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1/ Happy to announce that we have submitted our #paper ‘Bayes Lines Tool (BLT) - A SQL-script for analyzing diagnostic test results with an application to SARS-CoV-2-testing’.

In this ⬇️thread⬇️, I will explain why our tool is that powerful for decision makers. #UnbiasedScience


2/ In the meantime, the submitted paper is available on the preprint platform @zenodo_org. Factual criticism is highly desired and encouraged. The publication itself presents a seminal Bayesian calculator, the Bayes Lines Tool (BLT). (Petje af, @waukema!)

3/ The Bayes Line Tool (available on
https://t.co/jIomSIxOd9) is able to back-solve disease #prevalence, test #sensitivity, test #specificity, and therefore, true positive, false positive, true negative and false negative numbers from official governmental test outcome reports.

4/ This is done by creating confusion matrices with four variables. Namely: TP, FP, TN, FN. In order to calculate the matrices, we need prevalence, specificity, and sensitivity as well as the number of people that got tested (within a given period) and the number of positives.


5/ The number of positives and the number of tests are given by the government. Prevalence, specificity, and sensitivity are unknown. So we assume any combination of them ranging from 0-99%. These three combinations can amount up to #millions of #combinations.
Woke up to like 100 tags on this iPhone implant. Which is found in this video here: https://t.co/9khbpmUQEH

I don’t speak Russian, but I do have a first grade language fluency in hardware. So lets take a look!
Thread 1/n

So a lot of people have correctly identified it as this GPS & Wifi based location tracker with microphone.
A very common type of device, similar to what is found in those extremely suspicious looking USB cables:
https://t.co/uBhi7tRhiW

2/n


The headers are designed to attach a specific USB connector that fits a micro SD card in the tip.
3/n


A repurposed board is very “hobby implant” but... we see the SIM card was removed, which would make this a wifi-only implant. Yet an external GSM antenna is attached and only the ground for power? Cant see the other side though...
4/n


Upon closer inspection, they removed the SIM slot housing and soldered a SIM card directly to the pads. That gains a little more space.

Thanks @dcuthbert

5/n
Ok. Let's talk about why Xbox decided to announce that it would double the price of Xbox Live Gold (12m period) and then reversed that decision less than 24 hours later after strong backlash from fans.

Quick thread on the topic from me below:


If you've followed me in the past you know that I've talked a lot about Xbox is moving beyond the console and has a goal to offer multiple entry points into its ecosystem, with Game Pass being the main entry point into its software and services


This strategy makes a lot of sense on paper, but is proving difficult for Microsoft to execute in the short term.

The aim is to scale Game Pass as a service to reach the entire gaming audience via multiple console offerings, but also beyond console via PC & Mobile (Cloud) etc.

It's also why Xbox has plans to extend Game Pass + xCloud to iOS, Windows and other devices (Smart TV's) in the future.

Its investment in studios and IP aims to increase the value prop of Game Pass, with multiple AAA titles available on the service day 1.

All for $15pm.

Game Pass has already grown to 15 million subscribers, but it's worth noting that the majority of these subs are also Xbox console players.

The goal of reaching the broader gaming audience beyond console will take some time to fully execute for a number of reasons: