BC ECONOMY
Saved by @Alex1Powell

A product which provides a fixed income which is better than FD & an upside like equity.

Should you invest in Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)?
A Thread 🧵👇

 1/ REITs are a vehicle to invest in income-producing real estate properties managed by professionals.
2/ In India, we have REITs primarily focused on commercial real estate properties having 7-9% rental yields.

In listed REITs, Most of the completed properties are pre-leased to big companies.

Why no residential? As yields of 1-3% make them unattractive to investors.
3/ How do you get the benefit of such yield?

REITs have to distribute at least 90% of their taxable income to their shareholders.

Both listed REITs trade at 6-7% dividend yield (which is also tax-free)
4/ Moreover, 80% of their total value must come from completed & income-generating properties + it must avoid speculative land acquisitions.

What about debt then? There's a restriction there too.
Not more than 49% of the total equity.
5/ Looking interesting, right?

REITs are traded on the exchange (like stocks). Yes, Instant liquidity in a very illiquid product (Bulky Commercial Real Estate)

An investor can take part by buying 200 units at a time (60-70k rupees)
6/ let’s talk tax.

Under the current structure, Dividends remain tax-free (6-7% yields vs pre-tax FD yield of 5%)

On capital gains, while selling your units:

STCG of 15% on gains (if sold in less than 3 years)
LTCG of 10% on gains (if sold after 3 years)
7/ what makes us optimistic?

US REITs have 5 decades of history behind them & they have continued to outperform the broader equity markets

Interesting fact: US has 194 listed REITs with a combined market cap of $1.3Trillion
8/ Interestingly, Rents of both the listed REITs are at a 30-40% discount compared to the current market rents.

This leaves an upside potential once contracts expire.

Moreover, REITs have contractual escalations of 10-15% every 3-5 years.
9/ This is getting a bit complex, Let's talk about an alternative?

Directly buying RE? Get ready for 👇

- Huge Ticket Size (vs limited capital)
- Hassle of managing operational cost
- No valid data source
- Illiquid investment with high transaction costs
10/ Convinced already, things that must be tracked:

- Committed Occupancy & collections efficiency (higher the better)
- Weighted Average Lease Expiry (WALE)
- Sector Concentration (lesser the better) & Quality of tenants
- Healthy Balance Sheet
- Upcoming portfolio
11/ Will WFH kill the Commercial Real Estate business?

No (in the context of India)

- Rents are a fraction of global rents
- Indian Outsourcing is a big opportunity given the resilience & performance in COVID
- Young Population needs direction via physical interactions.
12/ Due to the hits from Demonetisation, RERA, GST, IL&FS crisis & COVID-19

Commercial RE supply is hit, especially for Single Building Projects, Speculative construction, Strata Title assets

Most are facing a cash crunch

Great for future rent scenario, if demand increases
13/ Risks with Investing in REITs

- Slowdown in Commercial RE (follow vacancies)
- Oversupply: Renegotiation at lower rates
- Concentration risks (tenant & location wise)
- Difference b/w REIT yield & FD rate
- Broader stock market movements will have an impact on unit price
14/ 2 REITs are already listed & 3-4 lakh crore worth more REITs could be listed.

REITs allow developers to

- Raise money & deleverage
- Provide liquidity to shareholders
- Increases market value due to increased transparency

As an investor, you are ready🙂

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JST Investments
JST Investments
@JstInvestments
Key insights from Hikal

🧪 Lowered interest rates
🧪 Pharma: Growth in generics as well as CDMO
🧪 Crop Protection: Scaleup of a fungicide for a Japanese CDMO client
🧪 Healthy pipeline of new products: Supported by new capacities; Investing in Animal Health & Biocides verticals https://t.co/D70j9oriCa
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A Thread of our threads on the Business Analysis of specific companies 🧵👇

RT if this adds value to your investing journey.


