
Excellent article on Investor psychology & Market cycles based on Howard Marks' "Mastering the Market Cycle".
cc: @dmuthuk @Gautam__Baid
✔️Mania and risk
"The combination of feedback loops and irrational exuberance, where newfound expectations and enthusiasm, encourages investors to bid up and rationalize extraordinary growth in asset prices.
An understanding of where attitudes to risk sits within the current investor psychology cycle can be a useful knowledge advantage.
Marks believes that the biggest source of investment risk is when investors believe that there are no risks at all.
It is helpful to consider the extent to which optimism or pessimism is incorporated into current asset prices. Skepticism is needed when mass optimism or pessimism is in excess. Contrarianism at the right moments is an important ingredient for successful investing