(THREAD) There is so much less to this headline than meets the eye—indeed, one could argue the story is interesting *only* in ways the headline doesn't hint at—that it's a shame Bloomberg, a great media outlet, published this in this way. Read on for more.

1/ *Everyone* knows that the next step in the Mueller probe will come after the November 6 election, as Mueller is currently foregoing any additional steps in his work because of the DOJ's recommended "60-day pre-election" rule against action on cases with political implications.
2/ *Everyone* knows that Mueller has completed or nearly completed the Obstruction portion of his investigation (indeed, might have completed it long ago), so even news that Mueller would be ready to issue findings on Obstruction sometime after November 6 would not be surprising.
3/ *Everyone* knows that Rosenstein fears for his job, and fears for Sessions' job, and fears for Mueller's job, so *no one* would be surprised to learn that Rosenstein was pressuring Mueller to release *some* sort of report shortly after November 6 in order to show his progress.
4/ *Everyone* knows that behind the scenes Trump has been pressuring the FBI/DOJ to "wrap up" their work, so—while it was not just inappropriate but possibly illegal for Trump to pressure Rosenstein during a recent plane trip—*no one* would be surprised to learn that he did that.
5/ *Everyone* knows that when a federal probe starts with 17 prosecutors and then get pleas/cooperation deals from *major* figures in the case—Flynn, Manafort, Cohen, Gates, and Papadopoulos—it can start to shed prosecutors, because it's proceeding expeditiously through its work.
6/ *Everyone* knows that White House officials—under the guise of talking to the press as anonymous "U.S. officials"—has been trying to hurry Mueller's investigation along by *falsely* claiming that it's almost over. Administration officials have been doing this since *mid-2017*.
7/ Taking all that into account, read the Bloomberg article again—and not just the headline. Read the whole thing. It underscores that Manafort would never have gotten a cooperation deal if his testimony weren't going to lead to significant indictments, and *not* on Obstruction.
8/ The Bloomberg article also underscores that Mueller's ardently trying to get answers from Trump on the topic of collusion, and may well seek a subpoena to get his testimony—something that not only *wouldn't* he do but that would be impossible to do in a "wrapping up" timeline.
9/ Right now we are less than three weeks pre-election. It benefits the Republicans enormously to tell media—without any evidence whatsoever, and having falsely spread the same story at least five times before since 2017—that Mueller is about to wrap up and hasn't found anything.
10/ Each time the Republicans' anonymous (false) leaks *work*—and always for the same reason. Non-attorney/non-investigator journalists credit them, because they earn clicks and attention; attorneys and investigators not up on the Russia case credit them to avoid looking foolish.
11/ And each and every time, attorney/investigator journalists who're *knowledgeable* about the Russia probe say the *same thing*—these reports are false and come from the White House. Mueller is *not* close to finishing his work on collusion. And each time we're exactly *right*.
12/ Cohen just spent *50 hours* with federal investigators; Manafort just got a sweetheart cooperation deal; Flynn got a deal and then spent a *year* giving the feds information on collusion. There are precisely *zero* signs that Mueller has issued even *half* of his indictments.
13/ We have major media reports confirming that Erik Prince lied to Congress. We have major media reports confirming that Trump Jr. lied to Congress. We have George Nader telling Mueller that Trump Jr. agreed to collude with 3 nations on August 3, 2016. Media need to *wake up*.
14/ *Every piece of public info* on the Mueller probe confirms that there are more indictments to come—and witnesses are being given sweetheart deals left and right *because* they have information on collusion. Yet every few months GOP operatives play the media in the *same way*.
15/ Will Mueller reappear post-11/6? Yes. Will he issue an Obstruction report soon? He may. Does Rosenstein want him to work *fast*? Yes. Is Trump trying to hurry everything? Yes. Are GOP operatives lying to media? Yes.

Does this have anything to do with the collusion probe? No.
16/ Mainstream media has been terrified since Day 1—back in October 2016—that they would be shown to be chumps for believing this collusion investigation might turn something up. They've hedged their bets at every turn—*even as* every piece of evidence has turned up inculpatory.
17/ Were I a GOP operative with no scruples I'd be doing *just* what GOP operatives are doing: feeding the media a story every few weeks that the probe is almost over because you *know* that their innate professional cowardice already compels them to want to believe exactly that.
18/ Fortunately, what I *am* is a longtime attorney/investigator who looks at facts—not a fulltime journalist looking over my shoulder to see if I'm going to be made a fool of. *Every piece of information we have* tells us Mueller's collusion probe is going *just fine* thank you.
19/ What Bloomberg did was get info from an anonymous—likely White House—source that was intended to depress Democratic turnout during the midterms. It was intended to drain Democrats of hope. But then you read the *article* and you see the facts don't line up with the headline.
20/ Note too that Mueller may issue a report on one subject but not another (e.g. obstruction, not collusion); a partial report on just one subject; a report that's non-public because it's blocked from publication by the GOP.

