Breakout Trading is the most underrated trading technique in the trading community!

Every trader (intraday, swing, positional, or scalper) should know how to differentiate between a genuine breakout and a false breakout.

Do you know why?

Read this thread!

(1/N)

It’s important to understand two herds that exist in the market:

1. Smart Money &

2. Dumb Money

‘Smart Money’ refers to big sharks who have money & information power who give direction & momentum.

‘Dumb Money’ refers to retail traders who often try to make quick money.

(2/N)
You should know one secret now.

Participation from smart money creates a "genuine breakout."

And the absence of smart money participation results in a "false breakout."

Hence, it is always a good idea to follow smart money (by knowing real or false breakout)

(3/N)
What is Breakout?

As per Investopedia

“A breakout is a stock price moving outside a defined support or resistance level with increased volume. A breakout trader enters a long position after the stock price breaks above resistance.”

(4/N)
The price broke the resistance trend line with high volumes in this image.

Similarly, few recognize it as a breakdown if the price breaks the support trend line.

To keep it simple, we will focus only on the breakout.

(5/N)
What is False Breakout?

As per Investopedia -

“A failed break occurs when a price moves through an identified level of support or resistance but does not have enough momentum to maintain its direction.”

(6/N)
But this definition of Breakout Trading doesn't hold good in many cases:

Look at some examples:

Example 1 - HDFC

(7/N)
Example 2 - Rain Industries
Example 3 - Kotak Mahindra Bank

(8/N)
Then how to Differentiate a "Real Breakout" from a "False Breakout"?

We need 4 parameters:

1) A Big Breakout Candle

2) Quick Time (the price shouldn’t move in small candles after breakout)

3) Absence of Selling

4) Good Volume

(9/N)
1) A Big Breakout Candle

The breakout candle should be big as compared to the previous candle before the breakout.

It indicates the presence of "smart money"

(10/N)
2 - Quick Time

A breakout should come in one quick candle (previous step).

It indicates the absence of "smart money"

A breakout with a couple of small candles is not good (as shown below)

(11/N)
3 - Absence of Selling

Breakout candle should have no selling wick or the selling wick should be less than 20% of the breakout candle.

It indicates smart money is keen to carry the position!

(12/N)
4 - Good Volume

Good volume indicates the presence of smart money.

(13/N)
Below are some examples which satisfy all these conditions:

Example 1
Example 2
Example 3

These charts displayed these four characteristics at the time of breakout, and hence, the price showed a good move on the upside later.

There is a high probability of a good upside move if a chart displays all these characteristics during the breakout

(14/N)
Trade Management

As a trader, before entering any trade, you should know the bare minimum below 4 aspects:

- Entry
- Stop-Loss
- Profit Booking Level
- Risk per Trade

(15/N)
That's a wrap!

If you enjoyed this thread:

1. Follow me
@indraziths

for more threads on the stock market trading

2. RT the tweet below to share this thread with your audience

3. You can also check my book on Breakout Trading

https://t.co/XnMi7MuAGD
One can use the free screener to shortlist all the breakout stocks from NSE segment every day

Please read all the instructions carefully before using it

https://t.co/3teN7JLDMs

More from Indrazith Shantharaj

You May Also Like

Trending news of The Rock's daughter Simone Johnson's announcing her new Stage Name is breaking our Versus tool because "Wrestling Name" isn't in our database!

Here's the most useful #Factualist comparison pages #Thread 🧵


What is the difference between “pseudonym” and “stage name?”

Pseudonym means “a fictitious name (more literally, a false name), as those used by writers and movie stars,” while stage name is “the pseudonym of an entertainer.”

https://t.co/hT5XPkTepy #english #wiki #wikidiff

People also found this comparison helpful:

Alias #versus Stage Name: What’s the difference?

Alias means “another name; an assumed name,” while stage name means “the pseudonym of an entertainer.”

https://t.co/Kf7uVKekMd #Etymology #words

Another common #question:

What is the difference between “alias” and “pseudonym?”

As nouns alias means “another name; an assumed name,” while pseudonym means “a fictitious name (more literally, a false name), as those used by writers and movie

Here is a very basic #comparison: "Name versus Stage Name"

As #nouns, the difference is that name means “any nounal word or phrase which indicates a particular person, place, class, or thing,” but stage name means “the pseudonym of an