Right, screw it. Here's a thread on *that* FBLive by Alex Cairnie about #Govanhill. Lets do a watch-through shall we? (Mind, I'm a resident of Govanhill, and a sociologist. I'm also 5'3, and a visibly queer woman so if half his claims are true I should be living in terror)

00:30: Welcomes viewers and uses points out that his videos are only getting attention b/c they're 'horrific'. Directs folk to his Youtube page. So already clout hunting.

1:08: "I've been warned to stay out of Govanhill. I'm a marked man" (proceeds to use a beanie as a disguise)
1:30 "Laughing and joking aside, here's somebodys front garden." Proceeds to show litter and claim its thrown from windows and this is 'common'. I know a handful of streets with litter issues like this, but its neither common nor unique to #govanhill and other deprived areas.
2:10 "Don't be under any illusion I'm only showing you the bad bits" - only shows you the bad bits.

3:45: He's had offers of help, but hes said no because hes not responsible for 'anybody elses safety' Good lord.

5:01: "Its not that bad. But its not all good either" -Correct
6:00: TW: child abuse - He starts claiming to have been contacted by a health professional and told about child abuse 'in the area'. Huge ethical issues here as the 'professional' who has 'been in the game a long time' is reporting to Facebook Dude and not authorities.
IF healthcare workers are seeing children with these kinds of injuries, there are reporting channels for this. Non-partisan channels. Non-political channels. The purposes of this anecdote is to make the viewer upset. "If thats not making you sick [...] there's something wrong"
"Thats why I'm down here." So lets be clear. He's now claiming that he's a p*dophile hunter. "It's probably happening everywhere, in every street in Scotland and England." Then moves from this straight into reports that engineers, tradies, gasmen etc cant go to #Govanhill alone
Apart from the fact that the tradies I've had in must be livid they none of them had their safty buddy, lets look at why these two points are slammed together. One is a high emotion claim re: child abuse (not specific to GH) the other is specific "Its a part of the culture"
And then we're straight into "Now I'm not racist but...".
Let critical thinking prevail here. If we accept that child abuse is everywhere- why focus on Govanhill? Why pivot to "the culture"? Its an attempt to tie two factors together and tanish BME residents by implication.
(We pause at 8:22 to make a big deal about 'two guys pointing at me at the same time, eh?'. Mate. You're making huge accusations about their community thats being passed around social media. No f'king wonder they're pissed. *IM* pissed.)
8:45 we can all take a break to have a laugh, because its not safe in Govanhill because "they're all carrying blades and theyll use them in 2 seconds flat". As if knife crime isnt a (well publicised) problem across Glasgow. So again lets think about why he's emphasising this HERE
9:36 we do actually get a good point- there have been huge litter issues in the area since lockdown, mostly due to reduced collections and a complete stop on bulk uplifts until very recently. Glasgow City Council are *finally* working on it now... so its good to the them out
He tries to 'have a chinwag' with the binmen. By blocking the lorry moving forward, and wanting to chat (all maskless) in the middle of COVID. Funnily enough, they're working and not up for that. He leaves. Claims the driver saisd they cannae talk about this" (no audio of this)
11:05 a young person is seen heading into the a close. Claims they're running away' as they're 'selling crack'. You hear the alarm of the close door when he approaches- not sure why this is played as a sign of ellicit activities and not someone heading in as normal?
12:15 he picks up on something that I did find odd when I moved to GH; men do often meet outside and hang around chatting for hours. He links this to crime- I always suspected they'd been kicked out while kids came home & were fed, and they potentially didnt want to be in pubs...
Yanno. Given the number of Mosques in the area and Islam's stance on alcohol.
So a difference, yes. Did I (a 5'3" white woman) ever have any issues living in the exact area he's in? No. Never. Doesn't mean it never happens (right enough) but its not as hes painting it.
"They live in intimidation. This is what these guys practice" He knows the guy in the centre of the group due to his "distinct eyes". We move from here to "He's got piercing [..] eyes. Almost vampire eyes". So we're shifting hard to cast BME residents as 1) a threat 2) monsters
Which he then links to "But I'm not the one selling children." and then the link back to rubbish in the street.

