BC TRADERLION
Saved by @SeekerHari

What is Relative Strength (RS) and how to identify it (Thread)

 Focusing on stocks exhibiting strong Relative Strength is one of the keys to achieving superior returns. This is one of the core ideas of #CANSLIM

In one sentence showing RS means outperforming other stocks both during market uptrends and downtrends.
In this thread we will cover examples, how to spot it, and how to use it to make sure you are in the top stocks.

If you want to outperform the indexes, logic says you have to be invested in stocks doing the same.
First Some Basic Terminology:

RS Rating: @IBDinvestors Proprietary measure of RS scored 1-99. Stocks with an RS rating of 80 have outperformed 80% of stocks over the past year.

RS Line: The Line plotted by dividing each day’s stock price/ price of the SPX.
The value of the RS line itself does not mean anything, but the trend of this line is very important.

-Note RSI (Relative strength index) is something completely unrelated to the concept of this thread.
RS is the result of supply and demand. Stocks with poor RS are in a distributive phase by major players and institutions. During corrections, such stocks will be sold first instead of accumulated. $IBM is an example of poor RS.

RS rating: 7, decreasing RS line
Strong RS on the other hand is shown by stocks that are under accumulation. Funds are tripping over each other to build positions. This results in the stock price being “supported” even during market turbulence.

NET is an example
RS rating of 98, ⬆️ RS line and # of funds.
So how can you identify Relative strength?

There are many different ways summarized extremely well by @duckman1717 in the document below and I will expand on a couple of these concepts.
First Case Study: $TSLA

Makes a higher Low when the SPX makes a lower one
Stays above 200day SMA while SPX undercuts by 28%

The Leaders often bottom before the indexes

$TSLA increased 800% from this point in 9 months
2nd Case Study: $DOCU

Higher Low again
RS Line hitting new all time highs during correction
Strong bounce once market pressure lifts
Broke out to new all time highs shortly after correction

$DOCU increased 120% in 3 months
3rd Case Study $NIO

Trends above all Key Moving Averages
RS Line in Uptrend
Forms Tight Price areas then breaks out.
Pullbacks are on lower volume than advances

Increased 1000% in 6 months while trending with the 21ema
4th Case Study $FTCH

Breakout on large volume to all time highs
Many up days in a row
Upside reversals near the bottom of price consolidations
Tight price action during correction and right before BO

Increased 100% in 1.5 months from the breakout
5th Case Study: $CRSR

Red to green move on a gap down day
Upside reversal
Prior Uptrend and Volume Contraction within base
These same concepts hold true on shorter timeframes. $TDOC today showed RS for much of the day as it ignored the market intraday pullback for the most part

5 minute chart with SPX comparison
Also take note of #RS changes in character, these can make the start of a strong uptrend/downtrend

For instance:

- Earnings gap ups from Bases on large volume
- Newfound respect for a key moving average

Avoid

- Gap downs on large volume
- Breaking previously respected KMAs
General #RelativeStrength Signs. These are indications that institutions are supporting a stock

- Red to green moves
- Green on Red days
- High DCR +WCR compared to $SPX
- Closing well off lows
- Tight price action compared to $SPX
- RS line ⬆️
- Pullbacks are on low vol
So now how should you use RS?

- Pick stocks with increasing RS Lines + other Signs of RS
- On red days track what is showing RS
- During corrections cut weak stocks first
- During Bear Markets track RS signs- Future Leaders
I hope you found this thread helpful and if so feel free to check out my other ones and retweet:

https://t.co/gCwio1qYWX
https://t.co/4nYwV8Zu2A
https://t.co/ZKQPFIVrWu
https://t.co/INUSXTYoGo

More from Richard Moglen 📽️🦁🚢

Richard Moglen \U0001f981
Richard Moglen 🦁...
@RichardMoglen
Technical Green Flags

Gap up after Earnings
Relative Strength vs the market
Higher Highs, lows
Retaking MAs
Respect for logical support
Stage 2 Uptrend
Breakouts through resistance on HV
Pocket Pivots
Strong DCRs
Orderly price action
Near or at ATHs
Weekly Vol Spikes

What else?
SCREENERS
Richard Moglen \U0001f4fd\ufe0f\U0001f981\U0001f6a2
Richard Moglen 📽️🦁🚢...
@RichardMoglen
The Importance of Trading Rules (Quick thread)

Last week I sent out this poll asking if people have a written


Over 60% of people said they did not have one.

It's now one of my main goals to get as many people as possible to commit to writing their own rules which codify their goals and methods.

