1/18 Further thread on Air Policing in peacetime and implications for Irish foreign policy: there are so many different options available for air policing on the market that to go into all of them is unrealistic and ends up in a 'top trumps' style contest. @BerryCathal @donlav

2/18 That’s before you get to the whole argument about twin engine vs single engine safety overwater argument. For now, it’s enough to put forward the options in broad outline.

Option 1: Surface-to-Air missiles only

This option is included because there’s always someone...
3/18 ...who will say ‘just get missiles’, because they think that this will be somehow cheaper. Modern long-range surface-to-air missile (SAM) systems, however, are not significantly less expensive than fighter jets. They also have an issue in how many times you can use them.
4/18 They have an even bigger issue in that your solution to what may only be an airliner with a broken transponder is to blow it out of the sky.
@ConorHogarty @mupper2 @kevpipps
5/18 While there are many good reasons why the @defenceforces should upgrade its SAM capability, these are largely related to the blended warfare now being rolled out globally with the increasing use of basic drones and larger unmanned aerial systems. @conormlally @RuthMCasey
6/18 In summary: long range SAMS are not suitable for use as the primary component of a peacetime air policing system. If someone proposes this as a realistic option, just walk away without turning your back on them. @KeohaneDan @jjsalmo @LiamCahill2013 @JohnMooneyST @SeanFionn
7/18 Option 2: second-hand equipment

Having established that we probably don’t need a top of the range stealth fighter to achieve the goals we’ve set out. How about something second-hand? @tchukstr @koceallaigh @CllrPioSmith @beaufortcomment @DavidBa8976 @dsmooney
8/18 For the primary radar, maybe. It’s certainly not subject to the same stresses as a fighter jet. For the aircraft itself, we would say no. With all aircraft, the real money is not in the capital outlay, it’s in through life support. @chrisrdonoghue @LauraMcGonigle
9/18 What that means is that if you buy an ageing fighter jet from someone else, it’s likely going to be several generations old in technological terms. That means you have to ask: does it still have support from the original manufacturers? @K_Kourousis @AirworthinessG @DFPRB
10/18 Are some of the parts still in production anywhere? Bear in mind that some of the most modern aircraft out there have had issues in sourcing microchips that went out of stock since the aircraft were designed. @spg104 @Ros_Aodha @GorseFires
11/18 Older machines are always heavier on maintenance per-flying-hour as well and in the initial few years, Ireland would have to do more flying than most to build up its organisational experience, doctrine etc. You could end up buying very expensive hanger ornaments.
12/18 The informed view is that while the sticker price might be lower, you may very well not get value for money on a fleet of second-hand aircraft as your first modern fighter purchase.
@GCraughwell @John_McGahon @malcolmbyrne @gabmcfadden @MarkWall1 @lichamber @jackfchambers
13/18 Option 3: buying brand new

This is usually the bit that people look at when they say ‘it’s too expensive’. The capital outlay for a new fighter is large, no doubt about it. As an initial outlay, it can easily run into multiples of the Defence Budget in total. @johnbradysf
14/18 Even assuming paying the costs over years, it would still stretch the coffers, however the aircraft could last for up to thirty years. @SorcaClarke_TD @GaryGannonTD @lawlessj @BrianLeddin @davidstantontd @BrendanSmithTD @MattShanahanTD @slandail_nssi @kforfitz_Wayne
15/18 Certainly an option, but if you are buying something to last that long, you should be buying from the top end of the scale so that at the end of its life, it’s still reasonably capable. This then pushes up the cost again… @KennethMcDonagh @seandanaher5 @OrlaithCarmody
16/18 Option 4: can’t someone else do it?

This is the option favoured by the Baltic States and Iceland, whose airspace is policed by @NATO.

And by Ireland too, since our airspace is effectively policed by the UK, a NATO member (ref @UKDefJournal).

https://t.co/j0VrwtUCeR
17/18 If you’re wondering if this impinges on our neutrality, you’d be correct as it doesn’t fit with our stance on the inviolability of our national territory. Undoubtedly, the airspace above our country is part of that territory. @CharlieFlanagan @dfatirl @McNamara_Eoin
18/18 While not meaning to have a go at the UK in any way – there’s a flight safety risk if the service isn’t there – it does raise a real sovereignty and foreign policy issue for the State, regardless of which external party supplies the capability. (with thanks @declan275)

More from Economy

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is analyzing damage due to COVID and projecting further severe consequences if current policies persist. They state “despite involving short term economic costs, lockdowns may lead to faster economic recovery by containing the virus”

1/


Note: This report doesn’t do a dynamic analysis that makes things much clearer, but it does a thoughtful statistical analysis based upon increasingly available data.

https://t.co/5Xmt8y7lCL

A few more quotes:

2/


“The analysis also finds that lockdowns are powerful instruments to reduce infections, especially when they are introduced early in a country’s epidemic and when they are sufficiently stringent.”

3/


“lockdowns become progressively more effective in reducing COVID-19 cases when they become sufficiently stringent. Mild lockdowns appear instead ineffective at curbing infections.”

4/

“The results suggest that to achieve a given reduction in infections, policymakers may want to opt for stringent lockdowns over a shorter period rather than prolonged mild lockdowns...

5/

You May Also Like

So the cryptocurrency industry has basically two products, one which is relatively benign and doesn't have product market fit, and one which is malignant and does. The industry has a weird superposition of understanding this fact and (strategically?) not understanding it.


The benign product is sovereign programmable money, which is historically a niche interest of folks with a relatively clustered set of beliefs about the state, the literary merit of Snow Crash, and the utility of gold to the modern economy.

This product has narrow appeal and, accordingly, is worth about as much as everything else on a 486 sitting in someone's basement is worth.

The other product is investment scams, which have approximately the best product market fit of anything produced by humans. In no age, in no country, in no city, at no level of sophistication do people consistently say "Actually I would prefer not to get money for nothing."

This product needs the exchanges like they need oxygen, because the value of it is directly tied to having payment rails to move real currency into the ecosystem and some jurisdictional and regulatory legerdemain to stay one step ahead of the banhammer.
@franciscodeasis https://t.co/OuQaBRFPu7
Unfortunately the "This work includes the identification of viral sequences in bat samples, and has resulted in the isolation of three bat SARS-related coronaviruses that are now used as reagents to test therapeutics and vaccines." were BEFORE the


chimeric infectious clone grants were there.https://t.co/DAArwFkz6v is in 2017, Rs4231.
https://t.co/UgXygDjYbW is in 2016, RsSHC014 and RsWIV16.
https://t.co/krO69CsJ94 is in 2013, RsWIV1. notice that this is before the beginning of the project

starting in 2016. Also remember that they told about only 3 isolates/live viruses. RsSHC014 is a live infectious clone that is just as alive as those other "Isolates".

P.D. somehow is able to use funds that he have yet recieved yet, and send results and sequences from late 2019 back in time into 2015,2013 and 2016!

https://t.co/4wC7k1Lh54 Ref 3: Why ALL your pangolin samples were PCR negative? to avoid deep sequencing and accidentally reveal Paguma Larvata and Oryctolagus Cuniculus?