
I have a very simple method for swing trading in cash stocks.
With a Tradingview script at the end, here is a thread🧵 on my Simple Swing strategy: 👇


During most of the time in a trend, price will stay well away from the T3MA. Thus, a decisive close beyond the T3MA often indicates the end of a trend.

The ribbon is green when the fast MA is above the slow MA. This green ribbon represents the upswing. Similarly, the red ribbon represents the downswing.

These traditional signals are lagging. So, we use the Early Swing signals.

Similarly, Early Downswing starts when T3 ribbon is green, but price has closed below the ribbon. This is the Ex candle.


Here, we exit based on 2 “sell into strength” components & 1 “trend-following” component.

The swings are an inherent nature of the markets, so with proper risk management, the strategy is bound to be profitable.

If you'd like to read this thread in relatively more detail, find it here:
https://t.co/fjEbnG1Tqm
More from Nitin R
I m watching your posts... amazing sir.... thanks for sharing.... can you share what is your trade set up
— Sahasra (@h_shanmugavelu) March 21, 2022
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==========================
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# Using Google Colab
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Decoded his way of analysis/logics for everyone to easily understand.
Have covered:
1. Analysis of volatility, how to foresee/signs.
2. Workbook
3. When to sell options
4. Diff category of days
5. How movement of option prices tell us what will happen
1. Keeps following volatility super closely.
Makes 7-8 different strategies to give him a sense of what's going on.
Whichever gives highest profit he trades in.
I am quite different from your style. I follow the market's volatility very closely. I have mock positions in 7-8 different strategies which allows me to stay connected. Whichever gives best profit is usually the one i trade in.
— Sarang Sood (@SarangSood) August 13, 2019
2. Theta falls when market moves.
Falls where market is headed towards not on our original position.
Anilji most of the time these days Theta only falls when market moves. So the Theta actually falls where market has moved to, not where our position was in the first place. By shifting we can come close to capturing the Theta fall but not always.
— Sarang Sood (@SarangSood) June 24, 2019
3. If you're an options seller then sell only when volatility is dropping, there is a high probability of you making the right trade and getting profit as a result
He believes in a market operator, if market mover sells volatility Sarang Sir joins him.
This week has been great so far. The main aim is to be in the right side of the volatility, rest the market will reward.
— Sarang Sood (@SarangSood) July 3, 2019
4. Theta decay vs Fall in vega
Sell when Vega is falling rather than for theta decay. You won't be trapped and higher probability of making profit.
There is a difference between theta decay & fall in vega. Decay is certain but there is no guaranteed profit as delta moves can increase cost. Fall in vega on the other hand is backed by a powerful force that sells options and gives handsome returns. Our job is to identify them.
— Sarang Sood (@SarangSood) February 12, 2020