I strongly believe that writing down your strategy especially if you are a new trader/investor will lead to improved and more consistent performance in the stock market.

Trading the markets is a tough business, money is on the line and emotions can run high.

Preparing ahead of time is essential so that in the moment you are just executing your plan.

This is the best way to stay in the game for the long haul
TRADERLION
Advertisement
Richard Moglen \U0001f4fd\ufe0f\U0001f981\U0001f6a2
Richard Moglen 📽️🦁🚢...
@RichardMoglen
What is an Optimal Buy Point? (thread)

Your results as a trader/investor boil down to three statistics

Average Gain - Average % gain on winning Trades
Average Loss -Average % gain on losing Trades
Batting Average - % of trades that are gains

Like in baseball, you can find incredible success in the stock market winning only a handful of times out of ten. In fact a system that is profitable or break even with only a 30-50% BA is more robust and consistent

To establish such as system you need to manage the risk reward relationship (Average gain/Average Loss) so that you can survive winning only 30% of the time.

(I promise this is getting to optimal buy points shortly)

You should shoot for at least a 2:1 gain/loss ratio. 3:1 is even better.

With a 2:1 ratio you can loss 2/3 of the time and break even. With a 3:1 ratio you can lose 75% of the time
TRADERLION
Richard Moglen \U0001f4fd\ufe0f\U0001f981\U0001f6a2
Richard Moglen 📽️🦁🚢...
@RichardMoglen
What is a True Market Leader / TML (Thread)

(And how to find them)

In one sentence a TML is an institutional quality stock in a leading industry group with superior fundamentals and technicals

These are monster stocks which over the course of weeks and months increase +100% to +5,000%

TMLs are popular with traders/investors whose methodology is based on the CANSLIM system developed by William O'Neil.

He called them Model Book Stocks. Huge winners worth studying to identify common characteristics that they all share

O'Neil studied over 1000 model book stocks going back to the 1880s.

Many are shown and discussed in these must read books

How To Make Money in Stocks, O"Neil
https://t.co/S2sShZedUm

Monster Stocks, John Boik @monsterstocks1

A Few Examples courtesy of @SystematiCK_

Pic N Save
TRADERLION
Richard Moglen \U0001f4fd\ufe0f\U0001f6a2
Richard Moglen 📽️🚢...
@RichardMoglen
As Traders, Technical Analysis allows us to Judge Potential, Identify Accumulation, and Manage Risk.

It allows us to see through the noise and interpret price action.

Here is How To Read a Stock Chart For Beginners (Thread)

Let's start with the basics.

When you first pull up a stock chart you will see Price and Volume plotted versus time.


Each price bar represents one period of whatever timeframe you are on

Some people like candlesticks, I personally think Open/High/Low/Close (OHLC) Bars are more intuitive

For each bar/candle, the four important data points of each period are represented:

High
Low
Open
Close.


For each bar, we want to be able to determine whether buyers or sellers are in control and how much conviction they have.

To do this we use our tools: Price and Volume

Thing about turning a price Bar 90 degrees counter clockwise so the high is now on the left and the low is now on the right.

Then picture a game of tug of war with participants representing buying pressure on the left and selling pressure on the right.
TRADERLION

More from Traderlion

TraderLion \U0001f981
TraderLion 🦁
@TraderLion_
4 Simple Steps to Avoid Downtrends 📉 (a thread)

🧵


1. Know the difference between an uptrend & a downtrend 📈📉

At TraderLion, we identify an uptrend as stocks/markets that trade ABOVE a RISING 21DSMA and 50DSMA.

A downtrend occurs when stocks/markets trade BELOW a downsloping 21DSMA/50DSMA.

Let's look at an example 👇

$QQQ from 2020 shows what an uptrend, downtrend, and even chop period looks like.


2. Know when it is really time to make money on the long side.

Swing Traders: when markets/stocks are above the rising 21D
Position Traders: when market/stocks are above the rising 50D

We can take this one step further by understanding what a Power Trend is 💪

The trend is really your friend when we have a Power Trend in the general indexes. A concept coined by the @IBDinvestors team, we must have the following:

✅ Low > 21ema for past 10 sessions
✅ 21EMA > 50SMA for at least 5 sessions
✅ 50SMA slope is positive
✅ Market closes up
TRADERLION
Greg Duncan \U0001f6a2
Greg Duncan 🚢
@GregDuncan_
Why Patience is so Important as a Trader

🧵👇

Have you ever felt like everyone around you is making money and you're not?