We have 9-12 months *minimum* left in this saga. /end
PS/ I do not now—nor have I ever—predicted the timing of indictments; no one can or should do that. But there will be indictments for Trump Jr., Prince, Kushner, and Stone—at a minimum—before any collusion probe is completed. Anyone following this case closely will tell you that.
PS2/ Remember—should you be inclined for *even a moment* to believe this (likely) White House "leak"—that all of America was *promised* by Team Trump, in August '17, that the *whole* probe would be over *well* before Thanksgiving '17. That was a *year* ago. And *nothing* is over.
PS3/ When Papadopoulos was indicted, I said: more coming. When Flynn was indicted, I said: more coming. When Gates was indicted, I said: more coming. When Manafort was indicted, I said: more coming. When Cohen was indicted, I said: more coming.

Legal Expertise 5, White House 0.
PS4/ I can't urge talented, insightful journalists not to fall for these White House tricks—as the commitment in journalism is often to one's own carefully curated (instinctively obsequious) professional reputation than anything else. But *attorneys* are *obligated* to do better.
PS5/ There is no—I repeat *no*—credible public evidence suggesting Mueller is *anywhere* close to done, and indeed a *mountain* of published evidence confirming that he is getting *all the cooperation he needs*—and *on the collusion question*—from major figures in Trump's circle.

More from Seth Abramson

(THREAD) To understand the second impeachment of Donald Trump, we must understand the words that preceded and augmented his January 6 incitement of insurrection. This thread unpacks four key speeches—Don Jr., Giuliani, Mo Brooks, and Eric Trump. I hope you'll read on and RETWEET.


1/ If you haven't yet seen my analysis of Trump's January 6 "incitement to insurrection" speech, you can find it at the link below. This thread will look at four shorter—but deeply consequential—speeches just before Trump's, all by Trump allies or family.


2/ DONALD TRUMP JR.

Trump Jr.'s speech on January 6—which ended less than an hour before his father incited an insurrection—is one of the most inscrutable of the day, because its beginning includes some promisingly responsible rhetoric. Then it descends into madness and chaos.

3/ "I'm looking at the crowd here, and you did it all [congregate here] without burning down buildings! You did it without ripping down churches! Without looting! I didn't know that that was possible!" Within 2 hours of his speech, Don Jr.'s audience would be looting the Capitol.

4/ So obviously Don Jr.'s opening is ironic to a historic degree, but this isn't the first time we've heard this rhetoric from him. He habitually ignores right-wing violence because he knows that his chief rhetorical canard—which marries progressivism and violences—gets applause.
MAJOR BREAKING NEWS: Donald Trump Is Now Privately Confirming His Support of a Summer Coup of the Biden Administration; If the Former President Has Engaged in Even a Single Act to Advance This Treacherous Plot He is Guilty of Seditious Conspiracy and Must Be Arrested Immediately


1/ Journalists need to be very careful in how they discuss this breaking news. Individuals who have provided cover for Trump repeatedly in the past—like Maggie Haberman—are reporting evidence of a possible seditious conspiracy as mere loose talk from an addled man. Sorry, but no.

2/ There are efforts afoot now in GA, AZ, NV, and WI to delegitimize Biden's victories there. Meanwhile, Trump advisors Flynn and Powell are saying that once those victories are delegitimized, the military should move in. If Trump is in on the conversations, it's a coup attempt.

3/ As anyone who has ever read a book or watched a movie or taken a history course knows, the most important element of a coup is the agreement of the individual who'll be installed as a nation's new president to participate in the installation. Without that there can be no coup.

4/ What Trump is privately doing, according to the NYT, is the *opposite* of what Lyndon Johnson famously did in saying that even if nominated he wouldn't run for president. Trump is telling the coup conspirators that he *will accept a re-installation* if they can make it happen.

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First update to https://t.co/lDdqjtKTZL since the challenge ended – Medium links!! Go add your Medium profile now 👀📝 (thanks @diannamallen for the suggestion 😁)


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The UN just voted to condemn Israel 9 times, and the rest of the world 0.

View the resolutions and voting results here:

The resolution titled "The occupied Syrian Golan," which condemns Israel for "repressive measures" against Syrian citizens in the Golan Heights, was adopted by a vote of 151 - 2 - 14.

Israel and the U.S. voted 'No'
https://t.co/HoO7oz0dwr


The resolution titled "Israeli practices affecting the human rights of the Palestinian people..." was adopted by a vote of 153 - 6 - 9.

Australia, Canada, Israel, Marshall Islands, Micronesia, and the U.S. voted 'No' https://t.co/1Ntpi7Vqab


The resolution titled "Israeli settlements in the Occupied Palestinian Territory, including East Jerusalem, and the occupied Syrian Golan" was adopted by a vote of 153 – 5 – 10.

Canada, Israel, Marshall Islands, Micronesia, and the U.S. voted 'No'
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The resolution titled "Applicability of the Geneva Convention... to the
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Canada, Israel, Marshall Islands, Micronesia, and the U.S. voted 'No'
https://t.co/xDAeS9K1kW