After he reads that book, he makes a statement that by the time he was 35 years old, he'd be a millionaire.
When you break down the lives of extremely successful people, you find that their success didn't come from an earth shattering break-through.
Rather, it came from obsessing about a simple idea, fanatically.
Time for a thread about one such idea. 👇👇👇
After he reads that book, he makes a statement that by the time he was 35 years old, he'd be a millionaire.
How he got there is an interesting story.
As soon as he reads that book, he decides he should have 1000 dollars before he finishes school.
He watches Dan fix an old pinball machine (that he bought for $15) in two hours.
Warren asks him if he can fix more.
Dan says yes.
They call the firm "Wilson Coin Operated Company".
They go to local barbers and pitch the barbers an ingenious business plan.
The barber has to let the company install a fixed up pinball machine in a corner of the barber shop.
Every week, whatever money gets collected in the pinball machine, they'd share it 50-50.
Out of the 50% share, Warren and Dan shared 50-50.
They make $2.5 from that machine per week.
That's $10 a month ; $120 a year.
They installed ~25 such machines across Omaha in barber shops.
Then, they start renting out the Rolls Royce for weddings during weekends, at $100 per weekend.
The ROC was through the roof.
This was way past his $1000 goal.
At age 17, he wanted a framework to compound this capital and get to $1m by age 35.
Let's take a slight detour to 1626 Manhattan now.
They ended up selling Manhattan for $24.
Looking at Manhattan now, you'd think it is worth way more than that.
What would have happened had the Native Indians given that $24 to their investment officer, and he compounded it at 7% p.a?
According to the rule of 72,
Compounding at about ~7% per annum,
you can double your money every 10 years.
1646 - $96
1656 - $192
1666 - $284
and so on, doubling every 10 years.
By 2020, they would be having over $20 Trillion, had they compounded at 7% per annum.
This is an astonishing figure.
While he conservatively estimated at $20 per square foot for 1965, even today, the potential of the sum paid compounded at 7% p.a doesn't come anywhere close to Manhattan's current value.
He wanted to get to a million before age 35.
He found Ben Graham, and adopted the value investing framework. The rest is history.
When he was 40, his net worth was less than $40 million.
When he was 50, his net worth was around $300-400 million approximately.
That's like 1/3rd of 1% of his current net worth.
That's what we see in the graphic here.
This right here, is the power of compounding at work.
You may not have 70+ years of runway ahead of you.
What should you do?
@MohnishPabrai discovered Warren Buffett at age 29, and he realised if he could compound $1M at 26% per annum, he could get to $1B by age 60.
Going back, if you double your capital every 10 years, you can achieve 1000x in 100 years (at a rate of 7% p.a).
If you compound at ~28% p.a, you'll reach 1000x in 25 years, doubling your capital every 2.5 years.
Needless to say, there are always going to be opportunities.
You need a framework to capture them and maximize your CAGR as much as possible.
More from Shravan Venkataraman 🔥🚀💰
Have you ever had 4-5 profitable trades in a row, and you bet all your profits on your next trade feeling "in the zone" only to lose it all?
That's called as "hot-hand fallacy" bias.
I ran a poll recently to outline two classic biases we have as humans.
Thread below 👇👇
1/ *Hot-Hand Fallacy* first had its origin in the game of basketball.
If a player shoots few baskets in a row, people generally predict that the next shot will also be a basket.
This is ignoring the fact that each shot is independent of the ones that came prior.
2/ In this poll, 41.1% people voted that the batsman who hit 4 sixes in a row, will hit a sixer in the 5th ball also.
This is classic hot-hand fallacy.
Each ball's outcome is independent.
The probability is not 50% FYI (number of outcomes is not 2).
These 148 people who voted that the next ball will also be a sixer, did so because they believe that the batsman is on a hot streak, and that his streak would continue.
This is an emotional bias and is usually attached to human performance related events only.
3/ 45.3% (162) people voted that the 5th ball would be a dot ball, meaning the batsman wouldn't score anything.
