BC TRADING
Saved by @vsamk

I gathered the best Youtube videos to learn Expiry trading for free.

If you want to master expiry trading, open this thread: 🧵

Collaborated with @niki_poojary

 Here's what you'll find in this thread:

1. ATM strikes to zero
2. Big Gaps on Expiry Day
3. How to trade expiry when Nifty is behaving differently
4. Using Data points to trade expiry
5. Play for a flat move
6. How to profit post 3 pm exploiting the close price?

Let's go ↓
1. How to develop a framework to trade in ATM strikes on expiry day? Subhasish Pani on @vivbajaj Sir's channel.

One of call or put at ATM is going to go to zero.

Whichever is moving rapidly has a higher probability of going ATM/ITM. Sell the slower one.

https://t.co/kx97lDW68J
2. How to trade a big gap up on expiry day?

If market bias is bullish and a gap-up happens, it comes for selling.

Can buy puts at the breakout of an inside candle as the market has a good probability of at least heading toward the previous day's close.

https://t.co/3MZ0ZmMzgL
3. How to trade in Bank Nifty if it has already moved 160 points from its high to low by 11:30? @ThetaGainers

Sell near otms with double stop loss.

Avoid if stuck in a very small range.

Get out of both by 1 pm.

https://t.co/eaRdJusbC8
4. Subhasish Pani explains how to play expiry when Nifty and Bank Nifty both are behaving differently.

By the way, his zero to hero logics are:
1. Big candles are supports/resistances
2. Gaps act as S/R
3. Closing price acts as S/R

https://t.co/9Lt4B9vqEp
5. How to use data points to trade expiry? @ThetaGainers

Starts by selling 15-20 rs strangles at 9:20 which are very far otm.

By 10:30 am he starts to look at Change in OI strikes on line charts to predict zero strikes.

https://t.co/Ob8y8BqEAY
6. How to make a profit post 3 pm by exploiting the close price? @itjegan

Sells straddles, if the call and put premiums are 4x of the other.

Sells whichever option goes below 10 with an SL.

This alone accounts for 10-15% of his expiry day profits.

https://t.co/tepf9bcH65
7. Reeyansh from @ThetaGainers explains how to do gamma scalping on expiry days by buying options.

Waits for a range to form on expiry till 1:30 pm.

If any move comes, buys options with good risk-reward.

Or buy both at 1:30 and square off when double.

https://t.co/IUr4Y5m4EN
8. How @itjegan Sir makes a high profit on expiry days?

Re-enters strikes, locks the profits, and keeps re-entering and does adjustments.

Drawdowns are less compared to his profits by doing all these.

https://t.co/M3RjWXJbnf
9. How to use PCR and Change in Open Interest to gauge the direction of the expiry?

Explained well by @nitinmurarkasmc and @PushkarRThakur.

Whichever side has a high Change in OI whether call or put look to buy options on the opposite side near VWAP.

https://t.co/biUbChJmQW
Hope you discovered something new (because that's the point!)

If you did, share it with a friend

Hop back up to retweet the first tweet

See past threads here: @AdityaTodmal & @niki_poojary

If you enjoyed this thread here's another one:
https://t.co/plDuAaKsCR
Anyone looking to up their expiration trading game should find the information in these videos and concepts sufficient.

To develop yourself, continually use these ideas or simply pay attention.

Work hard today to earn money!

The End.

More from Aditya Todmal

Aditya Todmal
Aditya Todmal
@AdityaTodmal
The most successful stock trader from America & the winner of all the trading competitions he competes in.

20 Powerful tweets to learn from @markminervini

A 🧵thread...

Jesse Livermore


Never let a loss exceed 8% changed his trading game for the


Key early decisions to make for your trading


Never listen to
MARKMINERVINILEARNINGS , ALL , MARK MINERVINI RULE BOOK
Aditya Todmal
Aditya Todmal
@AdityaTodmal
Best FREE website for FNO Heatmap - ICICI DIRECT

https://t.co/honvUA9lmx

Advantages:
1. Quantitative Analysis in one place
2. Easy to find stocks where action taking place
3. Find the exact price levels at which OI is being added.

