BC CRYPTO
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@tyler @Blockstream @rogerkver Long reply, please do not start replying until I say *end*. — I’m always happy to discuss. Problem is that nothing ever comes from it. You only want to talk “ethos”. Facts are simple: Blocksize increase or not. Non mining full nodes have virtually zero benefit. Proven ad nauseum.

 @adam3us @tyler @Blockstream @rogerkver Once we establish the fact that non-mining full nudes are not required, which I have discussed with you for years (and you still fail to recognize), we can talk about the effects you caused and will cause by refusing to increase the blocksize limit. https://t.co/tRW6FAC6GZ
@adam3us @tyler @Blockstream @rogerkver Ridiculous transaction fees: - Noone will use Bitcoin as a currency for payments. Those who did, ditched it (Steam, etc). Bitcoin is a P2P electronic cash system (title of whitepaper), not just a atore of value. - People now have to resort to using centralized exchanges.
@adam3us @tyler @Blockstream @rogerkver - Bitcoin was designed to simply and easily increase the blocksize limit. It was actually 1 line in the code and was absurdly easily changed (compared to Segwit, dont get me started). Satoshi put the limit in place as a temporary fix for a ddos issue (prove me wrong, I was there)
@adam3us @tyler @Blockstream @rogerkver - You and a couple of co-conspirators wanted the limit to stay in place. From Blockstreams business perspective, that makes total sense. From an end-useds perspective, you screwed everyone. I fought and convinced miners/companies to remove the limit. They agreed. You stopped it.
@adam3us @tyler @Blockstream @rogerkver What you fail to realize, is that Bitcoin needs massive tx’s at low fees to survive long term. While the price has been able to sustain it for now, block rewards will dry up. I predict you will be forced to create inflation if you want miners to stay https://t.co/wV9HUmMVqF
@adam3us @tyler @Blockstream @rogerkver We also all predicted that Lightning was going to fail and it has been an ongoing joke “ready in 2016”. You have the perfect, and absolutely necessary solution right in front of you: Increase the damn block size limit! You have zero valid excuses to not do so.
@adam3us @tyler @Blockstream @rogerkver Removing blocksize limit: - Immediately destroys all “Bitcoin” competition (bch, bsv, etc). - Will probably have all the OG’s come back - Will enable Bitcoin as a proper internet currency again, in a true P2P fashion. - Will secure Bitcoin’s long term future (miner fee security).
@adam3us @tyler @Blockstream @rogerkver If you fail to do so, then - Bitcoin will remain a simple “store of value” without underlying utility. It will eventually be overtaken by something superior (first mover advantage doesnt last). - You will be forced to create inflation or similar to ensure Bitcoin’s security.
@adam3us @tyler @Blockstream @rogerkver - You will defeat Bitcoin’s primary purpose which is to give the world a decentralized P2P electronic cash system. In closing, I want to add that me and many others are not maximalists and never will be. We want decentralized currencies to flourish. We don’t care which one. *end*

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XRPatience
XRPatience
@xrpartisan
1/22 Why XRP will beat Bitcoin.

(Video version @ https://t.co/VIHEoHLYpN)

A thread. 👇


2/22 Despite last night's major Bitcoin correction, it still sits at $33k, well above the last bull run's all time high. With XRP currently at $0.28, it may seem rather ridiculous to think XRP will ever become #1.


3/22 However, it's important to compare Bitcoin and XRP not in terms of price, but market cap. That's because there are 100 billion XRP (and will never be more) and 19 million circulating Bitcoin (21 million max). So comparing the price of individual tokens doesn't work.


4/22 XRP's market cap is $12.6 billion. Bitcoin's is $623 (roughly 50x more, 55x if you factor in the 2 million Bitcoin not yet mined). That's a huge lead, but not as big as the 119,000x lead if you compare token price!


5/22 Bitcoin's primary advantage is its early adoption. It caught on earlier and became the front runner of crypto. Don't underestimate the power of being first. It gives a massive advantage. But it doesn't GUARANTEE being the winner long-term.
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Dan Held
Dan Held
@danheld
1/ Fear and Bitcoin.

Whenever Bitcoin has a bull run, naysayers try to cope with missing the boat by rationalizing why it will fail through “Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt” or what we Bitcoiners have nicknamed “FUD.”
CRYPTO , FUD
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Simon DeDeo
Simon DeDeo
@SimonDeDeo
Someone tosses a coin ten times; it comes up heads every time. What's the probability it comes up heads on the next toss? (Pretty darn high—part of @nntaleb's work is unprogramming you from your high-school rules of thumb.) Now consider the (related) Gambler's fallacy...

In this case, it's a theory about compensation: the worse one's luck is, the more likely it is to see a reversal. On the surface, it's irrational. The more bad luck you have, the more you accumulate evidence that the system is rigged.

But there's also an anthropic component. If the luck is bad enough, it starts to become inconsistent with your survival. You've accumulated evidence for correlations in the environment, but these correlations (may be) inconsistent with (people like you) being in this environment.

An example. You're in a city where everyone takes public transport. You encounter a string of bad delays. It's reasonable to conclude they'll end—otherwise people wouldn't take public transport. It's unlikely that you happened to show up right when the network collapses.

Of course, that's a bad heuristic in a casino, which relies on a constant influx of losers. But in other environments, particularly with persistent populations and no evidence for sudden changes in the underlying laws, it makes sense.
CRYPTO
Brett Scott
Brett Scott
@Suitpossum
With Bitcoin's rising price I get many people asking me my opinion about it: Here are nine tips

1) Don't take advice about Bitcoin from those with a vested interest in seeing its price rise. That's like listening to CDO dealer in 2006. When prices go up, critical thought go down

2) Bitcoin is fascinating from a tech perspective, but don't fall for the rhetoric of monetary revolution. I was among the early users of Bitcoin & actually tried to use it as 'money', but it's not a monetary system. It's a system of cyber-collectibles, priced in dollars

3) By all means pass your money to a seller of these collectibles, but don't do so under the illusion that you're engaging in rebellion, or that you're doing prudent investment. You're doing what you're doing, which is buying a collectible from someone who is taking your money

4) Unlike many other collectibles, Bitcoin has no actual features, other than the fact that it can be moved around. It has a highly innovative issuance & movement mechanism, but that's somewhat meaningless if the thing being issued and moved is featureless

5) In fact, its only feature is its logo and the language that surrounds it. Without that the tokens are basically just blank digital objects, the digital equivalent of passing around fragments of limited edition clear glass beads
CRYPTO
Jurrien Timmer
Jurrien Timmer
@TimmerFidelity
As a “lifelong” technician, I am finding that bitcoin lends itself well to technical analysis. Here is my take on the recent price action. (THREAD)

Elliott Wave Theory: Looking at the chart pattern since the recent high of 64,870, I can't help but notice that a textbook 5-wave decline may be unfolding. According to EWT, primary trends move in 5 waves and corrections are 3 waves. /2

The typical progression is that wave 1 is generally dismissed as noise, then wave 2 is a sharp and deep retracement of wave 1 (at least 62% but sometimes 75% or more), which creates the false comfort that it was indeed just a minor correction. /3

Then wave 3 comes & that's the big one. It's called the recognition wave & is typically the longest & most impulsive wave (usually 1.618x wave 1). /4

After the wave 3 low, the 4th wave is often a triangle or "zigzag" (a triangle pattern that retraces much less of wave 3 than wave 2 did of wave 1). A rule of thumb is 38%. Finally we get wave 5, which is often equal to wave 1, but often also less (0.618x). /5
CRYPTO

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