These people displayed the classic "negative-recency" bias, which is also called the "Gambler's Fallacy".
That's called as "hot-hand fallacy" bias.
I ran a poll recently to outline two classic biases we have as humans.
Thread below 👇👇
Let's say you see a cricketer hit four 6's in a row.
— Shravan Venkataraman \U0001f525\U0001f680\U0001f4b0 (@theBuoyantMan) December 30, 2020
If you have to bet on the next ball's outcome, what would you bet on?
1/ *Hot-Hand Fallacy* first had its origin in the game of basketball.
If a player shoots few baskets in a row, people generally predict that the next shot will also be a basket.
This is ignoring the fact that each shot is independent of the ones that came prior.
2/ In this poll, 41.1% people voted that the batsman who hit 4 sixes in a row, will hit a sixer in the 5th ball also.
This is classic hot-hand fallacy.
Each ball's outcome is independent.
The probability is not 50% FYI (number of outcomes is not 2).
These 148 people who voted that the next ball will also be a sixer, did so because they believe that the batsman is on a hot streak, and that his streak would continue.
This is an emotional bias and is usually attached to human performance related events only.
3/ 45.3% (162) people voted that the 5th ball would be a dot ball, meaning the batsman wouldn't score anything.
These people displayed the classic "negative-recency" bias, which is also called the "Gambler's Fallacy".
Hedge Funds spend millions of dollars per year to access high quality financial datasets.
Retail sources cost anywhere from $5k-50k per year.
But, here are 11 data sources that have HIGH QUALITY and FREE data you can access right away.
🧵 👇
1/ Alpha Vantage | https://t.co/ExlS7Jdnsz
Provides real time & historical equities, forex, and cryptocurrencies data across 60+ exchanges.
They provide both intraday and D/W/M timeframe data.
You can also access economic & fundamental data for last 20 years through them.
2/ IEX | https://t.co/drqeoU8Ee1
Investors Exchange provides historical data going back upto 15 years for US equities through API access.
You'll need an API key in order to access the API.
3/ EconDB | https://t.co/6mZxDeaJfh
This website provides economic data and economic indicators for almost all the countries in the world.
You can search for your preferred dataset through their search engine here
4/ Quandl | https://t.co/fW4PEQaW66
Quandl has financial and alternate data across 50+ exchanges, from over 300 sources.
They also have information on capital markets, energy, shipping, healthcare, education, demography, economics and society.
Retail sources cost anywhere from $5k-50k per year.
But, here are 11 data sources that have HIGH QUALITY and FREE data you can access right away.
🧵 👇
1/ Alpha Vantage | https://t.co/ExlS7Jdnsz
Provides real time & historical equities, forex, and cryptocurrencies data across 60+ exchanges.
They provide both intraday and D/W/M timeframe data.
You can also access economic & fundamental data for last 20 years through them.
2/ IEX | https://t.co/drqeoU8Ee1
Investors Exchange provides historical data going back upto 15 years for US equities through API access.
You'll need an API key in order to access the API.
3/ EconDB | https://t.co/6mZxDeaJfh
This website provides economic data and economic indicators for almost all the countries in the world.
You can search for your preferred dataset through their search engine here
4/ Quandl | https://t.co/fW4PEQaW66
Quandl has financial and alternate data across 50+ exchanges, from over 300 sources.
They also have information on capital markets, energy, shipping, healthcare, education, demography, economics and society.
In today's round up, I have some amazing threads, resources, and plenty of solid advice for business, finance, career from twitter.
Here's the roundup of 17 of the best and the most useful threads, tweets, and resources I found last week. 🧵
1/ How to find spreadsheets on any topic in the
2/ A thread by @wes_kao on making your customers hungry and excited to buy from
3/ Life brings you a lot of afflictions. But if you look around, there's a lot of beauty around you. Most often, drowning in the afflictions, we can't recognise or appreciate the beauty.
