Whenever #Nifty & #BankNifty closes less than -1% on Fridays, what happens on Monday and what happens on next 30 days. Interesting analysis, will be sharing the details shortly.

Only 7 times in last 11 years, #IndiaVix moved more than 15% on Fridays and only 2 times Vix dropped on following Monday, rest all the time Vix increased on Monday as well.
After Friday’s Vix big move, What happens after 30 days, all 7 times the Vix went up much higher in next 30 days. So this Friday’s fall could be start of the next big volatile sessions in the coming weeks
With 25 years of data, 251 times Nifty dropped < -1% on Fridays, 58% of the time following Monday witnessed further fall, average move on such Mondays are -1.8%
This how Nifty moved in next 30 days, after the Friday fall. Market continued to slide in next 30 days as well. 58% of the time next 30 days returns turned negative.
This how BankNifty moved on Monday when Friday fall is <-1%. 56% of the time Monday turned out to be a bearish day with average down side of -1.5%
And even BankNifty also sliding downwards for next 30 days after Friday’s big fall. Where avg downside move was almost -10%.
Only time will tell us, how deep this Down move could go. As long as you are dealing with right position sizing, even another world war won’t damage to your portfolio. ✌️

More from Kirubakaran Rajendran

I have been watching movies from a very early age and I just love it. Watching a good movie makes you forget that you are actually watching a movie. Here's a master thread about reviews of all the movies I have shared in twitter so far.Trying to find a weekend movie? Here it is


https://t.co/gjTHTKyyb2


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If you are someone who spends more time on analyzing markets during trading, then this for you. Certain traders will create their own bullish or bearish view in their mind but seek confirmation for their trades which is called as confirmation bias. #tradingpsychology 1/15


We do not like people or information that contradicts our thoughts. We like them when they confirm what we think. Hence, we tend to place more weight on information that confirms our trade position. Example- You think market is bullish & wanted to go on a long position,

Next a new bullish bar prints on the chart. You would think "Yes, my bullish proposition is still valid" (even though this bullish bar is smaller range)

A bearish bar prints. But you think "this bar lacks momentum" (because you already have firm belief that market is bullish)

One more bearish bar follows, pushing against a support level. But you would think "the support level is holding" Bullishness confirmed. Buy more! (even though this bar closed below the support level with clear momentum.)
I have shared multiple information related to trading and investing through my historical data analysis by writing various articles, here's the master thread that contains all my work in one place.🧵

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