So we've made the link between rubbish in the street -> BME Communities -> Monsters -> Child abuse -> Child sex trafficing.
(Sidebar, he makes a note here he 'makes a habit of walking into random closes'. As a resident this behaviour makes me EXTREMEMLY anxious and is one of the things that tends to get flagged quick on community FB pages as people assume folks are prowling for homes to hit)
(His argument that you're 'allowed to do this because they're multiple occupancy so you're not commiting an offense' might be true (legally speaking) but as a close dweller this is rage inducingly rude. Dont do this.)
We then move into claiming that problem neighbours lower property values in GH. This is true- but given his construction of the BME community thus far we can assume he means BME folk = bad.

He also says Govanhill 'used to be a good area'. Which. Honestly. What.
He then has a wee rant about how we shouldn't have sympathy for the residents of GH because they don't clear up their gardens. Because human compassion is contingent on behaving in a certain way and not owed to people as a f'king standard.
Here's where we hit the racism. "They'll destroy anything thats good." "This is a culture" "For anyone whose not been in Romania- its a culture" So he's now picked a particular group to blame. Note this comes out of left field even in his own train of thought.
"Every single close has had its secure entry kicked in" - not true. I lived on Langside road (where he saw the group of men) and our door was never kicked in. Not once. So does it happen? Sure. 'Every close'? No.

"Its a distructive place" for "good people" ... uhuuh.
"They're unsellable" "Whose going to spend 30-40-50k on a two bedroom flat down here." I was legitimately on Alison Street (in the video) for a 2 bedroom flat being valued at over 90k. At least do a cursory zoopla check before spouting off.
Lets be clear- there's no guarentee you wont have problematic neighbours WHEREVER you are. There are whole TV shows that hinge on this. (Also 'all the security doors have been kicked in' falls over as he approaches one & cant get in).
"I'm thinking about trying to get a resident to speak. Some older people or a lollipop lady" But given as he's already passed plenty of residents, we know he doesn't just mean a resident. He wants a sympathetic white person to try and make a victim out of. (Reminder: I LIVE HERE)
"I'm coming back at night time" "Night time is the time to be here" "Like rats. They love the dark. The rats that live down here come out in the dark and they congregate." But he's already shown us the 'congregating' he's worried about. So we're now solidly on BME folk -> Vermin.
(He notes again that there are men staring at him. He implies its because they've seen the video. Remember he's also a guy whos been filming and trying random close doors for 15 minutes at this point. So could there be a reason for the watchfulness? I'd say aye. I'd be watching)
19:10 "This is basically every street" (he's talking about rubbish again) and pivots to blame Nicola Sturgeon. Then says 'but thats not my agenda'. (Odd to bring it up then, but ok.)

He then goes on to repeat that residents dont care & dont deserve sympathy b/c of trash
"The giveaway is the locals walk past this stuff and dont shake their heads."

So not only are GH residents bad because there's litter, but they're bad because they dont put on a performance every time they see it. They're not 'doing' being sorry in the right way.
We then get a bizzare claim that takeaway owners pour oil into gardens (???).
He then focuses on the Property4You signs that have been up for months. "I dont think landlords are the problem."
This is a great example. He doesnt care what residents think. Hes has The Answer.
(The answer is 'stop having a BME community' apparently).