@wdmorrisjr wrote a damn good thread on finding beauty around us.
4/ This one is for all the job goers and job seekers.
@SahilBloom who recently hit 500k followers and has several accomplishments to his belt (career wise) wrote this thread on standing out in a hiring
Here's the roundup of 17 of the best and the most useful threads, tweets, and resources I found last week. 🧵
1/ How to find spreadsheets on any topic in the
How to find spreadsheets on any topic in the world:
— Blake Emal (@heyblake) February 13, 2022
1. Go to Google
2. Search site:docs(dot)Google(dot)com/spreadsheets \u201cYOUR TOPIC\u201d
3. Search, scroll, succeed pic.twitter.com/VJsYQKyi0J
2/ A thread by @wes_kao on making your customers hungry and excited to buy from
How to get customers excited, hungry to buy, and ready to say yes:
— Wes Kao \U0001f3db (@wes_kao) February 13, 2022
3/ Life brings you a lot of afflictions. But if you look around, there's a lot of beauty around you. Most often, drowning in the afflictions, we can't recognise or appreciate the beauty.
@wdmorrisjr wrote a damn good thread on finding beauty around us.
You\u2019re not looking for more success, stuff, or sex.
— David Morris (@wdmorrisjr) February 13, 2022
You\u2019re searching for beauty.
Here\u2019s how to find it: \U0001f9f5
4/ This one is for all the job goers and job seekers.
@SahilBloom who recently hit 500k followers and has several accomplishments to his belt (career wise) wrote this thread on standing out in a hiring
10 ways to stand out in a hiring process (that don\u2019t involve your resume):
— Sahil Bloom (@SahilBloom) February 13, 2022
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MDZS is laden with buddhist references. As a South Asian person, and history buff, it is so interesting to see how Buddhism, which originated from India, migrated, flourished & changed in the context of China. Here's some research (🙏🏼 @starkjeon for CN insight + citations)
1. LWJ’s sword Bichen ‘is likely an abbreviation for the term 躲避红尘 (duǒ bì hóng chén), which can be translated as such: 躲避: shunning or hiding away from 红尘 (worldly affairs; which is a buddhist teaching.) (https://t.co/zF65W3roJe) (abbrev. TWX)
2. Sandu (三 毒), Jiang Cheng’s sword, refers to the three poisons (triviṣa) in Buddhism; desire (kāma-taṇhā), delusion (bhava-taṇhā) and hatred (vibhava-taṇhā).
These 3 poisons represent the roots of craving (tanha) and are the cause of Dukkha (suffering, pain) and thus result in rebirth.
Interesting that MXTX used this name for one of the characters who suffers, arguably, the worst of these three emotions.
3. The Qian kun purse “乾坤袋 (qián kūn dài) – can be called “Heaven and Earth” Pouch. In Buddhism, Maitreya (मैत्रेय) owns this to store items. It was believed that there was a mythical space inside the bag that could absorb the world.” (TWX)
1. LWJ’s sword Bichen ‘is likely an abbreviation for the term 躲避红尘 (duǒ bì hóng chén), which can be translated as such: 躲避: shunning or hiding away from 红尘 (worldly affairs; which is a buddhist teaching.) (https://t.co/zF65W3roJe) (abbrev. TWX)
2. Sandu (三 毒), Jiang Cheng’s sword, refers to the three poisons (triviṣa) in Buddhism; desire (kāma-taṇhā), delusion (bhava-taṇhā) and hatred (vibhava-taṇhā).
These 3 poisons represent the roots of craving (tanha) and are the cause of Dukkha (suffering, pain) and thus result in rebirth.
Interesting that MXTX used this name for one of the characters who suffers, arguably, the worst of these three emotions.
3. The Qian kun purse “乾坤袋 (qián kūn dài) – can be called “Heaven and Earth” Pouch. In Buddhism, Maitreya (मैत्रेय) owns this to store items. It was believed that there was a mythical space inside the bag that could absorb the world.” (TWX)
