It’s cute that people think Hawley’s latest autocratic grab is new.

This guy left DC, moved to MO + from the moment he stepped foot in Boone County he’s violated ethics laws, lied to the public + positioned his pawns in places of power to achieve his endgame—the Presidency.

Every single thing he does is for one singular purpose—power.

He tells lies like most of us breathe. Using photos of him in New Mexico at his in-law’s ranch to make folks think he’s from a Missouri farming family.

Just like he was caught not living in Jefferson City as AG.
Just like he sold his home in Boone County after winning his Senate seat and pretended his entire family lived with his dad in Springfield.

Just like he now says he lives with his sister when really he’s building a million dollar vacation home on the Lake.
This guy doesn’t believe rules apply to him. It’s why he shops for wine in the afternoon when he’s supposed to be working.

It’s why he formed an organization that he later used for his campaign in violation of ethics rules.

It’s why he violates Senate rules so brazenly.
Like when he took official Senate correspondence sent to him from the public and posted it on his personal Twitter.

This guy DGAF, y’all. And he never has.

He lies. He’s hypocritical. He breaks the law. He’s disingenuous.

But it doesn’t matter. He’s climbing that ladder.
And he will burn down anything in his way.

He took down Greitens not because he thought it was the morally right thing to do but because Greitens was his biggest political threat.
Now he’s battling it out with McConnell + he’s gonna try and remove him from the equation too—make him look weak and feeble to the MAGA crowd, because Mitch is a threat to Hawley’s rise.

And America? Democracy? The health of our families?

He’s more than happy to risk that too.
He’s fine. He’s got multiple million dollar homes.

The more he’s on Fox News, the more power he collects. The more influence he has. So he’s incentivized to do this crazy shit no matter the cost.

His ambition has replaced his character. But it isn’t new for 2021.
This is a decade long plan now coming to the fore.

In less than 24 months he will announce his run for the Presidency.

If you want to know what he plans to do—it’s very simple, he will continue to lie + create chaos.
Why should you care? Because he’s very good.

People will remember he fought against BigTech + fought for $2k checks.

He’s a better populist than Trump. He’s more charismatic than Cruz.

He just installed his General Counsel at the FEC.

The pieces are falling into place.
He will be an effective autocrat in the way Trump never could.

Beating him requires spending the next four years community building across America—working as hard as we can to share the message that 2024 isn’t about left versus right—it’s about a democracy or a dictatorship.

More from Lindsey Simmons

Dear Senator Hawley's Staff--

I'm sure you're loyal to your boss, but this man incited violence and you helped him. There is no "following orders" defense that will save you. You are part of this now.

And it is so much more serious than him simply "raising concerns."

🧵


Prior to November 3rd, Joshua had nothing to say about Pennsylvania's vote by mail legislation.

2/


In fact, Joshua didn't have squat to say about election integrity either.

3/


By November 4th, when it was apparent that Trump would likely lose the election, Joshua--as a sitting US Senator--started tweeting out that Michigan was hiding secrets from the public.

Sowing doubt. Fanning the flames.

4/


So Joshua started this fake call for election integrity--a call he'd never made before.

At first he threw the whole kitchen sink out there--BigTech, ballot harvesting, poll watchers, counting, etc.

Sowing doubt. Fanning the flames.

5/

More from Government

Which metric is a better predictor of the severity of the fall surge in US states?

1) Margin of Democrat victory in Nov 2020 election
or
2) % infected through Sep 1, 2020

Can you guess which plot is which?


The left plot is based on the % infected through Sep 1, 2020. You can see that there is very little correlation with the % infected since Sep 1.

However, there is a *strong* correlation when using the margin of Biden's victory (right).

Infections % from
https://t.co/WcXlfxv3Ah.


This is the strongest single variable I've seen in being able to explain the severity of this most recent wave in each state.

Not past infections / existing immunity, population density, racial makeup, latitude / weather / humidity, etc.

But political lean.

One can argue that states that lean Democrat are more likely to implement restrictions/mandates.

This is valid, so we test this by using the Government Stringency Index made by @UniofOxford.

We also see a correlation, but it's weaker (R^2=0.36 vs 0.50).

https://t.co/BxBBKwW6ta


To avoid look-ahead bias/confounding variables, here is the same analysis but using 2016 margin of victory as the predictor. Similar results.

This basically says that 2016 election results is a better predictor of the severity of the fall wave than intervention levels in 2020!

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