BREAKING: The EU and UK have agreed a trusted trader scheme that would mean exemptions from tariffs for up to 98pc of goods flowing between Great Britain and Northern Ireland from January 1, @rtenews has learned.
The other 2% wd potentially avail of rebates from any tariffs.

2/ Tariffs would mostly only apply if no free trade agreement is concluded between the EU and UK.

Both sides have also agreed that agrifood products coming from GB to Northern Ireland will be exempt from requiring export health certificates for a period of at least three months
3/ These have proved the biggest concern for UK supermarket chains in NI, who rely on large and mixed consignments of food coming from GB depots.
Export health certificates can cost up to £200 per product and need to be signed off by a designated veterinary inspector.
4/ It’s understood the issue of how supermkts will comply with EU food safety rules could be dealt with through a UK commitment - possibly a declaration - that it does not intend to change its food safety rules from Jan 1. At that point the rules will be the same as the EU's.
5/ The trusted trade scheme would be subject to a review, or sunset clause, three and a half years after the Protocol comes into effect, according to an internal EU briefing
6/ If the EU is not satisfied with the way the scheme is operating, it can trigger an emergency brake through the EU UK Joint Committee, which is tasked with implementing the Northern Ireland Protocol.
7/ Alternatively, the system could be tweaked rather than halted completely, depending on how it is operating. The 3.5 yr review clause is deliberately timed to precede the first vote of the NI Assembly on whether or not the trade provisions of the Protocol should be continued.
8/ This is under the consent clause of the Protocol.
9/ It’s understood that chilled meats, sausages, mince and unfrozen prepared meals - which are prohibited and restricted from entering the EU from third countries - will be permitted for a period of time, pending a review by both sides.
10/ It’s understood that once a derogation period has elapsed, NI supermarkets will have to source such products locally or from the South.
11/ RTE News also understands that the various grace periods and derogations will give supermarkets time to improve their own food traceability and stock management systems...
12/ ...which in turn could play a role in reassuring MS as to the safety of food supplies entering the single mltarket from GB, which will be a third country.
13/ The EU and UK have also agreed in principle that exit summary declarations for goods going from NI-GB will not be required +the information will instead be generated from data - such as that held on manifests - that already exists for NI-GB ferry consignments.
14/ EU officials who are entitled to monitor the implementation of checks and controls at Northern ports will be based in temporary office space, such as co-working facilities, it’s understood.
15/ These officials, mainly from the customs sphere, will be recruited from member states and rotated in and out of Northern Ireland.
16/ However, EU member states will also be entitled to monitor UK customs databases within their own capitals as part of their surveillance of goods entering Northern Ireland, and thereby entering the rest of the single market.
17/ The College of EU Commissioners is this morning being briefed on the agreement, and both sides are expected to publish the details tomorrow.

ENDS

More from Tony Connelly

Irish foreign min Simon Coveney says he is "more optimistic" about progress in the EU UK Joint Committee over implementing the Northern Ireland Protocol.

2/ Last night @rtenews reported that if a free trade deal were to be concluded, a sequence would be put in place at the end of which the UK would drop the clauses in the Internal Market Bill which breach the Protocol.

3/ This morning, the EU’s representative on the Joint Committee, which implements the Protocol, said he would be meeting his counterpart Michael Gove in Brussels today.


4/ Mr Coveney said: “There is more cause to be optimistic and positive in the context of the Joint Committee and its work in terms of implementing the Withdrawal Agreement and the Protocol on Ireland and Northern Ireland.

5/ “Maros Sefcovic and Michael Gove have made really practical progress on many of the outstanding issues that were not resolved up until a few weeks ago.

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A THREAD ON @SarangSood

Decoded his way of analysis/logics for everyone to easily understand.

Have covered:
1. Analysis of volatility, how to foresee/signs.
2. Workbook
3. When to sell options
4. Diff category of days
5. How movement of option prices tell us what will happen

1. Keeps following volatility super closely.

Makes 7-8 different strategies to give him a sense of what's going on.

Whichever gives highest profit he trades in.


2. Theta falls when market moves.
Falls where market is headed towards not on our original position.


3. If you're an options seller then sell only when volatility is dropping, there is a high probability of you making the right trade and getting profit as a result

He believes in a market operator, if market mover sells volatility Sarang Sir joins him.


4. Theta decay vs Fall in vega

Sell when Vega is falling rather than for theta decay. You won't be trapped and higher probability of making profit.