He then starts a nice line on 'wont you think of the children' because the front gardens have trash "they're expected to play here." No they're not. Multiple parks & green spaces in the area.
Also remember that he hasn't managed to show us a bad back court- only messy front courts. He claims this waste comes from above & isnt at least partly from passers by. (Which it is- esp. on the corners with a takeaway. You can see the containers on the video. But no matter.)
22:30 he shows what looks like construction waste and shakes his head. (Again, we've only just had bulk uplift services restart after being stopped in March.)
"In every single block in this area there are children being exploited". Think about the sheer scale of this claim. Just for a minute. Think about the sheer SCALE of what he's saying.
Is there child abuse? Yes. Will there be abuse in GH? Yes- its everywhere. More & less visible.
Does it need awareness, and action? YES. /But/ given that he's spent his time linking trash -> BME folk, BME folk -> Monsters we can assume he's not intending to take city wide action. He's coming for the BME residents of GH & hes not subtle about it.
24:00 is his convo with bin men. He tries to press them on child abuse but gets a vague "oh aye". But the evidence they give is (surprise surprise) about cleanliness.
(Also, its a 'one old guy saw someone taking a $hite out a top flat'. Which might be true but feels like the kind of tale that grows legs as it does the round.)
"There's brothels in every street" - This is a new claim for him but I cant pick out the response (24:15ish)
He also claims the binmen have to wear special gloves because of needles etc- I feel like this is probably true, but also probably standard attire to keep binmen safe? (I'd love to know from someone who knows regs on this one though)
We then head into a tangent about human waste and a pile of nappies, and how long that must have taken to build up. He *imagines* this has been the work of months, stored 'in the landing' then thrown from top story flats.
(We'll ignore other ways binbags get ripped open, like vermin etc. He might be right, he might be wrong, we dont know).
He does raise the tiniest bit of a good point though. Environmental health should respond & help in GH.
Do I think they dont because of intimidation? No. Where's my evidence? 1) lived experience, but 2) he's already spoken to the bin-men. Clearly GCC sends people into the area for (at least) some tasks. But that doesnt fit the narrative he's weaving so he ignores it.
I'd actually love to hear from @GlasgowCC about his claim at 26:00 that business owners aren't approached about waste practices. (This is presumably easy to shut down with records etc.) (Also if they're not, GCC thats a matter for action. But anyway).
by 27:00 he's turned back to child abuse- but its important to note his claims are NOT specific to Govanhill. He's furious about high profile cases (Rolf Harris, Jimmy Saville etc)- and quite rightly. Abuse SHOULD be a prority. We SHOULD act. But his link to GH is nonsense.
He says child abuse in GH is run by "the type of criminals at a level that they basically control this entire community" and that the police "don't have a handle on it".
He links this back to the men standing watching him. "I'm supposed to feel fear".
Remember he's looped this area at least twice now (given the shops he's passed). He's filming, streaming live, and claiming they're vampires, rats and child abusers- all straight onto FB. But obvs. they're looking at him for 'exposing' them, not due to sus activity or his claims.
By 29:00 he's showing off one of the fruit shops in the area. We have A LOT of these. But of course he suggests this is ONLY possible because they're paying for protection. His evidence for this is... ?
The end of the video he emphasises he's not scared, and walks back past the group he's described before. (The guy with supposedly vampire eyes) - he says hes going to 'go back'. Which only makes sense if you don't know Govanhill is pretty much a grid.
Then he closes by turning his focus back to the Roma community. He's going to 'reveal more interesting stuff' about the vans (there's 10 in every street apparently which... what?) They supposedly arrive at 7am, 20/25 guys climb out. "Where have they been all night?"
So if we take aside the fact that this guy clearly has a very specific axe to grind with the Roma community in GH- do the math on that. 10x25 is 250 people. In every street in Govanhill. Every morning at 7am. Aye. Ok.
Now there actually (maybe) a point here about BME folks in GH being taken advantage of by employers. Maybe they are working cash in hand in shite jobs overnight for "£3/£4 an hour". BUT then its an issue of abusive and predatory employment practices.
If residents in GH are so strapped as to be relying on that kind of wave working overnight, still stuck in overcrowded homes as he claims Then they need HELP. They're being exploited and I have 0 time for this victim blaming.
(Interesting that he's looped back to predatory/abusive renting practices. We know that IS an issue- but remember earlier in the stream he laughed at the community's effort to raise awareness to it via the Property4You flyer. Again, HE has the answer. GH folk clearly dont)
And then hes back to the child abuse. But (again) think about this claim. He says there's 20/25 people in 2 bed flats and this leads to child abuse. But we know abusers work by keeping things secret & private. They deal in shame and silence.
I'm actually more concerned that he thinks there's such a straight link between adults and children being in proximity to one another and child abuse. He implies that alcohol use will automatically lead to abuse- but we know logically not every adult who drinks behaves this way?
If the arguement really that the *only thing* standing between most adults and committing sexual offenses against children is opportunity, then... I dont even know what to say to that. He says it as if this link is common sense. It isn't. Christ.
So thats it. Someone else can do the next breakdown. Key takeaways though.

