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Saved by @SeekerHari

4 Simple Steps to Avoid Downtrends 📉 (a thread)

🧵

 1. Know the difference between an uptrend & a downtrend 📈📉

At TraderLion, we identify an uptrend as stocks/markets that trade ABOVE a RISING 21DSMA and 50DSMA.

A downtrend occurs when stocks/markets trade BELOW a downsloping 21DSMA/50DSMA.

Let's look at an example 👇
$QQQ from 2020 shows what an uptrend, downtrend, and even chop period looks like.
2. Know when it is really time to make money on the long side.

Swing Traders: when markets/stocks are above the rising 21D
Position Traders: when market/stocks are above the rising 50D

We can take this one step further by understanding what a Power Trend is 💪
The trend is really your friend when we have a Power Trend in the general indexes. A concept coined by the @IBDinvestors team, we must have the following:

✅ Low > 21ema for past 10 sessions
✅ 21EMA > 50SMA for at least 5 sessions
✅ 50SMA slope is positive
✅ Market closes up
@IBDinvestors Here's the Power Trend view in 2020 👇
@IBDinvestors Knowing when the trend is ripe for making money on the long side will ultimately help you recognize when it is time to step away.

This is a key component to avoiding downtrends and losing money altogether.
@IBDinvestors 3. Understanding that sustained uptrends can only survive with clear leadership groups.

Our most recent follow through day is a great example of how NOT having clear leadership groups leads to quick failures of uptrends.

If the rally itself isn't broad, it is hard to sustain!
@IBDinvestors If we take this one step further, the 2020 market had a plethora of leadership groups.

The groups that stoodout the most were Software & Electric Vehicles 👇

$NET $TWLO $TSLA $BLNK
@IBDinvestors It is fair to say Social Media picked up steam into 2020 EOY with some big gap ups as well.

$PINS $SNAP
@IBDinvestors 4. Tracking the results of your most recent 10 trades

Tracking if your recent trades were winners/losers/breakeven allows you to see if what you are doing is working on a net basis.

If you last 10 trades have all been winners or breakevens, you are in a strong environment.
@IBDinvestors On the other hand, if you last 10 trades have been majority losers, it may be time to take a step back and see if the environment has changed on the long side.

Ultimately this step is the most important because this directly relates to your hard earned money.
@IBDinvestors 👀 Extra Tip 👀

If you DO want to develop a feel for trading a corrective market, SIZE DOWN.

1/8 of your normal size should allow you to do this without hurting you in a big way.
@IBDinvestors The goal of trading during a corrective state/downtrend in the market should be to keep your mind fresh. Again, this isn't going to be the time when you make the most amount of money on the long side.
@IBDinvestors If you are unable to keep your mental game in check during downtrends, it may be best for you to walk away and build Mental Capital (MC).

Traders overlook the importance of MC while we are focused on the pursuit of maximizing our Equity Curves.

We can't do one w/o the other!
@IBDinvestors If you found this thread to be helpful, please like & retweet the first tweet!

If you want more similar content, please follow us @TraderLion_

Let us know what your best trick is to avoiding downtrends 🔽

More from TraderLion 🦁

TraderLion \U0001f981
TraderLion 🦁
@TraderLion_
Top 7 Things You Must Do Differently to Achieve Massive Success as a Trader by Jesse Stine

(Jesse turned $46,000 into $6.8M in 28 months, netting him a return of 14,972%)

🧵👇


Learn How to Sell

🔹 "Most investors spend 99% of their time studying what to buy and when to buy it."
🔹 "If you don't become passionate about the art of selling, you might continually lose a majority of your gains."
🔹"Fear is NOT a profitable sell signal"

Focus on Weekly and Monthly Charts

🔹"Smart money billion dollar hedge funds and institutions base their buy and sell decisions almost exclusively on longer-term weekly and monthly charts."

To make big money, we have to know what big money is doing.

Wait Until Everything Lines Up

🔹"There's only one way to put yourself in a position to hit a grand slam. Wait, wait, & wait some more until most of the technicals line up in your favor. By waiting until EVERYTHING lines up, your odds of massive success go through the roof."

Invest on an Island

🔹"Ignore the noise and make your own decisions."
🔹"By eliminating all the 'noise', you open up the possibility of massive success."
TRADERLION
TraderLion
TraderLion
@TraderLion_
What to do if you are not trading well. (Thread)

Impatience and instant success are built into our minds from the get-go. We want instant wins and instant rewards.