1/ Chemcon: A specialty chemical company that is a globally dominant player in its molecules, most of which go into the Pharmaceutical industry & have a high criticality attached to


2/ Aegis Logistics: An oil & gas logistics company, with a stronghold on the LPG supply chain & riding the tailwinds of increased exports owning to weak domestic production. Their fight to grow much larger is on, short-term demand problems


3/ Varroc Engineering: An auto ancillary company that has propelled down under its own enterprising projects fueled by a ton of debt. Will the fortunes ever illuminate for this significant participant of the global automobile


4/ Jubilant Ingrevia: A specialty chemical company that has redefined backward integration as it begins from the basic chemicals to achieving complex vitamins & many more. Their fight to outgrow commoditized parts of the business goes
JST COMPANY ANALYSIS
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@JstInvestments
Sterlite Tech: Stable (Low Base)

🗼Rev up 49% YoY, 18% EBITDA margin, Pat of 116cr (vs 6cr)
🗼 Order book at 11.2Kcr
🗼 Successful field trials for programmable FTTx
🗼 New R&D facility in 🇬🇧 & Optical Fiber cable facility in 🇺🇸 committed to

#Q1withJST #Telecom


Acquisition of Clearcomm: a 🇬🇧 based network integration co.

🗼 At less than 0.8 times Price/Sales, growth of 25% cagr in the last 3yrs
🗼 Capitalise the fiberization wave in 🇬🇧
🗼Has customer relationships with tier 1 telcos.
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HDFC AMC FY21 Annual Report Takeaways

'We are the fiduciary to our customers – their interests clearly supersede'

Hit the 'retweet' & help us educate more investors

A thread 🧵👇

1/ What has helped HDFC AMC to grow this large?

The Trust associated with the HDFC brand.

A one-stop shop for individuals, families, corporates, and institutions when it comes to their investments.

The most profitable Mutual Fund.


2/ Promoters continue to own 73.9% in the company:

52.7% by HDFC Ltd & 21.2% by Standard Life investments.


3/ Numbers that matter

Rev up 3%
76% EBITDA margin
Pat up 5%
AUM up 24% to 3.95 Cr (43% Equity, 39% Debt, 16% Liquid) | PMS & big accounts at 9.7K Cr
53 lakh investors
1254 employees
Digital transactions: 82% of total
13.7% market share in MAAUM & 12.6% in total AUM


4/ Product Portfolio

In Equity, will increase the diversity in their investment style & approach: have faced the brunt of underperformance in the past | 24 schemes

Debt schemes were able to tide through the tough phase of defaults by a large NBFC & HFC, COVID-19 | 68 schemes
HDFCLIFE
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@JstInvestments
2021 is coming to an end.

Here's a list of 45 threads we wrote this year discussing multiple companies & Industries 👇

Do let us know of the topics you want the thread to be written on next
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1) Let's talk about a key part of the Chinese creator economy. The creator management and incubator agencies known as Multi-Channel Networks (MCN). We''ll summerise key lessons for the western creator economy.

And know how Li Ziqi got her 12m YouTube subscribers

2) MCNs are modern-day talent agencies (but more) who target influencers and creators as their clients. It originated in the US but has proliferated in China, with industry estimates of 5k-7k Chinese MCN operating as of 2020.

3) Typically, as creators gain enough following, they find it difficult to be an-all-in-one content creator, editor, customer support rep, accountant, lawyer, and marketing guru that the job demands.

Enter the MCNs who offers the creator the following:

4) Audience and traffic growth, PR management, monetisation through ads & e-commerce and support with retail fulfillment.

Their services are more holistic than western MCNs, who's offerings are more domain-specific.

5) Agreements between Chinese MCNs and creators can get into guarantees of the number of followers provided, copyrights, subtitling and distribution help, as well as providing analytical feedback on their content.
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pete wolfendale
pete wolfendale
@deontologistics
I’m beginning to think that the left has been too obsessed with GDP as a broken economic metric governing the global shitshow, when inflation is more insidious. Deflation may be a more radical demand than degrowth. Burst bubbles. Deflate the price of fossil fuel infrastructure.