Works hard to link uncleanliness -> BME people to show a lack of 'decency'.
He links that lack of decency to child abuse.
He claims that the men in the street are evidence of intimidation
These are the same men he vilifies and dehumanises throughout.
He wants to draw a link between the litter in Govanhill, the presence of BME minorities, and child abuse. But he has no evidence of these links- all of his claims are designed to play on emotion. All of them.
And why is this important? Because if he legitimately had evidence of mass child exploitation and abuse, and he was stotering around #Govanhill smirking into the camera rather than talking to @GreaterGlasgPol or volunteering with activists/charities to take direct action...
Well. I don't have any polite words for what kind of person that would make him.
Child abuse is a crime. We are all responsible, we should all take meaningful action. What we shouldn't do is farm peoples emotions for clout & pour hate on BME folk to do it.

More from Health

this simple, counter narrative fact keeps cropping up all over the world.

hospital and ICU utilization has been and remains low this year.

it's terribly curious that so few of these monitoring tools provide historical baselines.

getting them is like pulling teeth.


we might think of this as an oversight until you see stuff like this:

this woman was arrested for filming and sharing the fact that their are empty hospitals in the UK.

that's full blown soviet. what possible honest purpose does that

this is the action of a police state and a propaganda ministry, not a well intentioned government and a public heath agency.

"we cannot let people see the truth for fear they might base their actions on real facts" is not much of a mantra for just governance.


90% full ICU sounds scary until you realize that 90-100% full is normal in flu season.

staffed ICU beds are expensive to leave empty. it's like flying with 15% of the plane empty. hospitals don't do that.

and all US hospitals are mandated to be able to flex to 120% ICU.

the US is currently at historically low ICU utilization for this time of year.

61% is "you're all going to go out of business" territory as is 66% full hospital use.

can you blame them for mining CARES act money? they'll die without it.
Before we get too far into 2021, I thought I’d write a thread recapping some of the research that came out of my lab in 2020. Most of this work was led by my talented team of graduate students, Kerrianne Morrison, @kmdebrabander, and @DesiRJones.

Back in January, a news story was published about Kerrianne’s study showing improved social interaction outcomes for autistic adults when paired with another autistic partner.

A detailed thread about the study and a link to the paper can be found here (feel free to DM me your email address if you’d like a copy of the full paper for this study or any of our studies):


Another paper published early in 2020 (it appeared a few months earlier online) showed that traditional standalone tasks of social cognition are less predictive of functional and social skills among autistic adults than commonly assumed in autism research.


Next, @kmdebrabander led and published an innovative study about how well autistic and non-autistic adults can predict their own cognitive and social cognitive performance.
🚨Important changes to lockdown/self-isolation regulations from 5pm

The Health Protection (Coronavirus, Restrictions) (All Tiers and Self-Isolation) (England) (Amendment) Regulations 2021

£800 'house party' FPN & police can now access track & trace data

https://t.co/k9XCpVsXhC


“Large gathering offence”

As trailed by Home Secretary last week there is now a fixed penalty notice of £800 (or £400 if you pay within 14 days) for participating in an gathering of over 15 people in a private residence


Fixed Penalty Notices double for each subsequent “large gathering offence” up to £6,400

Compare:
- Ordinary fixed penalty notice is £200 or £100 if paid in 14 days
- Holding or being involved in the holding of a gathering of over 30 people is £10,000


Second big change:

Since September has been a legal requirement to sell-isolate if you test positive/notified by Track & Trace of exposure to someone else who tested positive

Police can now be given access to NHS Track & Trace data if for the purpose of enforcement/prosecution


This will make it easier for police to enforce people breaking self-isolation rules. Currently there has been practically no enforcement.