(1/5)


For example, Nifty Heatmap Can easily scan for

1. Long Build up (Price up and OI up)
2. Long Unwinding (Price down and OI down)
3. Short Buildup (Price down and OI up)
4. Short Covering (Price up and OI down)

(2/5)


1. 15 mins Built up can check in any stock
2. Easy to find Intraday Bullish and bearish trend
3. Eg of Bajaj Auto who was up 9% on Friday. Long Built up had started in the morning itself.
4. Shows the quantities also which are being traded in those intervals.

(3/5)


5. There are 25 time intervals available everyday.
6. If a stock has to go up or down a lot it will be heavily dominated in these time intervals.
7. Bajaj Auto had 14 times long built up on Friday.
8. IndusInd Bank had 13 short built ups on Friday. IndusInd fell 3.5%.

(4/5)


Some people5 check the last 45 mins data of the day too to predict the gap opening for the next day.
Data gives them additional conviction, especially if huge contracts addition is taking place.

(5/5)

---------------------------------------------------------
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Aditya Todmal
Aditya Todmal
@AdityaTodmal
A Thread on the Boss himself @Mitesh_Engr

Mitesh Sir's Positional Option Selling 101:

• How to find direction
• Which options to sell
• How to deploy capital
• Exit criteria
• What ROI he targets weekly
• What % risk he takes

Done with the help of @niki_poojary


How @Mitesh_Engr Sir finds the direction?

• Daily charts S/R
• 75 min charts S/R
• Intraday trend
• Always play directional
• Never trades in strategies


Which options to sell in weekly expiry according to @Mitesh_Engr?

• Weekly candle High/Low
• Sell 1% away options from those
• Exit when levels breached


Position Sizing by @Mitesh_Engr Sir.

How to deploy your capital?

• First sell 20%
• Pyramid the next day
• When to exit
• What to do when view goes wrong
• What to do with idle capital


Some important tweets of @Mitesh_Engr Sir

• What Data to look at
• ROI for safe players per month
• Max risk per day
• Gather knowledge and play directional
• Never play strategies
OPTIONS LEARNING , ALL , MPLEARNINGS
Aditya Todmal
Aditya Todmal
@AdityaTodmal
Saving money on Taxes is a superpower.

Learn it and you can make money faster than ever.

Use these 3 Threads to master Saving Taxes in the next 5 min:

Collaborated with @niki_poojary:

First of all, you need to open a company account if you want to save the highest


1) If you are earning more than 50 lakhs, study this thread.

Listed out the benefits of trading in a corporate


2) How can Individuals save on taxes.

(@niki_poojary


3) How do fund managers and traders save on
TAXES
Aditya Todmal
Aditya Todmal
@AdityaTodmal
I spent over 100 hours studying the best patterns in Technical Analysis taught to me by @niki_poojary.

Turns out, patterns trading is simple—if you follow these 8 Patterns:

Let's start: ↓

While studying her Twitter profile and with constant talks with her, I found these to be the most important patterns she focuses on always.

Then I wrote a small summary of what each pattern means.

Also attached are some examples from her tweets.

1/ Cup and handle Pattern

Happens during an uptrend.

The cup portion has a U-shaped appearance.

The bears are getting weaker as they are unable to drive the prices below the last low.

Subhasish Pani uses this a lot in stocks to spot bullish trades.


Eg


Eg
ALL , TRADING

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Trader knight
@Traderknight007
A thread on SCALING IN - OUT METHOD -


What is scaling in - out?

1. Scaling in is adding on to the positions when they move in our favor (Pyramiding).

2. Scaling - out is exiting the portion of the position when the trade moves in our favor.

I have explained about pyramiding in previous tweets.

// Why use scaling out instead of exiting all position at once ?

When you are using ALL - out method where you exit positions at once, mostly you use wider Trail SL as you want to capture big moves and exit all when trail sl hits.

The problem with this method is that either you make too big or many times your medium size winners turns out to become Scratch trades.

So, when we use the scaling out method, we are trying to capture most of our medium size trades , so that they do not turn into scratch trades.

// How to use scaling out method -

Say we have to got a signal to enter in a trade, and we have to buy 1200 qty according to our Position sizing.