That's how I felt today after the market closed, while I was reflecting on my week.

In fact, over the past three months I've felt like this on multiple occasions!

If we look at my equity curve (EC), updated as of today's close, we can see multiple periods in which my account balance did not change.
TRADERLION , SWINGTRADING
Advertisement
Richard Moglen \U0001f4fd\ufe0f\U0001f6a2
Richard Moglen 📽️🚢...
@RichardMoglen
As Traders, Technical Analysis allows us to Judge Potential, Identify Accumulation, and Manage Risk.

It allows us to see through the noise and interpret price action.

Here is How To Read a Stock Chart For Beginners (Thread)

Let's start with the basics.

When you first pull up a stock chart you will see Price and Volume plotted versus time.


Each price bar represents one period of whatever timeframe you are on

Some people like candlesticks, I personally think Open/High/Low/Close (OHLC) Bars are more intuitive

For each bar/candle, the four important data points of each period are represented:

High
Low
Open
Close.


For each bar, we want to be able to determine whether buyers or sellers are in control and how much conviction they have.

To do this we use our tools: Price and Volume

Thing about turning a price Bar 90 degrees counter clockwise so the high is now on the left and the low is now on the right.

Then picture a game of tug of war with participants representing buying pressure on the left and selling pressure on the right.
TRADERLION
TraderLion
TraderLion
@TraderLion_
What is the biggest challenge that traders face?

It's not the market. It's not the competition. The biggest challenge traders face is themselves.

That's why we've put together this list of five short lessons that will help you overcome your next trading obstacle:

1. You need to be disciplined enough to wait for the perfect opportunity.

Successful Traders:

❌ They don't force trades or take unnecessary risks.

✅ They wait patiently for the market to provide them with a high-probability setup before entering a trade.

2. You need to only take calculated risks.

Successful Traders:

❌ They don't take irrational risks or blindly follow the herd.

✅ They make calculated decisions based on their analysis and plan.

3. You must be able to accept losses.

Successful Traders:

❌ They don't try to avoid losses at all costs.

✅ They know that losses are a part of trading and accept them as part of the process.

4. You need to have a defined edge.

Successful Traders:

❌ They don't trade based on hope.

✅ They have a defined edge that they execute repeatedly.
TRADERLION
Richard Moglen \U0001f4fd\ufe0f\U0001f981\U0001f6a2
Richard Moglen 📽️🦁🚢...
@RichardMoglen
An Introduction to Price and Volume Action (thread)

An understanding of price and volume action is essential for judging supply and demand characteristics. This allows you to determine whether a stock is under accumulation or distribution and find proper buy and sell points

This thread is not about memorizing candlestick patterns, but instead understanding how supply and demand create patterns over and over again. The Stock Market is an auction, and the large buyers and sellers leave clues for us to find within price and volume.

Let’s start with one price bar. I personally use OHLC charts but feel free to use what makes sense to you, they each present the same information. A single bar can represent a minute, 15 minutes, a day, or a year. The higher the timeframe the more meaningful the price move.


I view each bar as a match of tug of war between the buyers and the sellers. Buying pressure tries to pull the stock price up while selling pressure tries to pull it down. The winner is reflected in the closing range.
TRADERLION

You May Also Like

Arif Hasan\U0001f1ee\U0001f1f3
Arif Hasan🇮🇳...
@arifhasan18
5 star RSI Strategy by @VishalMalkan

Unconventional approach of 60-40 RSI and range shift concept.

According to him,
whenever the market is bearish,
it won’t be able to cross 60,
and whenever in a bullish trend,
it won’t be able to cross 40.

Like & Retweet for Maximum Reach.

So, instead of the 70-30 Relative Strength Index,
we will use the 60-40 range for the RSI indicator for this strategy.

When the
Monthly and Weekly RSI>60,
& when the RSI takes support at 40 in the daily chart,
it may bounce back and most probably it will not go below 40.

If a bullish candle is formed at the 40 RSI level,
the prices may bounce back, and one can enter the stock.

The stoploss can be placed at the low of that bullish candlestick,
and the target can be the 60 RSI level.

When the
Monthly and Weekly RSI<40,
& when the RSI takes resistance at 60 in the daily chart,
it may bounce back and most probably it will not go above 60

If a bearish candle is formed at the 60 RSI level,
the prices may bounce back from there, & 1 can enter the stock 4 shorting

The stoploss can be placed at the high of that bearish candlestick, and the target can be the 40 RSI levels.