Data says only a small proportion of people meant to be self-isolating are fully doing so.
You gotta think about this one carefully!

Imagine you go to the doctor and get tested for a rare disease (only 1 in 10,000 people get it.)

The test is 99% effective in detecting both sick and healthy people.

Your test comes back positive.

Are you really sick? Explain below 👇

The most complete answer from every reply so far is from Dr. Lena. Thanks for taking the time and going through


You can get the answer using Bayes' theorem, but let's try to come up with it in a different —maybe more intuitive— way.

👇


Here is what we know:

- Out of 10,000 people, 1 is sick
- Out of 100 sick people, 99 test positive
- Out of 100 healthy people, 99 test negative

Assuming 1 million people take the test (including you):

- 100 of them are sick
- 999,900 of them are healthy

👇

Let's now test both groups, starting with the 100 people sick:

▫️ 99 of them will be diagnosed (correctly) as sick (99%)

▫️ 1 of them is going to be diagnosed (incorrectly) as healthy (1%)

👇

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IMPORTANCE, ADVANTAGES AND CHARACTERISTICS OF BHAGWAT PURAN

It was Ved Vyas who edited the eighteen thousand shlokas of Bhagwat. This book destroys all your sins. It has twelve parts which are like kalpvraksh.

In the first skandh, the importance of Vedvyas


and characters of Pandavas are described by the dialogues between Suutji and Shaunakji. Then there is the story of Parikshit.
Next there is a Brahm Narad dialogue describing the avtaar of Bhagwan. Then the characteristics of Puraan are mentioned.

It also discusses the evolution of universe.(
https://t.co/2aK1AZSC79 )

Next is the portrayal of Vidur and his dialogue with Maitreyji. Then there is a mention of Creation of universe by Brahma and the preachings of Sankhya by Kapil Muni.


In the next section we find the portrayal of Sati, Dhruv, Pruthu, and the story of ancient King, Bahirshi.
In the next section we find the character of King Priyavrat and his sons, different types of loks in this universe, and description of Narak. ( https://t.co/gmDTkLktKS )


In the sixth part we find the portrayal of Ajaamil ( https://t.co/LdVSSNspa2 ), Daksh and the birth of Marudgans( https://t.co/tecNidVckj )

In the seventh section we find the story of Prahlad and the description of Varnashram dharma. This section is based on karma vaasna.
Funny, before the election I recall lefties muttering the caravan must have been a Trump setup because it made the open borders crowd look so bad. Why would the pro-migrant crowd engineer a crisis that played into Trump's hands? THIS is why. THESE are the "optics" they wanted.


This media manipulation effort was inspired by the success of the "kids in cages" freakout, a 100% Stalinist propaganda drive that required people to forget about Obama putting migrant children in cells. It worked, so now they want pics of Trump "gassing children on the border."

There's a heavy air of Pallywood around the whole thing as well. If the Palestinians can stage huge theatrical performances of victimhood with the willing cooperation of Western media, why shouldn't the migrant caravan organizers expect the same?

It's business as usual for Anarchy, Inc. - the worldwide shredding of national sovereignty to increase the power of transnational organizations and left-wing ideology. Many in the media are true believers. Others just cannot resist the narrative of "change" and "social justice."

The product sold by Anarchy, Inc. is victimhood. It always boils down to the same formula: once the existing order can be painted as oppressors and children as their victims, chaos wins and order loses. Look at the lefties shrieking in unison about "Trump gassing children" today.