This has as much to do with our psychological build-up as it does with the society we live in.

In this thread, we will cover:

What to do if you are not trading well.
How to stop the drawdowns when no progress is being made.
How to have a systematic process that protects you from yourself.

So what is it that drives us?

We all want the market to reward us for our hard work, the effort, and time we put into it.

We want input to equal output.

However, there is no such thing as input = output in trading.

Trading is about consistency, persistence, and hard work without the certainty of any reward.
TRADERLION
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TraderLion
@TraderLion_
10 Essential Trading Principles (Thread)

⬇️

1️⃣ Trade Plan:

The first thing before a position is initiated is a clear plan must be in place detailing specific entry areas, their associated sell stops, and potential profit-taking zones.

Below are some factors to consider when crafting your trade plan:

✅ Individual Goals
✅ Personal Progress
✅ Current Market Environment
✅ The many fundamental and technical factors relevant to each individual stock, its sector, industry group, and its overall strength relative to the rest of its industry.

2️⃣ Risk Management:

This is the golden key to consistent success in the stock market. Yes, it is even more important than stock selection.

Bernard Baruch, a close friend of Livermore said even being right 3 or 4x out of 10 should yield a person a fortune if he cuts his losses.

3️⃣ Annual & Quarterly Earnings:

Look for companies with:

✅ Annual earnings that are positive and have been increasing YoY for at least 3 years.
✅ At least 25% QoQ earnings/sales growth for a minimum of 3 quarters.

These are early indicators a stock may be ready to explode.
ALL , TRADERLION
TraderLion \U0001f981
TraderLion 🦁
@TraderLion_
The market’s best investors have made millions from the simple saying:

“Buy right, sit tight”

Sounds simple - but what does “buying right” even mean?

Use TraderLion's 10-Step Ultimate Guide to buying right 👇

By the end of this thread, you'll know how to:

1. Build an objective list of buy criteria
2. Have 10+ real world examples to study
3. Increase your win rate.
4. Increase your profitability

Let's dive in!

Buy Rule #1: The General market must be in an uptrend.

3 out of every 4 stocks follow the market trend both to the upside and to the downside.

This means that if you are buying a breakout in a downtrend, it already has a 75% chance of failing!

It doesn't matter if the stock is in a leading group with an impressive RS line and strong fundamental story.

At the end of the day, market direction is the MOST important factor!

Here's an excerpt from How To Make Money In Stocks by stock market legend William O'Neil:


Here's another video by @richardmoglen that will help you determine if the stock market is in a downtrend:

https://t.co/shD5OjkP6s

Let's move on to #2.
TRADERLION
TraderLion
TraderLion
@TraderLion_
How To Reach Peak Trading Performance (Thread)

Trading is you versus the Market. It’s a one on one battle with a system designed to take your money if you lack discipline and an identifiable edge.

To achieve success and be able to take on this opponent, you must conquer your own faults and work towards incremental improvement.

Learning to trade, analyze charts, and manage risk are skills that you can carry with you for a lifetime.

However before you can reach the performance phase and consistently capture alpha, every trader must go through learning phases.

Your journey begins as a rookie trader, thrust in the midst of a pitched battle between yourself and the market.
TRADERLION

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TraderLion
TraderLion
@TraderLion_
What is the biggest challenge that traders face?

It's not the market. It's not the competition. The biggest challenge traders face is themselves.

That's why we've put together this list of five short lessons that will help you overcome your next trading obstacle:

1. You need to be disciplined enough to wait for the perfect opportunity.

Successful Traders:

❌ They don't force trades or take unnecessary risks.

✅ They wait patiently for the market to provide them with a high-probability setup before entering a trade.

2. You need to only take calculated risks.

Successful Traders:

❌ They don't take irrational risks or blindly follow the herd.

✅ They make calculated decisions based on their analysis and plan.

3. You must be able to accept losses.

Successful Traders:

❌ They don't try to avoid losses at all costs.

✅ They know that losses are a part of trading and accept them as part of the process.

4. You need to have a defined edge.

Successful Traders:

❌ They don't trade based on hope.

✅ They have a defined edge that they execute repeatedly.
TRADERLION
Greg Duncan \U0001f6a2
Greg Duncan 🚢
@GregDuncan_
Why Patience is so Important as a Trader

🧵👇

Have you ever felt like everyone around you is making money and you're not?

That's how I felt today after the market closed, while I was reflecting on my week.

