BC BANKNIFTYLONGTERM

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Tar ⚡
@itsTarH 2 years, 11 months ago 363 views

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#BankNifty breaks importance resistance of 34800
Expect Banks to do well in June, similar to recent rallies in global banking names (Citi, JPM, Wells Fargo etc)

Possible targets

More from Tar ⚡

$Tar \u26a1$

Tar ⚡
@itsTarH

It's the weekend!

Grab a cup of coffee, in this thread we will explore

1. What is risk management?
2. What is position sizing?
3. How to apply both these concepts to reduce volatility and drawdowns in your portfolio?

Lets dive right in.

What does losing $20 Billion in 24 hours and A Bank being sold for less than $1, have in common?

The answer is Risk Management.

Through this thread we will explore 2 stories - Stories that will teach us the importance of risk management and position sizing in a portfolio.

These stories will show you that no matter

How Rich You Are
How Respected You Are
How Educated You Are

Improper risk management will blow up your portfolio and most likely bankrupt you.

Our first story is the story of Bill Hwang and the saga of Archegos Capital Management.

$Tar \u26a1$

Tar ⚡
@itsTarH

China Index has corrected ~40% since its peak

Lot of regulatory crackdown in China. Top rated companies are available for huge discounts. $BABA for example now has a market cap of less than 600 Billion and is bigger than Amazon in every regard.

I have been aggressively investing more in Chinese equities than Indian ones.

https://t.co/W1RWdKU3sy

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$Tar \u26a1$

Tar ⚡
@itsTarH

Guess the Sector, that this company operates in.

ROCE 1 Yr: 32.7%
ROCE 3 Yr: 24.8%
ROE: 27.4%
ROE 3 Yr: 19%
Op Margin: 28.4%
Reserves: 32% of Current Market Cap
Debt: Nil
Profit CAGR 3Yrs: 54%
Debtor Days: 15
Inventory Turnover > 5
CFO YoY Increase : 160%

Some of you got it correct. Its Anjali Portland.
The company just acquired another cement company that will double the total sales immediately.
https://t.co/2xVnpJapPy

The acquisition was financed by adding debt, so interest costs from next quarter will go up but still great!

For a company that operates in a cyclical sector like cement!

What I liked is that the company was able to maintain the balance sheet and margins even in a down cycle.

With real estate sector reviving, this can be a great bet from here.

No recommendations, just an observation.

Market started re-rating the stock as soon as they announced acquisition.

Someone did some work on details of acquisition, sharing the thread

@drprashantmish6 @Investor_Mohit
1) Information on cement sector in India
India at 550 MTPA is the 2nd largest cement producer globally. Expected to move to 650 MTPA by 2025E pic.twitter.com/GqtcSk03TU
— Arun Choudhary FCA (@YOUNGBRUJ) July 9, 2021

$Tar \u26a1$

Tar ⚡
@itsTarH

Amid the ongoing war, you would have heard Nickel rising by over 200%, Wheat by 80% and Oil by 50%

But did you know there is another asset class that rose by over 2000% since Dec

Todays thread is about Credit Default Swaps, an asset class only accessible to the ultra rich 🧵👇

This thread is divided into the following parts

1. Basics & History of Credit Default Swaps
2. How Russian CDS rose over 2000%?
3. Why these instruments are limited to the ultra wealthy?
4. Can you profit indirectly from CDS?

Credit Default Swaps belong to a category of derivative products called Swaps.

Derivative products are usually of two kinds

1. Standardized Derivative Products like Futures and Option Contracts that are traded over the exchange

2. Non Standardized Over the Counter Products like Forwards and Swaps

Swap at its simplest is an agreement between two parties to exchange a series of cash flows for a set period of time

Swaps were basically invented to help large banks and companies manage their interest rate and currency exposures

$Tar \u26a1$

Tar ⚡
@itsTarH

120: It's just a power exchange
250: Electricity in India won't grow
300: It just makes 4paise per trade
350: MBED will erode it's profitablilty
500: Maybe what @itsTarH said about IEX = NSE + Zerodha was right
570: Buys IEX

#JourneyOfAPessimist

Zerodha + NSE = IEX \U0001f4a1\u26a1\ufe0f
— Tar \u26a1 (@itsTarH) June 20, 2021

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The YouTube algorithm that I helped build in 2011 still recommends the flat earth theory by the *hundreds of millions*. This investigation by @RawStory shows some of the real-life consequences of this badly designed AI.

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Here's some details... Read on.

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KENYAN🇰🇪 HISTORY🇰🇪...
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Have you ever wondered why the sons and daughters of the colonial chiefs and guards who were collaborators live a good life while those of the MAU MAU fighters live in abject poverty?

***THREAD***

It should be known that the colonialists reached a point that they knew they had 2 leave Kenya since they couldn't handle the Mau Mau war & the world was moving toward accepting independent Africa.However,the colonialists devised an evil scheme that still eats Kenya upto this day

Under this scheme, the colonial state came up with a plan that saw the first crop of chiefly “big men” being empowered financially to take their children to schools and eventually have those children go to England for further studies...

...and eventually providing a ready-made socio-economic & political class whom state power could be entrusted in the post-colonial era.This explains why their children & grandchildren still hold majority of important positions in govt or in the private sector supported by state.

This also explains why children and grandchildren of these homeguards are always given preferential treatment when it comes to government appointments. Wewe na masomo yako you are always asking why you can never get a job in government...yet you're qualified..now you know.

John Myles White
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(1) The notion that R is well-suited to "building web applications" seems totally out of left field. I don't feel like most R loyalists think this is a good idea, but it's worth calling out that no normal company will be glad you wrote your entire web app in R.

(2) It is true that Python had some issues historically with the 2-to-3 transition, but it's not such a big deal these days. On the flip side, I have found interesting R code that doesn't run in modern R interpreters because of changes in core operations (e.g. assignment syntax).

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(3) Really is a broader issue in data science: people only think of what they need to do their work if no one else existed and code was never maintained. Junior data scientists almost always operate on projects they start from scratch and don't have to maintain for long.

$sriram \U0001f1ee\U0001f1f3$

sriram 🇮🇳...
@SriramKannan77

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13. Rajiv Gandhi Rural Cricket Tournament, Initiated by Rahul Gandhi in Amethi
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17. All India Rajiv Gandhi Basketball (Girls) Tournament, organized by Delhi State
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