1/ This summer I covered the #PortlandRiots in a series I called #PortlandiaNights because the mainstream media refused to do so. Yesterday @tedwheeler actually acknowledged that Antifa is not only very real but very dangerous. I'm reposting my coverage in this thread.

2/ America's Newest Reality Show: Portlandia Nights (Originally posted 7/17/2020) I had watched the riots going on for more than 50 days when I decided to start covering them. #PortlandRiots

https://t.co/27jTk2QcDG
3/ Portlandia Nights: Barricade & Burn, Attack on the Portland Justice Center (Originally posted 7/18/2020) #PortlandRiots

https://t.co/QV5bvqFM11
4/ Portlandia Nights: Divide & Conquer. (Originally posted 7/19/2020) #PortlandRiots

https://t.co/bmZyseNf9C
5/ Portlandia Nights: Missing in Action. (Originally posted 7/20/2020 #PortlandRiots

https://t.co/sM69nkOZiZ
6/ Portlandia Nights: #RiotMoms (Originally posted 7/21/2020) #PortlandRiots

https://t.co/Xg92tVQzIH
7/ Portlandia Nights: Iraqi Rescue (Originally posted 7/22/2020) #PortlandRiots

https://t.co/TaMAdX8iZm
8/ Portlandia Nights: #RiotMayor @tedwheeler (Originally posted 7/23/2020) #PortlandRiots

https://t.co/jrzdL30DpP
9/ Portlandia Nights: Groundhog Day (Originally posted 7/24/2020) #PortlandRiots

https://t.co/3Ug3YfQJFp
10/ Portlandia Nights: Snitches Get Stitches. (Originally posted 7/25/2020) #PortlandRiots

https://t.co/bR6SAJrPEy
11/ Portlandia Nights: What you need to know about Antifa University. (Originally posted 7/25/2020) #PortlandRiots

https://t.co/xjfMwkdSCd
12/ Riot Ribs: a case study in Marxism (Originally posted 7/28/2020) #PortlandRiots

https://t.co/Q0xV5f3N8V
13/ The Antifa Bombmakers (Originally posted 7/30/2020) #PortlandRiots

https://t.co/h89Fb4CKIw
14/ Speaking truth to power (originally posted 8/1/2020) #PortlandRiots

https://t.co/vkxQH3aVpj
15/ How Portland became the Epicenter of White Supremacy in America. (Originally posted 8/05/2020) #PortlandRiots

https://t.co/aVl8Z6sQbE
16/ White Privilege in Portland. (Originally posted 8/7/2020) #PortlandRiots

https://t.co/7odvS6PkVw
17/ Fixing Portland. (Originally posted 8/10/2020) #PortlandRiots

https://t.co/bEXMVdEaDi
18/ Riot Fitness. (Originally posted 8/9/2020) #PortlandRiot

https://t.co/bEXMVdEaDi
19/ Aiding & Abetting: How a district attorney and a congressional candidate are prolonging Portland's insurgency. (Originally posted 8/12/2020) #PortlandRiots

https://t.co/GVspHj05j8

More from @amuse

More from Government

How does a government put a legislation on 'hold'? Is there any constitutional mechanism for the executive to 'pause' a validly passed legislation? Genuine Koshan.


So a committee of 'wise men/women' selected by the SC will stand in judgement over the law passed by


Here is the thing - a law can be stayed based on usual methods, it can be held unconstitutional based on violation of the Constitution. There is no shortcut to this based on the say so of even a large number of people, merely because they are loud.


Tomorrow can all the income tax payers also gather up at whichever maidan and ask for repealing the income tax law? It hurts us and we can protest quite loudly.

How can a law be stayed or over-turned based on the nuisance value of the protestors? It is anarchy to allow that.
Labour Grandees are listed in Sir Keir Starmer's colleague Jeffrey Epstein's ''Little Black Book''; Blair, Mandelson and Alastair Campbell. COINCIDENTLY, Keir Starmer and some of the same people have connections to ANOTHER of the worlds most prolific peadophiles. #StarmerOut


Starmer failed to bring charges against Jimmy Savile for paedophilia. The decision was made despite the Crown Prosecution Service receiving substantial evidence of his crimes from witnesses and victims several years before Savile died in 2011. #StarmerOut
https://t.co/PNyX5uSAkw


With a past like hers, Margaret Hodge might show a bit more humility.
In the Eighties Hodge was aware of previous child sex abuse in the care homes for which she was responsible, and did nothing about it. #LabourLeaks #StarmerOut

As leader of Islington Council, a post she held from 1982-92, Margaret Hodge was aware of previous, horrendous child sex abuse in the care homes for which she was responsible, and did nothing about it. #LabourLeaks #StarmerOut #CSA

She was guilty of rather more than a casual failure of oversight. In an open letter to the BBC after it investigated a range of monstrous abuse (child prostitution, torture, alleged murders), Hodge libelled one of its victims as “seriously disturbed”. #LabourLeaks #StarmerOut
Which metric is a better predictor of the severity of the fall surge in US states?

1) Margin of Democrat victory in Nov 2020 election
or
2) % infected through Sep 1, 2020

Can you guess which plot is which?


The left plot is based on the % infected through Sep 1, 2020. You can see that there is very little correlation with the % infected since Sep 1.

However, there is a *strong* correlation when using the margin of Biden's victory (right).

Infections % from
https://t.co/WcXlfxv3Ah.


This is the strongest single variable I've seen in being able to explain the severity of this most recent wave in each state.

Not past infections / existing immunity, population density, racial makeup, latitude / weather / humidity, etc.

But political lean.

One can argue that states that lean Democrat are more likely to implement restrictions/mandates.

This is valid, so we test this by using the Government Stringency Index made by @UniofOxford.

We also see a correlation, but it's weaker (R^2=0.36 vs 0.50).

https://t.co/BxBBKwW6ta


To avoid look-ahead bias/confounding variables, here is the same analysis but using 2016 margin of victory as the predictor. Similar results.

This basically says that 2016 election results is a better predictor of the severity of the fall wave than intervention levels in 2020!

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