BC TRADING INDICATOR

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Nitin R
@finallynitin 2 years, 11 months ago 469 views

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I have a very simple method for swing trading in cash stocks.

With a Tradingview script at the end, here is a thread🧵 on my Simple Swing strategy: 👇

The Simple Swing indicator is based on T3 Moving Average, which was first described by Tim Tillson, in the search for a “perfect” moving average.

The T3MA incorporates a smoothing technique which allows it to plot curves more gradual than common MA & with a smaller lag.

During most of the time in a trend, price will stay well away from the T3MA. Thus, a decisive close beyond the T3MA often indicates the end of a trend.

The T3MA ribbon consists of a fast and a slow moving average (MA).

The ribbon is green when the fast MA is above the slow MA. This green ribbon represents the upswing. Similarly, the red ribbon represents the downswing.

The traditional signals are based on crossovers between fast & slow MA. These are the green & red ribbons representing the “confirmed” swings.

These traditional signals are lagging. So, we use the Early Swing signals.

Early Upswing starts when T3 ribbon is red, but price has closed above the ribbon. This is the E0 candle.

Similarly, Early Downswing starts when T3 ribbon is green, but price has closed below the ribbon. This is the Ex candle.

The Entry is taken above the high of the E0 candle. Look for constructive price action at this juncture, preferably a descending trendline breakout.

The major part of an exit strategy in swing trading is selling into strength.

Here, we exit based on 2 “sell into strength” components & 1 “trend-following” component.

You can scroll down my timeline to review a number of trades taken by me with the SimpleSwing strategy.

The swings are an inherent nature of the markets, so with proper risk management, the strategy is bound to be profitable.

Here is the link for the Tradingview script of Simple Swing:

https://t.co/1hY3De4Vhg

Hope you find the Simple Swing concept useful. I thank my friend @J250717, without whose help this strategy wouldn’t have seen the light of the day!

If you'd like to read this thread in relatively more detail, find it here:
https://t.co/fjEbnG1Tqm

More from Nitin R

Nitin
@finallynitin

Why do I use hollow candles & not traditional Japanese candlesticks? Are hollow candles just a cosmetic change, or do they provide us with some extra information that a traditional candlestick doesn’t?

A thread 🧵:

Traditional Japanese candlesticks are all solid. They are either green or red (colors may vary, but you get the point).

Hollow candles use two attributes to provide information regarding the price:
- Color of the candle
- Whether the body of the candle is filled or not

So, a green hollow candle can have its close > open (just like traditional candlesticks), or its open > close (here its body will be filled). Similarly, a red hollow candle can have its open > close (traditional), or its close > open (here its body will be hollow).

The colour of a hollow candle is decided by comparing the closing price of the current candle with that of the previous candle. So, a red-color candle (irrespective of whether it’s filled or not) means that the current candle’s close is lower than the previous candle’s close.

Nitin R
@finallynitin

Here is the Chartink dashboard with moving averages plotted on total count of stocks above a certain moving average.

Further the count deviates from its moving average, weaker the move becomes.

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Nitin R
@finallynitin

@ManishK56801020 Just change the value of ADX from the default of 14 to 22, & hide the DMI+ & DMI- lines.

Nitin R
@finallynitin

Here’s how to use Tradingview to quickly compare multiple symbols from a particular sector among themselves, & with the index👇

I’ve made a Tradingview watchlist of some sectors which do not find a place in any particular sectoral index. This list currently has 138 NSE stocks plus NIFTY. You can add more.
(List is a work-in-progress, & by no means complete.)

You can select the index & names from a particular sector, & compare their price movements. One can visually eyeball outperforming names in that sector.

e.g. Ship-building MAZDOCK has given a 232% return in past 1 year, as against 7% for NIFTY:

Here is the watchlist. Save it to your Tradingview & enjoy!

Nitin
@finallynitin

I try to look for exhaustion of supply, drying down of volumes, & narrowing of daily/weekly ranges. Enter after an upmove, on the lowest volume & the smallest daily range, as the stock forms a low volume doji/inside bar while in pullback/retest at/in/near the zone of 10MA & 20MA.

I m watching your posts... amazing sir.... thanks for sharing.... can you share what is your trade set up
— Sahasra (@h_shanmugavelu) March 21, 2022

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A THREAD ON @SarangSood

Decoded his way of analysis/logics for everyone to easily understand.

Have covered:
1. Analysis of volatility, how to foresee/signs.
2. Workbook
3. When to sell options
4. Diff category of days
5. How movement of option prices tell us what will happen

1. Keeps following volatility super closely.

Makes 7-8 different strategies to give him a sense of what's going on.

Whichever gives highest profit he trades in.

I am quite different from your style. I follow the market's volatility very closely. I have mock positions in 7-8 different strategies which allows me to stay connected. Whichever gives best profit is usually the one i trade in.
— Sarang Sood (@SarangSood) August 13, 2019

2. Theta falls when market moves.
Falls where market is headed towards not on our original position.

Anilji most of the time these days Theta only falls when market moves. So the Theta actually falls where market has moved to, not where our position was in the first place. By shifting we can come close to capturing the Theta fall but not always.
— Sarang Sood (@SarangSood) June 24, 2019

3. If you're an options seller then sell only when volatility is dropping, there is a high probability of you making the right trade and getting profit as a result

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This week has been great so far. The main aim is to be in the right side of the volatility, rest the market will reward.
— Sarang Sood (@SarangSood) July 3, 2019

4. Theta decay vs Fall in vega

Sell when Vega is falling rather than for theta decay. You won't be trapped and higher probability of making profit.

There is a difference between theta decay & fall in vega. Decay is certain but there is no guaranteed profit as delta moves can increase cost. Fall in vega on the other hand is backed by a powerful force that sells options and gives handsome returns. Our job is to identify them.
— Sarang Sood (@SarangSood) February 12, 2020