Whenever #Nifty & #BankNifty closes less than -1% on Fridays, what happens on Monday and what happens on next 30 days. Interesting analysis, will be sharing the details shortly.

Only 7 times in last 11 years, #IndiaVix moved more than 15% on Fridays and only 2 times Vix dropped on following Monday, rest all the time Vix increased on Monday as well.
After Friday’s Vix big move, What happens after 30 days, all 7 times the Vix went up much higher in next 30 days. So this Friday’s fall could be start of the next big volatile sessions in the coming weeks
With 25 years of data, 251 times Nifty dropped < -1% on Fridays, 58% of the time following Monday witnessed further fall, average move on such Mondays are -1.8%
This how Nifty moved in next 30 days, after the Friday fall. Market continued to slide in next 30 days as well. 58% of the time next 30 days returns turned negative.
This how BankNifty moved on Monday when Friday fall is <-1%. 56% of the time Monday turned out to be a bearish day with average down side of -1.5%
And even BankNifty also sliding downwards for next 30 days after Friday’s big fall. Where avg downside move was almost -10%.
Only time will tell us, how deep this Down move could go. As long as you are dealing with right position sizing, even another world war won’t damage to your portfolio. ✌️

More from Kirubakaran Rajendran

I have shared multiple information related to trading and investing through my historical data analysis by writing various articles, here's the master thread that contains all my work in one place.🧵

https://t.co/pc1jr1xBlI


https://t.co/KZJ1FKCXSp


https://t.co/pTnbkjVpr0


https://t.co/3QXmND1x6Y
Most beginners when building a trading strategy simply use current info and test with it, they don't know How to Get Historical Stock Futures lot size, list of stocks that are part of index like Nifty 50, Nifty 500 historically, I will share all such info in this thread

Please note that there is no way to get the historical lot size of stocks futures, NSE don't publish it directly, so we need to do some calculated steps to get that data. Download Market Activity report
https://t.co/HKLkSVtXEI


The zip file contains multiple files, open the second file.


The file will contain stock symbol, expiry date, OHLC data, along with that you get traded quantity and No of contracts traded, using this data we can calculate the lot size of every stock symbol. Simply divide Traded QTY / NO of contracts gives you the lot size.


So to get the historical stock futures data, all you need to do is change the date in the below link

https://t.co/xIBXsPpIVt For an example, to get the historical stock futures lot size data for Sep 2016, use https://t.co/Criu7S3Fi5
If you are someone who spends more time on analyzing markets during trading, then this for you. Certain traders will create their own bullish or bearish view in their mind but seek confirmation for their trades which is called as confirmation bias. #tradingpsychology 1/15


We do not like people or information that contradicts our thoughts. We like them when they confirm what we think. Hence, we tend to place more weight on information that confirms our trade position. Example- You think market is bullish & wanted to go on a long position,

Next a new bullish bar prints on the chart. You would think "Yes, my bullish proposition is still valid" (even though this bullish bar is smaller range)

A bearish bar prints. But you think "this bar lacks momentum" (because you already have firm belief that market is bullish)

One more bearish bar follows, pushing against a support level. But you would think "the support level is holding" Bullishness confirmed. Buy more! (even though this bar closed below the support level with clear momentum.)

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This is NONSENSE. The people who take photos with their books on instagram are known to be voracious readers who graciously take time to review books and recommend them to their followers. Part of their medium is to take elaborate, beautiful photos of books. Die mad, Guardian.


THEY DO READ THEM, YOU JUDGY, RACOON-PICKED TRASH BIN


If you come for Bookstagram, i will fight you.

In appreciation, here are some of my favourite bookstagrams of my books: (photos by lit_nerd37, mybookacademy, bookswrotemystory, and scorpio_books)