In fact, over the past three months I've felt like this on multiple occasions!

If we look at my equity curve (EC), updated as of today's close, we can see multiple periods in which my account balance did not change.
TRADERLION , SWINGTRADING
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TraderLion
TraderLion
@TraderLion_
How to deal with Deep Red/ Reversal Days (Thread)

Often when the market is extended, we can get a quick reversal to the downside with little or no warning.

There are two main ways these days can go.

We can have a steady selling day with key stocks losing pivots or we can retrace, reverse and then finish strong.

When the market starts showing signs of accelerating distribution during the day, and leading stocks are suddenly down 5+ %, emotions and panic can quickly cause you to ignore rules and make non-systematic decisions.

Below we will cover how to prepare for this event and manage it objectively.

It’s key to understand that emotion can never be eliminated from your trading, that isn’t the goal and is not achievable.
TRADDERLION , TRADERLION
TraderLion \U0001f981
TraderLion 🦁
@TraderLion_
8 Chart Patterns by William O'Neil

Let's break them down one by one🧵


Perhaps the most famous basing pattern found in the market is the Cup with Handle pattern.

✅ Chart resembles a cup with a handle
✅ Base length: Minimum 7 weeks
✅ Base depth: 20-30%
✅ Buy point: high of the handle
✅ Handle length: 1 week
✅ Handle depth: no more than 15%


There is also a Cup without Handle pattern.

✅ Chart is just a cup, no handle
✅ Base length: Minimum 7 weeks
✅ Base depth: 20-30%
✅ Buy point: High of left side of cup


The Double Bottom chart pattern is also very common & is one of the most powerful patterns to learn.

✅ Base resembles a "W"
✅ Base length: Min. 7 weeks
✅ Base depth: < 40%
✅ Buy point: middle of "W"
✅ Second low must undercut first low


The Flat Base pattern is another well known structure coined by William O'Neil.

✅ Base resembles a shallow consolidation
✅ Prior uptrend must be greater than 30%
✅ Base length: Minimum of 5 weeks
✅ Base depth: < 15%
✅ Buy point: High of structure
TRADERLION , ALL , CHARTS
Richard Moglen \U0001f4fd\ufe0f\U0001f981\U0001f6a2
Richard Moglen 📽️🦁🚢...
@RichardMoglen
A brief introduction to trading/investing for beginners and why you should start right now (Thread)

A goal of mine is to introduce as many people as possible, especially my own age, to sound methods of how to trade/invest for their futures. Despite the stock market being open to all, in practice, not everyone is taught the value of it or how to use it to build wealth over time

This thread will hopefully help remove the knowledge barrier of how to get started. It will cover briefly:

Why you should invest (Start now!)
What even is stock?
Roth IRAs versus Traditional IRAs
ETFs+ Mutual Funds
How to buy/sell individual stocks.
Types of Investing/Trading

Now before we go further, I am not a financial advisor, I am speaking from my own experience and there are significant risks with the stock market so please consult a financial professional before getting involved. Alright let’s get to it.

First, why should you get involved and start ASAP, like tomorrow. The simple answer is compound interest and time.
TRADERLION

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Remembering Colonel Anil Kaul, VrC (Retd) on his 3rd Death Anniversary.

“It was October 12, 1987, exactly 5:55 pm as I was… coming out of the cupola of my T-72 tank on a steamy evening in an unknown place called Kokkuvil in the Jaffna district of Northern Sri Lanka.+


I froze in that confined space at what I saw. An LTTE militant stood at 60 meters aiming his rocket-propelled gun at my tank.

In a flash he fired. Probably having lost his nerve he aimed too low. The projectile hit the left mudguard of the tank, but for some inexplicable reason+


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my eyesight.

Lt Colonel (now Lt Gen) Dalbir Singh, then Commanding Officer of 10 Para Commando, who was standing on the engine deck said to me, “Yaar what a close shave.”

He suddenly saw me and the look on his face told me that something was very very wrong with me. In that+

fraction of a second, as if it was a rewind of my entire life, thoughts raced through my life as to how and when I had landed myself in such a situation…

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Low-risk, High-return stocks are what we look for relentlessly

But many of them we know but ignore
some of them don't grab financial headlines

Here are 10 low-risk, high return stocks (that we ignore):

What I mean by “high-return”?

These stocks have OUTPERFORMED the market:

💹Chart with upwards trend Since IPO
💹Chart with upwards trend Over the last 5 Years or since IPO

These are all long-term winners that will keep on winning

What do We Mean by “low-risk”?