It’s amazing just how much political economy is still determined by the threat of stagflation. This has created a weird metonymy in which as long as you’re fight inflation (preserving the interests of (older) savers) you’re also fighting stagnation (supporting (younger) earners).

To some extent the residual fear of deflationary spirals lies behind this, waiting in the wings for any suggestion that stagnation must be fought with deflation. This is entirely understandable, as uncontrolled deflation hits the poorest hardest.

The assumption that conjoins these fears into an engine of unbridled economic stagnation is that there’s a unitary market effectively mediating between the markets in different sectors, be this unity micro-economic or macro-economic in flavour. But this just isn’t how it works.

There is so much more logistic friction in the price system than the popular story of just in time production suggests, not least in the concrete details of differentiated trade between economic actors from local businesses to nation states.
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TraderLion
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@TraderLion_
Why do we track institutional footprints? 🐘 (Thread)

Large institutions like mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, insurance companies, trusts, etc. amount for over 75% of all volume. These institutions move the market, not you and I.

It makes sense that if these guys are moving the markets, we would ideally want to buy the same stocks they are buying, but before they buy them? Right?

So, let’s get a clear understanding of how and why this is so important and what this might look like behind the scenes.

For starters, let’s discuss what we mean by a large institution. In this case, we are referring to the many funds, pensions, trusts, etc. that are responsible for managing tens, if not hundreds of billions of dollars.

Hence, they easily attract and can afford to retain the planet’s top talent, not to mention, their research budgets are enormous.

They have access to information and resources that the retail crowd simply does not, and if they did, it would likely be extremely unaffordable.
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Nick Huber
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On Sep 3rd 2020 we closed on a 120k sf glove factory built in 1890 in a small NY town.

Has 45k sf of self storage inside and had $14k a month of net operating income at closing.

Let's breakdown this deal.

A THREAD on creating $2 million out of thin air in 18 months...

👇👇


First saw the property on Loopnet in mid 2018. I ignored it. Who wants to try to operate a business in an old factory in a dying NY town.

A few months later I reached out. Broker sent me financials. They were good. $24k a month in revenue and $10k in expenses.


So I visited the property. It was old. Needed a new roof. Full time manager. Only accessible to customers 9am-5pm M-S. No autopay. A lot of folks paying 1/2 market rent.

I loved everything about it.

But I knew they were going to have trouble selling this thing no matter the profitability, so on July 1 2018 I made a low offer. $750k + seller pays for new $250k roof + $20k in environmental work.

Countered at asking price + $100k credit towards roof.

I ignored the response.

Broker called me back mid September of 2018. Make another offer, he urged.

I knew it was a good biz so I got more aggressive - $1MM + seller pays for roof / environmental.

Declined. Countered with $1.2MM but they'd give me a new roof and do the environmental.
ECONOMY
Stephen Fasenfeld \U0001f600
Stephen Fasenfeld 😀...
@fasenfeld
1. “Who Are Ireland’s Members Of The World Economic Forum Implementing The Great Reset In 2021 ? 🧵1/28

🕵️🔎 Politicians, Musicians, Clergy, Bankers, Journalists, Human Rights, Artificial Intelligence, Sustainability, Corporations & Agriculture


2. In previous threads I have looked at 🇮🇪 key players in the Trilateral Commission as well as 🇮🇪 people who have attended the Bilderberger meetings. I also looked at the 🇮🇪 in the Young Global Leaders which is a site run by the WEF. You will see a lot of crossover between them.

3. The purpose of this thread is to compile all the Irish members into one thread for ease of access and reading rather than having to dive through the WEF site. This is by no means definitive and I will be adding more over time when they pop out of the woodwork.

4. Ireland’s WEF members are drawn from all walks of life but can be split into 2 separate areas. The WEF calls the first category “people” and the 2nd one “agenda contributors”. In total Ireland has a minimum of 61 members. Some of the names will be familiar and others will not

5. In this thread I’m just going to concentrate on the 21 people (there are probably a lot more). There are also 40 “agenda contributors” which I will cover in a separate thread. The agenda contributors are those who write articles or do research for the WEF site.
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