Once again the nighmarish scenario of the Nigerian military…

In the early months of 2020 the Nigerian Army recorded unexpectedly significant gains against Boko Haram insurgents. Remember this was the period Boko Haram insurgents were surrendering to the Nigerian army by the hundreds. Who remembers the audio tape of Abubakar Shekau

...weeping to Allah/God for intervention. This was the first time Field artillery troops coordinated with the NAF for round the clock air and artillery bombardment. This affected the morale of BHTs who have never experienced this level of firepower and began surrendering en mass

Things got so bad Shekau sent assassination squads to go after BHT commanders surrendering. This did nothing to deter the exodus of frightened fighters. The army was having a hard time processing the hundreds surrendering. A BHT commander surrendered with his wife and children.

What happened next? Boko Haram supposedly attacked a Chadian Army base, a few kilometres from U.S and French military bases for NINE straight hours. Killed 100 Chadian troops and escaped on canoes with caches of weapon. Think about it. For nine hours the vaunted Chadian army

was powerless to enage the jihadists attacking their base. The French air force, who months prior pounded rebels from southern Libya heading for Dijamena for three whole days was also powerless. So also was the United States.

As news of the attack revebrated our francophone neighbours declared total war on Boko Haram. Idris Derby himself dorned his military regalia, invited the media to tow along. Chadian forces attacked ISWAP base in Lake Chad, claimed to kill a thousand. Released photos of Chadian

Troops with thousands of rifles, Claimed Chadian forces had liberated many Nigerian cities, called on the media to plead with the Nigerian govt to come occupy liberated cities and gave the Nigerian army an April 22 ultimatum to occupy cities liberated by Chadian forces.

Once again we are witnessing similar moves. Nigeria's Defence Minister orders troops to carry out aggresive military operations in the Lake Chad area "and beyond" if necessary. 24 hours later the Chadian Ambassadors visits Army HQ urging the Nigerian government to open the border

between Nigeria and Chad pledging Chads willingness to work with Nigeria. Talking about historic ties, Nigeria and Chad are brothers and sisters blabla. Abuja will think about it when this operation is over. Now Boko Haram has developed the capacity to take on Niger and cameroon

Boko Haram has in recent days carried out simultaneous attacks in Cameroon and Niger, killing dozens. Just today another 14 people were killed in Cameroon and over 50 in Niger by Boko Haram.

The attacks in Niger is even more stupendous. Boko Haram insurgents stormed a town in Niger and in an operation that lasted nearly 2 hours casually searched and assembled the villagers. Killed up to 50 people and casually left. The Niger-riene military was absent,

..despite the fact this is an election period. The French and Americans who operate three drone base, 1800 U.S Special Forces troops and Squadron of French fighter jets and helicopters were absent.

Nigerian intelligence has intercepted plots by external entities

to force the Nigerian military to withdraw forces deployed in the lake Chad area to tackle domestic insurrection by triggering sectarian and religious insurrection. Exactly the same play book as the last time when attacks by well armed bandits forced the army to divert precious

..resources from the northeast to tackle waves of simultaneous attacks by bandits in the northwest stretching the Nigerian army to near breaking point. At one point the Air Force had to deploy troops to the northwest theater to help the army.

The exact same playbook. Do not be suprised if Terrorist Right Groups like Amnesty International rear their ugly head with accusations in the coming days.

The problem for the powers that be is that unlike before the Nigerian military is better prepared and is willing to cross

..the rubicon if it comes to that. Our intelligence service are firing on all cylinders twart covert Ops to sabotage the war effort.