A combination of:

❣️Great management
❣️Broad moat
❣️Financially strong
❣️High ROCE
❣️Low Disruption/Dilution/Volatility
❣️Consistent Organic Growth
❣️Assorted Customers/Suppliers
❣️Low debt

1-#CDSL

A depository is a big business and will grow continuously, Its a sustainable business
cause "Market hai toh CDSL bhi hai or rahega"


2- #Dixon

High Management Efficiency with a high ROE of 19.30%
Healthy long-term growth as Net Sales has grown by an annual rate of more than 30%
High Institutional Holdings
LOW RISK HIGH RETURN STOCKS , LOW RISK HIGH RETURN STOCKS FOR LONG TERM , LOW RISK STOCK IDEAS
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Vibhu Vashisth
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LACHIT BORPHUKAN : AN UNSUNG WARRIOR OF THE AHOM KINGDOM & THE GREAT BATTLE OF SARAIGHAT

Originally named as Lachit Deca, Lachit Borphukan, the fierce and invincible Ahom Commander, was born during the early 17th century at Betioni in the Golaghat district of modern Assam.


His father, Momai Tamuli Borbarua was the ‘Governor’ of the kingdom and also ‘Commander-in-Chief’ of Ahom army under King Pratap Singha during his reign starting from 1603 to 1639. Lachit received military training from an early age and joined the Ahom King Jayadhvaj Singha...


...(1648-1663) as a scarf-bearer.  The post ‘scarf-bearer’ or ‘Soladhara Barua’ is considered as a part of the incumbent king’s personal staff. Owing to his military training Lechit was appointed "Ghora Barua", Supdt. of the Royal horses. When Chakradhwaj Singha became king..


..of Ahom dynasty in 1663,he appointed him Suptd. of The Royal Guards &finally he was appointed as Borphukan by the king.Then onwards,he was known as Lachit Borphukan.Borphukan used to be top councillor in Ahom Kingdom. This position was embedded with executive & judicial powers.


Assam was facing incessant Islamic invasion since Jan1662, when Mughal General Mir Jumla II attacked Ahom capital Gargaon. He never defeated Ahom king Jayadhwaja Singha as king retreated to hill &continued Guerrilla warfare.Prolonged fight &prospect of stalemate disturbed Jumla.
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“Don’t leave the church because of the people who hurt you. Nobody is perfect, only God”

I’ll explain why this comment is not only not helpful at all, but also very harmful.

1/

The comment assumes we can’t tell the difference between people and toxic theology, it assumes our issues are with a few people who are outliers and misrepresented God, and we just seem to think that’s the totality of divinity. Which makes us appear unintelligent and petty.

2/

But, that’s not the case at all. I didn’t leave because a few people hurt me in the name of God, in fact I stayed long enough to get hurt again, and again, and again, and again. Because it’s not a few bad apples hurting people in the name of God what we are dealing with.

3/

Instead we are talking about systemic abuse due to toxic theology that is taught as righteousness.

Go to any white evangelical church today and conduct all the tests you must to ensure only those who are “good Christians,” remain. I guarantee you people will be harmed there.
4/

Not because people just hurt people, not because Christians have good intentions but sometimes make mistakes; instead because the harm is caused due to indoctrination into toxic theology and a belief that their social and theological framework is not only good,

5/
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Jaya_Upadhyaya
Jaya_Upadhyaya
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HORANADU ANNAPOORNESHWARI, CHIKMAGALUR (KAR)
#bharatmandir

Annapoorneshwari is the Devi of nutrition and food. The literal meaning of Annapoorneshwari is “Feeding one and all”. Anyone who comes here is offered meals and shelter within the premises.
@LostTemple7


Maharshi Agastya is believed to have done pratishtha here.

Once, Shiva and Parvati had an argument. Shiva declared everything in the world including food to be Maya or illusion. To prove him wrong, Devi Parvati disappeared resulting in entire Earth becoming still.


Taking pity, Devi appeared as Annapoorna and relieved everyone.
Another belief is that once Shiva beheaded Brahma and his skull got stuck in Shiva’s hand. He was cursed that till the skull is not full of food or grains, it will remain stuck to his hands.


Shiva went everywhere and asked for food but the skull was never full. He finally came here and Maa Annapoorna filled the skull with grains and reversed Shiva’s curse.

It is believed that who ever visits Devi Annapoorna here will never be without food in their lives.
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