So, we have to divide this 1200 qty into parts, how much? It depends on you.

We can divide into 3 parts, each part 400 qty.
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1/

Get a cup of coffee.

In this thread, I'll help you understand Geometric Expectations.


2/

Imagine we have an investment opportunity.

If the investment goes well, we get to double our money.

But if it goes badly, we'll end up losing three fourths of it.

There's a 50/50 chance of either outcome.

The question: is this a good bet or not?

3/

A simple way to approach this question is to calculate the bet's "expectation".

For every $1 we bet, there are 2 possibilities:

1. The lucky case, where we double our money and end up with $2, and

2. The unlucky case, where we lose (3/4)'th to end up with just $0.25.

4/

Each of these outcomes is equally likely.

So, on *average*, every $1 we put in turns into ($2 + $0.25)/2 = $1.125.

This is a *positive* 12.5% return.

Such bets are called *positive expectation* bets. On average, we expect to *make* (rather than *lose*) money on them.

5/

Suppose we could take many turns betting at these odds.

In any one turn, we could of course lose money.

But because our bet has positive expectation, *over time* we expect to make money.
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@unseenvalue
On this auspicious day of #GuruPurnima, happy to share an easy to read and an exceptionally worthwhile investment. I plan to make a thread that will hopefully help us invest and live better. Thank you @awealthofcs 🙏🏻


Experience has taught me that less is always more when making investment decisions. Simplicity trumps complexity. Conventional gives you much better odds than exotic. A long-term process is more important than short-term outcomes.

And perspective goes much further than tactics. Tactics are useless to investors in a matter of days—sometimes in a matter of hours. But perspective is something that stays with the investor for a lifetime. It allows you to adapt to the changing market and economic landscape.

While keeping it simple won’t make it any easier to predict the future—no one has a crystal ball—it can give you the necessary capacity to make rational decisions, no matter what happens next.

Perspective is so important because, without it, even the most intelligent of investors can be ruined from a lack of self-awareness in their own abilities. Investors that fail to put the news or market moves into the proper context....[1/2]
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Val Katayev
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@ValKatayev
A former CIA math genius built a quantitative trading fund that earned more than $100 BILLION for investors.

At 66% return/yr, his track record destroys that of Warren Buffet, George Soros, Carl Icahn, and every investor who ever lived.

The Smartest Billionaire in Finance:


1/28
If you'd have put $100 into Jim Simons' Medallion Fund in 1988, it would be $400M+ today.

By contrast,

$100 in the S&P 500 in 1988, would be $2,000 in 2022. (roughly)

Let that sink in.

2/28
Jim Simons's Medallion fund has had unreasonably high annual returns of 66% across 30 years.

For comparison, Buffet clocked in at about 20%/yr.

Many funds don't make that in a lifetime.

3/28
Even during the financial crisis of 2008, it made a net return of 82.38%.

They make so much money for their investors that they charge 44% in management fees.

The industry standard is 20%.


4/28
It uses math calculations to decide the bulk of its trades, & none of the market trends apply to how it performs.

It wins by finding order in chaos.

The fund is managed by Renaissance Technologies, the parent company founded by the mathematical genius Jim Simons.
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20 lessons from trading legend Stan Weinstein:

Volume is a gauge of how powerful the buyers are... Never trust a breakout that isn't accompanied by a significant increase in volume.

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We're basically fucked.

The tech world has gotten so huge, self-reinforcing, and insulated from reality they can no longer even vaguely look at themselves (and their actions) as others do. They just live on a different planet than most people.

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Techies take weird, improbable visions, and make them realities: some BS pitch deck to a VC, mixed with money and people, really does turn into some novel thing.

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Did you know?

When Saudi Arabia's King visited India in 1955, PM Nehru ordered all the Hindu Temples and Idols of Hindu Deities that came in Saudi King's way to be covered up.
Our temples are the architectural marvels in their own league.


Each of our temples tells the story of our rich history and cultural heritage. Was Nehru that ashamed of his own nation's heritage that he had to cover them up or there was some other reason? The answer would be best known to him only.

