Mega Thread on Exit Strategies (Long-Mid Term Portfolios) 👇

We talk about systematic exit a stock portfolio in a bear market in this 🧵

Most have made good profits in stock positions and its always good to be aware of what can be done when markets turn bearish

Read on.
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🥊Candle "Wicks" have their own story to tell🥊

@ every timeframe, its like a boxing match between the buyers and sellers.
Candle Body (🟩/🟥) tells who won the round

What about the Wicks?
They do tell a story.. read on..

#StockMarket #sharemarket
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LONG LOWER SHADOWS and HAMMERS
- The sellers are pushing the buyers hard or the buyers play a waiting game and eventually power the price higher

See the chart below, the buyers are not willing to lose and eventually the sellers give up.
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LONG UPPER SHADOWS and SHOOTING STARS
- The buyers unable to keep the price higher for long and eventually give up.

See the chart below, the sellers strength is too much for the bulls
Some cases the sellers prevent from price going higher.. this is evident from the wicks
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HEIKIN ASHI CANDLES

HA candles do a good job at identifying indecision and unanimous movement of a counter

HA range candles give us the places where
- we should avoid direction trades
- prepare for a directional move

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WICKS FOR STOCK PICKING

A glance of a stock tells us about the volatility of the stock

If most of the candles have wicks then the counter is volatile in that time frame

SL hits are common

Look for stocks that have proportionate wicks if you are a conservative trader
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Thread on Average True Range (ATR)

- J. Welles Wilder created the ATR back in 1978

- ATR measures the volatility of the instrument

- Direction cannot be ascertained by using ATR

- Min/Max : 0 to 100

- Handy tool to measure volatility caused by Gap up/downs

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The formula for ATR is

Average of True Range = avg( max[(high - low), abs(high - previous close), abs (low - previous close)], length)

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Usage 1 : Volatility Regime Filter

Periods of High and Low volatility can be identified by a slow and fast ATR crossovers.

In high vol regimes, the fast ATR is above the slow ATR and vice versa for low vol

ATR crossover cannot be used to go long or short!!

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Usage 2 : Mean Reversion

Extreme price movements are followed by reverting to the mean (equilibrium price). ATR bands can be plotted on chart to identify such extremities and take high probability mean reversion trades

Complementing indicators are stochastics, RSI

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Usage 3: Pyramiding Strategy

Legendary trader Richard Dennis borrowed $1,600 and made $350 million in 6 years

The concept around his Turtles trading strategy revolves around Pyramiding, Position Sizing and Risk Mngmnt calculated with ATR

Below is a example of pyramiding

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For traders who are fond of moving averages, Here are some practical pointers:
1. Get rid of the shorter term moving average completely in case of crossovers (unless its 5 period or less, or used for smoothing data)

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2. Considering moving to Moving Average Bands
- baseline with high and low
- baseline with ATR bands
-baseline with STDev bands (Bollinger)

my chart study with moving average is like this👇

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3. Avoid trades on a moving average crossover (unless its long term averages used for direction bias)

Below are the trades from a 3x5 moving average crossover system

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Thread on INDICATOR DUPLICATION

We usually try our hands with some of the well known indicators to see if they have an edge.

But the fact is that most indicators are based of the humble...you guessed it.. MA

Lets see this with famous ones : RSI, Wil %R, CCI, PSAR, MOM, ROC

RSI, William %R 50 level crosses coincide with 14 MA crossovers

CCI, Momemtum crosses coincide with 14 MA crossovers

PSAR, ROC crosses coincide with 14 MA

MEGA Thread on Moving Averages 🧵👇

In this thread, we will cover a lot of ways in which moving averages can be calculated

Goal of the thread is not to find the best MA but to explain the concept behind
I am sure you will find new ones on the list!

Lets start!
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Simple Moving Average (SMA)

A SMA is a sum of past N values of PRICE divided by N

A SMA looks like below on the chart and is basis for more than 50% indicators out there (50% indicators show more or less same info as a SMA)

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Exponential Moving Average (EMA)

The EMA places priority to price values that are recent. This enables it to be responsive compared to SMA.

Hints:
- Use it if you need a responsive MA
DEMA, TEMA are application of EMA over EMA to make it more responsive.
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Weighted Moving Average (EMA)

The WMA is similar to placing priority to recent price changes. Its smoother because it adds weights rather than price fraction.