#banknifty

This range shift concept can be applied in any timeframe,
whether intraday, daily,weekly, etc.
ALL
Gal Gur \U0001f1ee\U0001f1f1
Gal Gur 🇮🇱...
@GalGur_
1/
Hello, my name is Gal,
I am an Israeli citizen, and I want to convey this urgent message to the world: Contrary to what you are told, Israel has not "returned to normal" in any way >>

2/ Moreover, despite the desire to create a setting as if there was a full and normal routine here - the Israeli Ministry of Health JUST RECOMMENDED TODAY TO EXTENT THE DECLARATION OF A “STATE OF EMERGENCY” in Israel >>

3/ to which is the foundation for coercion, violation of basic rights, severe discrimination under a "green mark (pass)", prolonged closure (Of about 5 months overall) and a lot of undemocratic and not “routine" restrictions. >

4/ If the situation in Israel had "returned to routine thanks to the astounding success of vaccines" then the "state of emergency" would not have continued.

5/ In fact, since the beginning of the "vaccination project" there has been only more intimidation and in many ways - even though the closure has been lifted, much more coercion.
TYRANNY
Advertisement
Paras Chopra
Paras Chopra
@paraschopra
1/ Here are my notes from @robertwrighter's book - Nonzero: the logic of human destiny. I enjoyed the book very much.

The basic premise of the book is that history has a direction which favors co-operation and non-zero sum games, and that causes an increase in complexity.


2/ Starting from the first replicating molecule which co-operated with an outer layer to form first proto-cell, evolutionary and cultural history is full of examples where two entities come together to survive and progress a lot more than they would have done individually.

3/ This co-operative entity fares much better than two individual entities because of specialization. If two entities are in the same boat - that they win together or lose together - then trust is implicit.

4/ In a non-zero sum game, trust causes entities to focus on what they do best.

For example, eukaryotic cells - the ones animals and plants have - emerged when two proto-cells merged, and one took the role of energy generator (mitochondria), the other specialized in protection.

5/ Some scientists believe that even nucleus in a cell is a result of an early cell merging with another cell.

So M&A is not a recent phenomena, entities have been merging because of common interests ever since life started.
CULTURE
Vibhu Vashisth
Vibhu Vashisth
@VIBHU_Tweet
MAHARAANI TARARANI: THE QUEEN OF MARATHAS

Rani Tarabai was the brave daughter-in-law of Chhatrapati Shivaji and one of the greatest medieval Monarchs India ever had.
She was born in 1675 to one of the bravest commander-in-chiefs of Shivaji's Army named Hambir Rao Mohite.


Tarabai was just 8yrs old when she was married to Shivaji's younger son, Rajaram. Mughals and Marathas were constantly at war with each other. Shivaji was crowned the ruler of the Independent Maratha Swarajya in 1674 which was established by him.


However,the great leader died in 1680&the Maratha Samrajya went into a complete&total chaos.Marathas saw some very tough times ahead. In 1689,when Raigad Fort fell to the Mughal Army of over 15000,Shivaji's first wife Saibai and his elder son Sambhaji were captured&put to death.


Sambhaji's wife and son Shahu were taken prisoners to the Mughal court. During the same battle, Shivaji's second son Rajaram(Tarabai's husband) , who was the heir to the throne now, managed to escape using a disguise. He made his way to the Gingee Fort in Tamil Nadu.


Mughal General Zulfikar Khan, however, followed them to Gingee laying siege to the Gingee Fort. From 1690-1698,This was the longest siege by a Mughal Army of any Fort which stands testimony to the military and diplomatic credentials of Rani Tarabai.
ALL
Tashny Sukumaran
Tashny Sukumaran
@tashny
Surendra Ananth @surendraananth, you violated my conditional consent. I assented to unprotected intimate relations with you on the STRICT condition that you tell me if you have relations with anyone else. You failed to do so, and I became ill as a direct consequence.

You refused to reveal your own STI results to me, but claimed to others they were negative and alleged I had multiple other partners, slut-shaming me. You gaslit me saying you had told me about your other partners.

You called up @justice_sisters and @SistersinIslam to tell them I was crazy, jilted. You rebuffed attempts to organise a community mediation so we could address matters. You said I was crazy for speaking to your boss and father in an attempt to keep other women safe.

You have a PATTERN OF BEHAVIOUR of misogyny, harassment and sheer disrespect for women. This was sent to a friend of mine who has never expressed interest in you and has a partner.


You think women are playthings, notches on the bedpost. You, @surendraananth, are no human rights advocate.
LAW