.

A useful distinction is whether we have an explicit goal or desired output, which gives rise to the definitions of 1️⃣ Supervised and 2️⃣ Unsupervised Learning 👇

1️⃣ Supervised Learning

In this formulation, the experience E is a collection of input/output pairs, and the task T is defined as a function that produces the right output for any given input.

👉 The underlying assumption is that there is some correlation (or, in general, a computable relation) between the structure of an input and its corresponding output and that it is possible to infer that function or mapping from a sufficiently large number of examples.

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