Hints:
- Jitteriness of EMA can be avoided with using WMA
- VWMA adds volume component to calculation

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Hull Moving Average (HMA)

Perhaps the most elegant moving average and very smooth to look at.

HMA has reduced lag and also very responsive to price change.

Sudden price changes induce a overshoot which is rectified by the Jurik Moving Average (JMA)

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Here is the detailed information of about strategy,

Entry time : 9.30 - 10
Exit : Upto you

Strategy :
Sell weekly ATM CE & PE at almost equal price
For ex : Sell Nifty 17250 CE at 50 and Nifty 17250 PE at 48 so it will become short straddle

Buy monthly ATM or near ATM CE & PE at matching price (5-10 points diff should be fine) as hedge
For ex : Buy Nifty 17250 CE at 150 and Nifty 17300 PE at 155 so it will become long straddle.

Weekly Short straddle + Monthly Long straddle

Adjustment:

• If you feel slightly bullish/bearish then no adjustment needed
• If Nifty moves 50 up or down and sustain then just simply roll up or down half of qnty and keep rest of the quantity. If market goes up or down further then roll up or down rest.

• If Nifty moves one side or about to breach BEP then add equal amount of lot. This can balance tested side. For ex: If I bought 17300 CE 4 lot as hedge then add 4 lot so you will have only one side risk . Note: Remember to keep SL at cost price (only for additional lot bought)

Capital requirement:
2.2 L for 4 lot
Adjustment requires additional capital upto 1L

Note : High risk high reward strategy, please don’t execute until you fully understand. Kindly do paper trading or backtest.
RR : 1:1
POP : 45-55%

1. #Qanon told us that Saudi Arabia is a central piece of the puzzle in taking out the Deep State...we are watching the Deep State attempt to remove Crown Prince MBS and disrupt Pres Trump's administration's ties with MBS and the "new" Saudi/US coalition. Early in his admin,

2....@Potus sent Jared Kushner (JK) to SA on an undisclosed trip and told King Salman that business as usual was over, and if he wanted Pres Trump's support, Prince Alwaleed would have to be divested of $ and power; Alwaleed is one of top Deep State $ men and was tied to HRC.

3. @Potus knew that before he could begin cleansing the US and the rest of the world of the DS, he would have to cut one of the financial head's off the snake (Alwaleed). After JK met w/ King Salman, Alwaleed was arrested and divested of billions; MBS became leader of SA.

4. SA loves Pres Trump because he's a man of his word; SA could not trust Hussein or Clintons because they use SA for oil and leverage; SA has many factions, but essentially you have the new and upcoming SA that is attempting to modernize through Crown Prince MBS, and then you

5...have the old guard represented by Alwaleed who was one of the Deep State financial heads and loyal to the DS more than SA; SA knew Hussein was financing Iran to hold western world hostage, and SA was caught in middle of Deep State black mail; this is why @Potus was celebrated

The Chanting of following names of Bhagwan Vishnu, immensely helps us in overcoming the obstacles in our daily life.
These names are from Sri Vishnu Sahasranama!
|. "Om Vashatkaaraaya Namaha" : For Success in Business.
||. "Om Aksharaaya Namaha" : For Success in Studies.

|||. "Om Bhuthabhavanaya Namaha" : For Good Health.
|V. "Om Paramaathmane Namaha" : For Self Confidence.

Src: VAK magazine from Chilkur Balaji Temple, Hyderabad - Sri @csranga
#SanatanaDharma #SanatanaSanskriti #Sattology

One needs to chant the following slokas 28 times to get rid of certain problems in life.
Om Hrushikesaya Namah - For Overcoming Bad habits
Om Vashatkaaraya Namah - For Success in Business, Interviews, visa interviews, building relationships

Om Srimate Namah - For Handsome appearance & wealth
Om Aksharaya Namah - For Education & better financial strength
Om Paramatmane Namah - For self employed people, for promotions and success in games.
Om Putatmane Namah - To remove mental stress & for mental peace

Om Sarmane Namah - For Job Satisfaction
Om Bhutadaye Namah -To amend soured friendship or any personal relationship
Om Dhatre Namah - For issueless couple
Om vidhatre Namah - Pregnant Ladies to Chant for healthy babies.
Chant the following 108 times :

@AchuthArora @aldothetrainer @Artofphysique_ @buzz_chronicles @rattibha Gotcha, boss!

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