At TraderLion, we identify an uptrend as stocks/markets that trade ABOVE a RISING 21DSMA and 50DSMA.
A downtrend occurs when stocks/markets trade BELOW a downsloping 21DSMA/50DSMA.
Let's look at an example 👇
4 Simple Steps to Avoid Downtrends 📉 (a thread)
🧵
At TraderLion, we identify an uptrend as stocks/markets that trade ABOVE a RISING 21DSMA and 50DSMA.
A downtrend occurs when stocks/markets trade BELOW a downsloping 21DSMA/50DSMA.
Let's look at an example 👇
Swing Traders: when markets/stocks are above the rising 21D
Position Traders: when market/stocks are above the rising 50D
We can take this one step further by understanding what a Power Trend is 💪
✅ Low > 21ema for past 10 sessions
✅ 21EMA > 50SMA for at least 5 sessions
✅ 50SMA slope is positive
✅ Market closes up
This is a key component to avoiding downtrends and losing money altogether.
Our most recent follow through day is a great example of how NOT having clear leadership groups leads to quick failures of uptrends.
If the rally itself isn't broad, it is hard to sustain!
The groups that stoodout the most were Software & Electric Vehicles 👇
$NET $TWLO $TSLA $BLNK
$PINS $SNAP
Tracking if your recent trades were winners/losers/breakeven allows you to see if what you are doing is working on a net basis.
If you last 10 trades have all been winners or breakevens, you are in a strong environment.
Ultimately this step is the most important because this directly relates to your hard earned money.
If you DO want to develop a feel for trading a corrective market, SIZE DOWN.
1/8 of your normal size should allow you to do this without hurting you in a big way.
Traders overlook the importance of MC while we are focused on the pursuit of maximizing our Equity Curves.
We can't do one w/o the other!
If you want more similar content, please follow us @TraderLion_
Let us know what your best trick is to avoiding downtrends 🔽
More from TraderLion 🦁
More from Traderlion
The Importance of Trading Rules (Quick thread)
Last week I sent out this poll asking if people have a written
Over 60% of people said they did not have one.
It's now one of my main goals to get as many people as possible to commit to writing their own rules which codify their goals and methods.
I strongly believe that writing down your strategy especially if you are a new trader/investor will lead to improved and more consistent performance in the stock market.
Trading the markets is a tough business, money is on the line and emotions can run high.
Preparing ahead of time is essential so that in the moment you are just executing your plan.
This is the best way to stay in the game for the long haul
Last week I sent out this poll asking if people have a written
Do you have a written Trading/Investing Plan?
— Richard Moglen \U0001f4fd\ufe0f\U0001f981\U0001f6a2 (@RichardMoglen) March 7, 2021
Over 60% of people said they did not have one.
It's now one of my main goals to get as many people as possible to commit to writing their own rules which codify their goals and methods.
I strongly believe that writing down your strategy especially if you are a new trader/investor will lead to improved and more consistent performance in the stock market.
Trading the markets is a tough business, money is on the line and emotions can run high.
Preparing ahead of time is essential so that in the moment you are just executing your plan.
This is the best way to stay in the game for the long haul
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The entire discussion around Facebook’s disclosures of what happened in 2016 is very frustrating. No exec stopped any investigations, but there were a lot of heated discussions about what to publish and when.
In the spring and summer of 2016, as reported by the Times, activity we traced to GRU was reported to the FBI. This was the standard model of interaction companies used for nation-state attacks against likely US targeted.
In the Spring of 2017, after a deep dive into the Fake News phenomena, the security team wanted to publish an update that covered what we had learned. At this point, we didn’t have any advertising content or the big IRA cluster, but we did know about the GRU model.
This report when through dozens of edits as different equities were represented. I did not have any meetings with Sheryl on the paper, but I can’t speak to whether she was in the loop with my higher-ups.
In the end, the difficult question of attribution was settled by us pointing to the DNI report instead of saying Russia or GRU directly. In my pre-briefs with members of Congress, I made it clear that we believed this action was GRU.
The story doesn\u2019t say you were told not to... it says you did so without approval and they tried to obfuscate what you found. Is that true?
— Sarah Frier (@sarahfrier) November 15, 2018
In the spring and summer of 2016, as reported by the Times, activity we traced to GRU was reported to the FBI. This was the standard model of interaction companies used for nation-state attacks against likely US targeted.
In the Spring of 2017, after a deep dive into the Fake News phenomena, the security team wanted to publish an update that covered what we had learned. At this point, we didn’t have any advertising content or the big IRA cluster, but we did know about the GRU model.
This report when through dozens of edits as different equities were represented. I did not have any meetings with Sheryl on the paper, but I can’t speak to whether she was in the loop with my higher-ups.
In the end, the difficult question of attribution was settled by us pointing to the DNI report instead of saying Russia or GRU directly. In my pre-briefs with members of Congress, I made it clear that we believed this action was GRU.
This is a pretty valiant attempt to defend the "Feminist Glaciology" article, which says conventional wisdom is wrong, and this is a solid piece of scholarship. I'll beg to differ, because I think Jeffery, here, is confusing scholarship with "saying things that seem right".
The article is, at heart, deeply weird, even essentialist. Here, for example, is the claim that proposing climate engineering is a "man" thing. Also a "man" thing: attempting to get distance from a topic, approaching it in a disinterested fashion.
Also a "man" thing—physical courage. (I guess, not quite: physical courage "co-constitutes" masculinist glaciology along with nationalism and colonialism.)
There's criticism of a New York Times article that talks about glaciology adventures, which makes a similar point.
At the heart of this chunk is the claim that glaciology excludes women because of a narrative of scientific objectivity and physical adventure. This is a strong claim! It's not enough to say, hey, sure, sounds good. Is it true?
Imagine for a moment the most obscurantist, jargon-filled, po-mo article the politically correct academy might produce. Pure SJW nonsense. Got it? Chances are you're imagining something like the infamous "Feminist Glaciology" article from a few years back.https://t.co/NRaWNREBvR pic.twitter.com/qtSFBYY80S
— Jeffrey Sachs (@JeffreyASachs) October 13, 2018
The article is, at heart, deeply weird, even essentialist. Here, for example, is the claim that proposing climate engineering is a "man" thing. Also a "man" thing: attempting to get distance from a topic, approaching it in a disinterested fashion.
Also a "man" thing—physical courage. (I guess, not quite: physical courage "co-constitutes" masculinist glaciology along with nationalism and colonialism.)
There's criticism of a New York Times article that talks about glaciology adventures, which makes a similar point.
At the heart of this chunk is the claim that glaciology excludes women because of a narrative of scientific objectivity and physical adventure. This is a strong claim! It's not enough to say, hey, sure, sounds good. Is it true?
