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1/ Happy to announce that we have submitted our #paper ‘Bayes Lines Tool (BLT) - A SQL-script for analyzing diagnostic test results with an application to SARS-CoV-2-testing’.

In this ⬇️thread⬇️, I will explain why our tool is that powerful for decision makers. #UnbiasedScience


2/ In the meantime, the submitted paper is available on the preprint platform @zenodo_org. Factual criticism is highly desired and encouraged. The publication itself presents a seminal Bayesian calculator, the Bayes Lines Tool (BLT). (Petje af, @waukema!)

3/ The Bayes Line Tool (available on
https://t.co/jIomSIxOd9) is able to back-solve disease #prevalence, test #sensitivity, test #specificity, and therefore, true positive, false positive, true negative and false negative numbers from official governmental test outcome reports.

4/ This is done by creating confusion matrices with four variables. Namely: TP, FP, TN, FN. In order to calculate the matrices, we need prevalence, specificity, and sensitivity as well as the number of people that got tested (within a given period) and the number of positives.


5/ The number of positives and the number of tests are given by the government. Prevalence, specificity, and sensitivity are unknown. So we assume any combination of them ranging from 0-99%. These three combinations can amount up to #millions of #combinations.
Woke up to like 100 tags on this iPhone implant. Which is found in this video here: https://t.co/9khbpmUQEH

I don’t speak Russian, but I do have a first grade language fluency in hardware. So lets take a look!
Thread 1/n

So a lot of people have correctly identified it as this GPS & Wifi based location tracker with microphone.
A very common type of device, similar to what is found in those extremely suspicious looking USB cables:
https://t.co/uBhi7tRhiW

2/n


The headers are designed to attach a specific USB connector that fits a micro SD card in the tip.
3/n


A repurposed board is very “hobby implant” but... we see the SIM card was removed, which would make this a wifi-only implant. Yet an external GSM antenna is attached and only the ground for power? Cant see the other side though...
4/n


Upon closer inspection, they removed the SIM slot housing and soldered a SIM card directly to the pads. That gains a little more space.

Thanks @dcuthbert

5/n