What is Relative Strength (RS) and how to identify it (Thread)

Focusing on stocks exhibiting strong Relative Strength is one of the keys to achieving superior returns. This is one of the core ideas of #CANSLIM

In one sentence showing RS means outperforming other stocks both during market uptrends and downtrends.
In this thread we will cover examples, how to spot it, and how to use it to make sure you are in the top stocks.

If you want to outperform the indexes, logic says you have to be invested in stocks doing the same.
First Some Basic Terminology:

RS Rating: @IBDinvestors Proprietary measure of RS scored 1-99. Stocks with an RS rating of 80 have outperformed 80% of stocks over the past year.

RS Line: The Line plotted by dividing each day’s stock price/ price of the SPX.
The value of the RS line itself does not mean anything, but the trend of this line is very important.

-Note RSI (Relative strength index) is something completely unrelated to the concept of this thread.
RS is the result of supply and demand. Stocks with poor RS are in a distributive phase by major players and institutions. During corrections, such stocks will be sold first instead of accumulated. $IBM is an example of poor RS.

RS rating: 7, decreasing RS line
Strong RS on the other hand is shown by stocks that are under accumulation. Funds are tripping over each other to build positions. This results in the stock price being “supported” even during market turbulence.

NET is an example
RS rating of 98, ⬆️ RS line and # of funds.
So how can you identify Relative strength?

There are many different ways summarized extremely well by @duckman1717 in the document below and I will expand on a couple of these concepts.
First Case Study: $TSLA

Makes a higher Low when the SPX makes a lower one
Stays above 200day SMA while SPX undercuts by 28%

The Leaders often bottom before the indexes

$TSLA increased 800% from this point in 9 months
2nd Case Study: $DOCU

Higher Low again
RS Line hitting new all time highs during correction
Strong bounce once market pressure lifts
Broke out to new all time highs shortly after correction

$DOCU increased 120% in 3 months
3rd Case Study $NIO

Trends above all Key Moving Averages
RS Line in Uptrend
Forms Tight Price areas then breaks out.
Pullbacks are on lower volume than advances

Increased 1000% in 6 months while trending with the 21ema
4th Case Study $FTCH

Breakout on large volume to all time highs
Many up days in a row
Upside reversals near the bottom of price consolidations
Tight price action during correction and right before BO

Increased 100% in 1.5 months from the breakout
5th Case Study: $CRSR

Red to green move on a gap down day
Upside reversal
Prior Uptrend and Volume Contraction within base
These same concepts hold true on shorter timeframes. $TDOC today showed RS for much of the day as it ignored the market intraday pullback for the most part

5 minute chart with SPX comparison
Also take note of #RS changes in character, these can make the start of a strong uptrend/downtrend

For instance:

- Earnings gap ups from Bases on large volume
- Newfound respect for a key moving average

Avoid

- Gap downs on large volume
- Breaking previously respected KMAs
General #RelativeStrength Signs. These are indications that institutions are supporting a stock

- Red to green moves
- Green on Red days
- High DCR +WCR compared to $SPX
- Closing well off lows
- Tight price action compared to $SPX
- RS line ⬆️
- Pullbacks are on low vol
So now how should you use RS?

- Pick stocks with increasing RS Lines + other Signs of RS
- On red days track what is showing RS
- During corrections cut weak stocks first
- During Bear Markets track RS signs- Future Leaders
I hope you found this thread helpful and if so feel free to check out my other ones and retweet:

https://t.co/gCwio1qYWX
https://t.co/4nYwV8Zu2A
https://t.co/ZKQPFIVrWu
https://t.co/INUSXTYoGo

More from Richard Moglen 📽️🦁🚢

How to time the market (thread)

There is the old saying that “Time in the market beats timing the market” The chart below from Dr. Wish’s @WishingWealth presentation at the @TraderLion_ conference shows that to be false.

Full presentation:
https://t.co/o2f21GBXci


The green line is unattainable realistically, however, missing volatile times during corrections yields better performance than buy and hold and we can aim for the green line.

Investors usually only show the gray and red results.

More

There are many strategies for investing/trading in the stock market operating within different timeframes and with different objectives.

That is of course what creates a market and opportunity. Timing the market may not be what works for you or what fits your goals/lifestyle.

However, everyone involved in the market is here to make money over time and corrections can cause huge drawdowns in the high alpha names negating incredible performance during strong market uptrends.

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