PM Nehru invited the then Saudi King Saud bin Abdul Aziz to India who accepted the invitation and planned a 17 day long official visit to India in 1955. Saudi King had brought a large delegation with him and he had to visit various Indian cities like Mumbai, Hyderabad, Agra,


Aligarh, Shimla, Mysore and Varanasi. However, when Saudi King reached Varanasi, Nehru ordered to cover all the temples and Idols with curtains that came in the way of the Royal Convoy. During his stay in Varanasi, Govt buildings were painted with the words "Kalma Tayyiba".


'Kalma Tayyiba' means 'There is not God but only Allah and Mohammed is his messenger'. In addition to it, Pooja and Aartis were also stopped at temples. I can call it the appeasement politics of the highest order and Nehru was indeed the greatest appeaser of all times.
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1/ So here is a thread on how I turned $32,000 into $1.2m and back to pretty much zero (once taxes are paid).

Just note, I am not bitter or salty in any way at all, the last 2 years have been an amazing ride - travelled the world, been wealthy, been poor.

2/ Dec '16, my advertising agency folded, I had a little bit of money left and I put $32k into Bitcoin and Ether. As it started to go up I diversified into everything, Monero, Dash, this that, any crap - even Ripplecoin. Everything just kept going up.

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4/ Thinking I was an absolute genius I decided to start a bunch of businesses. As silly as it sounds I had this goal of making $5m as I wanted to buy Bedford Town Football Club and get them in the league, and as Crypto was going up forever I needed 6 months.

5/ So:
- Trading (income 1)
- Podcast (income 2)
- Mining (income 3)
- Mining pool (income 4)
- Consulting (income 5)

Yes - all of the above as a one-man army :)
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Meet Shah
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List of companies with more than 50% Market Share:

1) Maruti Suzuki (passenger cars)
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3) CDSL (investors accounts)
4) Interglobe Aviation (air traffic passengers)
5) GMM Pfaudler (glass lined equipment)

6) Asian Paints (decorative paints)
7) Colgate (oral care)
8) Symphony (coolers)
9) PGHH (female care & vaporub)
10) La Opala Rg (opalware)
11) HLE Glasscoat (filtration & drying equipment)
12) Delta Corp (online poker games)
13) Bajaj Auto (3W segment)
14) Vinati Organics (IBB)

15) OCCL (insoluble sulphur)
16) LMW (textile machinery)
17) Bajaj Consumer (almond hair oil)
18) Indiamart Intermesh (online B2B Classified space)
19) Vst Tillers (power tillers)
20) Sanghvi Movers (overall domestic crane hiring market)
21) Emami (antiseptic & male grooming)

List of companies with more than 60% Market Share:

1) Concor (domestic container cargo transport)
2) Exide (lead batteries)
3) Naukri (Indian job market space)
4) Praj (ethanol plant installing)
5) ACE (mobile & tower cranes)
6) Pidilite (adhesives)
7) Jamna Auto (leaf spring)

8) CAMS (RTA within mutual fund industry)
9) Time Technoplast (polymer based industrial packaging)
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@VIBHU_Tweet
THE UNTOLD TALE OF THE LESSER KNOWN WARRIORS:JOGRAJ GURJAR & RAMPYARI GURJAR AND HOW DID THEY DEFEAT THE CRUELEST ISLAMIC INVADER, TIMUR LANG.

Timur Lang, was the founder of Timurid Empire. He was born in April 1336 CE, somewhere in central asia.


During his reign, he conquered Persia, Egypt, Central Asia and emerged as the most powerful and heinous ruler. He was a religious fanatic like the rest of the Islamic invaders who tried to invade India.

Timur Lang decided to invade India in 1398 as he heard about India's splendid wealth and had a desire to conquer India which his ancestor Genghis Khan couldn't do.


After Firoz Shah's demise in1388, Delhi Sultanate was in a state of political turmoil.During this time, Timur sent his grandson Pir Mohammad to attack Indian front. He invaded Multan&was able to defeat Iqbal Khan's brother but when he met with resistance,he asked help from Timur.


Iqbal Khan secured his hold on Delhi under Muhammad Tughluq after Firoz Shah died.
Timur provided the required back-up to his grandson with 100000 men approx. Timur sacked and plundered all the cities coming in his way &later in October 1398 reunited with his grandson.
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