THREAD, PM EXIT STRATEGY

I sometimes get the question “At what price do I liquidate my PM portfolio?” The short answer is:

A) I´ll never sell all of it

and

B) I don´t have a PT. I could start selling at $1900 or at $100000, it depends.

For the longer explanation, 👇

Albert Einstein once famously said “Everything is relative”. I find that quote very useful in the world of investing as well.

First off, my preferred style of investing is more influenced by macro than micro (macroeconomics vs company specific).
That means I often buy a commodity, an ETF or a basket of companies operating in the sector of interest.

I frequently look at certain ratios, or said another way, instrument X relative to instrument Y.
By analyzing historical data, I´ve set up different “ratio milestones” for when history tells me to start unwinding the ratio. As these milestones are triggered, I sell 25% of the relatively stronger instrument. For every additional 10% skew in the ratio, I sell another 25% etc.
This means I´ll never pick the absolute top nor the bottom, but I should extract much of the value while keeping my emotions out of it.

An example where this principle is adopted is shown in the Gold/Silver ratio -graph below.
By shifting the milestones to 70 and 50 you´ll get the reasoning behind it.

More from Investing

THE MONEY PRINTING GAME:

A pleb's guide to using @Keeper_DAO's hiding game to acquire $Rook below market price and arb it like a pro.

Before reading this thread, please read this one to provide a bit of context:
https://t.co/jLeUJRIjLG

Here we go!

1/


Before we really get into the meat of this... please do understand that the hiding game is currently in alpha. Hardware wallets don't work w/ it yet (they will soon).

Sometimes orders go unfilled (improving every day).

2/

A bit more context:

Limit orders on an amm aren't limit orders in the traditional sense. They are actually arbitrage opportunities for keepers. Keepers are bots that operate in the dark forest of ethereum.

3/

Now, let's say you use a service like 1inch or matcha to set your limit orders.

Let's say eth is $900 and you want to sell at $1000.

Eth pumps to $1040 rapidly, a keeper fills your limit order for $1000... everyone is happy. But wait... who gets the extra $40 here?

4/

Hint: it's not you! But what if you could?

This is where the hiding game comes in.
https://t.co/6sBlUWfw00

When you submit a limit order through the hiding game, @Keeper_DAO takes the $40 (or w/e amount) referenced above (this is MEV) and pushes it to the treasury.

5/

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